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一月 12, 2026

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US President Donald Trump addresses a House Republican retreat at The John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on Jan. 6, 2026 in Washington, DC.

随着伊朗抗议活动愈演愈烈，特朗普对美国干预伊朗问题的表态前后矛盾。

特朗普总统将数十名抗议者的死亡归咎于踩踏事件，但视频显示伊朗安全部队正在向抗议者开火。

US Senior Advisor for Arab and African Affairs Massad Boulos (L) meets with UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Abu Dhabi, Jan. 8, 2026.

美国特使在沙特阿拉伯会谈后与阿联酋总统穆罕默德·本·扎耶德会面，力促苏丹停火。

布洛斯在阿布扎比的会晤是在本周早些时候利雅得举行的会谈之后进行的，这两个海湾国家正在努力解决苏丹外交问题和也门争端。

A protester flashes victory signs as traffic slows during demonstrations in Hamedan, Iran, on Jan. 1, 2026.

伊朗爆发最大规模抗议活动，当局切断网络：你需要了解哪些信息

周四晚间，数千名伊朗民众在全国各地举行抗议活动，这是几十年来对伊斯兰共和国统治的最大挑战之一。

A large anti-Israeli banner portraying an image of a Palestinian fighter and the slogan in Persian and Hebrew, "Endless Voice of Resistance" is erected in Palestine Square in Tehran on Dec. 31, 2025.

委内瑞拉遇袭后，伊朗抗议活动考验特朗普关于美国“拯救”伊朗的承诺

在美军抓捕委内瑞拉总统后，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普加倍警告美国将干预伊朗。

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Analysis

受特朗普和抗议活动的鼓舞，以色列看到了对抗伊朗政权的机会。

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stands amid debris outside the Soroka Hospital after it was hit by a missile fired from Iran, Beersheba, Israel, June 19, 2025.

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

对以色列而言，抓获委内瑞拉总统马杜罗被视为对伊朗和真主党的挫败。

A motorcycle rides past a graffiti depicting President Nicolas Maduro, Caracas, Venezuela, Jan. 3, 2026.

Analysis

在特朗普的支持下，以色列在攻击真主党之前给了黎巴嫩最后一次机会。

An Israeli soldier rides in the army Merkava main battle tank at a position in northern Israel along the border with southern Lebanon, Nov. 6, 2025, when Israel struck Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon.

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Analysis

伊朗威胁、奉承、悬而未决的矛盾：特朗普在海湖庄园究竟给了内塔尼亚胡什么？

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

在海湖庄园，内塔尼亚胡寻求批准对伊朗发动袭击，而特朗普则敦促推进加沙计划。

预计美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将推动以色列进入其加沙和平计划的第二阶段，而以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将专注于确保特朗普批准对伊朗弹道导弹计划进行潜在打击。

Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

Analysis

加沙局势考验特朗普2025年中东战略雄心

在特朗普第二任期的第一年，他面临着加沙和苏丹的战争，与叙利亚建立了新的关系，并努力应对伊朗日益增长的核威胁。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

ABIR SULTAN / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡在与特朗普会谈前努力改善以色列与希腊和塞浦路斯的关系。

以色列担心土耳其在中东地区的影响力日益增强，因此正向希腊和塞浦路斯展示其在周边地区的实力。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa arrives for a meeting with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the Lotte New York Palace Hotel on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly meeting in New York City, on Sept. 22, 2025.

一年过去了，华盛顿在叙利亚的赌注仍然笼罩在不确定性的阴影之下。

特朗普政府对叙利亚新领导层表示欢迎，但安全风险和有关大马士革控制权的悬而未决的问题正在考验着双方的接触。

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu participates in a joint news conference with US President Donald Trump (not seen) in the State Dining Room at the White House on Sept. 29, 2025, in Washington.

Analysis

2025年，内塔尼亚胡保住了他的执政联盟，但在加沙、伊朗和黎巴嫩问题上却步履维艰。

2025 年即将结束，以色列人对总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡拒绝彻底结束加沙战争、解决真主党问题、与叙利亚达成协议或找到建设性地影响伊朗核计划谈判的方法感到沮丧。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

A view of a concrete wall built by Israel near the Blue Line in Maroun al-Ras, Lebanon, on Nov. 13, 2025.

Analysis

法国寻求通过与联合国驻黎巴嫩临时部队的协调以及捐助者会议来加强黎巴嫩军队。

法国认为，稳定该地区的关键在于加强黎巴嫩军队，使其能够重新控制该国南部。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

Armoured vehicles of the Iraqi Counter Terrorism Forces are deployed outside the US embassy building in Baghdad's Green Zone on June 12, 2025, after an announcement by a US official the previous day that staff levels at the diplomatic mission in Iraq were being reduced over security concerns. Despite reporting progress in earlier rounds of talks between Iran and the United States, tensions have reached a fever pitch this week as Washington moved non-essential staff from bases in the region following US medi

Analysis

伊拉克大选之后，美国对下一届伊拉克政府的优先事项是什么？

一位消息人士告诉《中东观察报》，华盛顿希望下一届伊拉克政府中没有受制裁的组织，因为美国和伊朗正在争夺影响力。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡能否说服特朗普批准打击伊朗导弹计划？

在备受瞩目的佛罗里达州会晤中，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将向美国总统唐纳德·特朗普提出阻止伊朗重建其核计划的方案。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A convoy carrying a UN security council delegation, tours the border with Israel close to the southern Lebanese area of Naqura on December 6, 2025. UNIFIL peacekeepers have been tasked with acting as a buffer between Israel and Lebanon since March 1978, and with monitoring the November 2024 ceasefire that sought to halt more than a year of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. (Photo by Mahmoud ZAYYAT / AFP via Getty Images)

Exclusive

第二次黎巴嫩-以色列会谈将法国排除在外，美国则向内塔尼亚胡施压。

周五，黎巴嫩和以色列官员举行的第二次会晤以双方在所谓经济区和以色列空袭造成大量平民伤亡问题上的分歧而告终。

Joyce Karam

Rina Bassist

由 Joyce Karam , Rina Bassist

US President Donald Trump speaks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, in Jerusalem on Oct. 13, 2025.

Analysis

特朗普在与内塔尼亚胡的较量中占据上风，但这足以解决加沙问题吗？

以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡一直拖延实施唐纳德·特朗普总统的加沙计划第二阶段，但归根结底，特朗普对内塔尼亚胡拥有更大的影响力。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio gestures as he speaks during an end-of-year press conference in the State Department Press Briefing Room in Washington, DC on December 19, 2025. (Photo by Mandel NGAN / AFP via Getty Images)

鲁比奥暗示美国可能接受哈马斯保留小型武器。

美国最高外交官告诉《中东观察报》，裁军的重点应该放在哈马斯威胁以色列所需的“武器或能力”上。

SHARM EL-SHEIKH, EGYPT - OCTOBER 13: U.S. President Donald Trump and President of Egypt Abdel Fattah El-Sisi clasp hands as they speak to the press before their meeting on October 13, 2025 in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt. President Trump is in Egypt to meet with European and Middle Eastern leaders in what’s being billed as an international peace summit, following the start of a US-brokered ceasefire deal to end the war in the Gaza Strip. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡如何向特朗普让步，同意埃及350亿美元的天然气交易

以色列总理对特朗普政府的强硬手段持续感到不满，一方面面临签署埃及天然气协议的压力，另一方面据报道又在推动与塞西会面。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense