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United States

十月 9, 2026

District of Columbia 9:19 上午

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U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks at the Pnyx hill, where ancient Athenians held democratic assemblies, with the ancient Parthenon temple atop the Acropolis seen in the background, in Athens on October 7, 2026. (Photo by Mark Schiefelbein / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

Explainer

鲁比奥说伊朗“失去了”霍尔木兹岛。真是这样吗？

美国国务卿马可·卢比奥周三表示，伊朗已经“完全失去了对该水道的控制权”，并指出海湾石油出口在9月份出现复苏。

US President Donald Trump and China's President Xi Jinping hold a bilateral meeting in the Oval Office

Analysis

为什么特朗普-习近平峰会未能使中国疏远伊朗

随着战争的持续，北京疏远伊朗的动机已经减弱。

Yun Sun

In Washington, DC, reporting on China-Middle East ties

nyse

Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Turkish Air Force F-16 fighter aircraft

Analysis

在以色列和希腊的威慑担忧下，土耳其重启与美国的F-16战机谈判。

安卡拉与华盛顿重启谈判之际，老旧飞机即将退役，而欧洲战斗机和卡安战斗机距离满足土耳其未来的空中力量需求还有数年时间。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

Latest News

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

Explainer

随着古特雷斯卸任，以下是联合国秘书长候选人及其对中东的看法。

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres speaks at the UNGA

伊拉克宣布恢复飞往伊朗的航班：你需要了解哪些信息

An Airbus A321 airliner arrives at the Mehrabad international airport during the delivery of the first batch of planes to the Iranian state airline Iran Air in the capital Tehran on Jan. 12, 2017.

美国新型航空母舰驶往中东，伊朗战争持续进行

In this handout released by the US Navy on July 15, 2010, the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) transits the Pacific Ocean.

A protester holds up a portrait of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during a demonstration near the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad, on Jan. 16, 2026.

Analysis

以色列评估伊朗抗议浪潮已过，后悔未将目标对准哈梅内伊

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡或许影响了美国不打击德黑兰的决定，但几位以色列专家认为，说服美国总统特朗普暂缓行动构成了一场世代悲剧。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

US President Donald Trump meets with Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the White House, Nov. 10, 2025.

特朗普在与叙利亚沙拉阿的通话中要求结束与库尔德人的冲突

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普致电叙利亚临时总统艾哈迈德·沙拉，并获得该领导人承诺不会进入哈塞克，当时叙利亚军队正与库尔德人领导的叙利亚民主力量发生冲突。

Witkoff

维特科夫阐述了与伊朗达成协议的条件，并警告说另一种方案“很糟糕”。

美国中东特使表示，他倾向于通过外交途径解决与伊朗的紧张关系，而不是采取军事行动，这与总统最近的言论一致，但军事升级的威胁依然存在。

US President Donald Trump (R) greets Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) at Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, Dec. 29, 2025.

Analysis

以色列对特朗普在伊朗问题上的退让感到“沮丧”，不确定这是战略考量还是临阵退缩。

以色列领导人曾希望美国总统下令发动袭击，以帮助推翻德黑兰政府，甚至可能以最高领袖哈梅内伊为目标。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Retired Israeli General and Executive Director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：如果没有美国“地面部队”的介入，以色列在伊朗实现政权更迭的目标遥遥无期

以色列前军事情报局局长告诉《中东观察报》，如果美国真的实施打击伊朗的威胁，以色列必须做好应对伊朗可能做出的反应的准备。

Amos Yadlin

Amos Yadlin

Former head of Israel's Military Intelligence Directorate

A Patriot missile battery is seen near Prince Sultan air base at al-Kharj on Feb. 20, 2020.

美国中央司令部在卡塔尔乌代德空军基地开设防空小组：你需要了解什么

将来自地区各国的军官聚集在一起协调防空和导弹防御，标志着美国中央司令部数十年来为促进海湾国家之间针对伊朗的防空合作而采取的外交努力迈出了初步步伐。

Egyptians hold a plaque of the Muslim Brotherhood emblem which was removed from the party's burnt headquarters in the Moqattam district of Cairo on July 1, 2013 after it was set ablaze by opposition demonstrators overnight. Egypt's opposition gave Islamist Mohamed Morsi a day to quit or face civil disobedience after deadly protests demanded the country's first democratically elected president step down after just a year in office. AFP PHOTO / KHALED DESOUKI (Photo credit should read KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via G

美国将穆斯林兄弟会部分分支机构列为恐怖组织：你需要了解什么

继唐纳德·特朗普总统 11 月签署针对泛伊斯兰主义运动的行政命令后，穆斯林兄弟会在黎巴嫩、埃及和约旦的分支机构也被列入制裁名单。

TEHRAN, IRAN - JANUARY 10: The heavily damaged Tax Affairs building is pictured on January 10, 2026 in Tehran, Iran. Some areas of Tehran sustained heavy damage during ongoing protests that came to a head on January 8, amid a growing economic and political crisis sweeping the country. (Photo by Stringer/Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列评估认为，尽管抗议活动遭到镇压，特朗普仍可能选择对伊朗发动袭击。

以色列普遍认为，美国总统特朗普将选择打击德黑兰政府，以向抗议者表明美国没有抛弃他们。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

This picture shows a battery of Israel's Iron Dome air defence system in the southern city of Ashdod on May 12, 2023, as Israel's army and Gaza militants traded heavy cross-border fire. Israel and Gaza militants traded heavy fire today as hopes faded of securing a truce to end days of fighting that have killed dozens, all but one of them Palestinian. (Photo by Jack Guez / AFP) (Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images)

以色列举行演习，为应对伊朗可能的袭击做好准备：你需要了解什么

以色列对美国可能对伊朗发动袭击保持高度警惕，因为这可能会引发伊朗对以色列的报复。

US President Donald Trump addresses a House Republican retreat at The John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on Jan. 6, 2026 in Washington, DC.

随着伊朗抗议活动愈演愈烈，特朗普对美国干预伊朗问题的表态前后矛盾。

特朗普总统将数十名抗议者的死亡归咎于踩踏事件，但视频显示伊朗安全部队正在向抗议者开火。

US Senior Advisor for Arab and African Affairs Massad Boulos (L) meets with UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Abu Dhabi, Jan. 8, 2026.

美国特使在沙特阿拉伯会谈后与阿联酋总统穆罕默德·本·扎耶德会面，力促苏丹停火。

布洛斯在阿布扎比的会晤是在本周早些时候利雅得举行的会谈之后进行的，这两个海湾国家正在努力解决苏丹外交问题和也门争端。

A protester flashes victory signs as traffic slows during demonstrations in Hamedan, Iran, on Jan. 1, 2026.

伊朗爆发最大规模抗议活动，当局切断网络：你需要了解哪些信息

周四晚间，数千名伊朗民众在全国各地举行抗议活动，这是几十年来对伊斯兰共和国统治的最大挑战之一。