Iran - AL-Monitor: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent since 2012

Iran cover image

Iran

三月 19, 2026

Tehran 10:45 下午

14°C

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives to attend an event in the East Room of the White House, Washington, DC, March 5, 2026.

美国考虑在霍尔木兹海峡危机期间放松对伊朗的石油制裁：你需要了解什么

美国财政部可能采取的措施将减轻伊朗原油的压力，因为华盛顿正寻求抵消伊朗实际上关闭霍尔木兹海峡造成的供应损失。

A picture of Qatar Energy's operating facilities on March 3, 2026 in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar.

Analysis

伊朗对卡塔尔天然气田的袭击将如何影响未来数年的液化天然气市场？

伊朗对全球最大的液化天然气出口枢纽的袭击造成的破坏可能会导致大量供应中断数年，卡塔尔正在考虑是否宣布对向欧洲和亚洲供应液化天然气的长期合同构成不可抗力。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

In this aerial view, Storage tanks at Grain LNG importation terminal, operated by National Grid Plc sit near the River Medway in the Thames Estuary on March 12, 2026, in Isle of Grain, England.

墨西哥湾天然气供应中断导致欧洲天然气价格飙升 35% 后，会对欧洲天然气市场造成多大影响？

周四，欧洲天然气基准期货价格上涨高达 35%，达到每兆瓦时 68 欧元（78.09 美元）以上。

Lorries roll along the highway between Riyadh and al-Ahsa, some 200 kilometers east of the Saudi capital, on March 15, 2026. The war sparked by US-Israel strikes on Iran on February 28 has sparked chaos on global markets, and sent the price of oil soaring after the Islamic republic imposed control by force over the crucial artery. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP via Getty Images) /

美国要求公民撤离沙特阿拉伯，此前伊朗袭击了该国能源设施：你需要了解什么

在伊朗对沙特阿拉伯境内能源设施发动袭击事件激增后，美国驻利雅得大使馆敦促其公民离开沙特阿拉伯。

Latest News

伊朗指责约旦允许美国发射导弹：你需要了解什么

US soldiers participate in the annual military exercises known as "Eager Lion" near Maan, some 200 kilometers south of the capital Amman on May 17, 2017.

Analysis

随着伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队加强控制，以色列认为伊朗政权更迭之路漫长。

An Iranian security force officer stands guard next to a huge billboard of Iran's newly nominated supreme leader Ayatollah Mojataba Khamenei (pointing) during Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026. On February 28, Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, killing its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (photo bottom L) and triggering a war that spread across the M

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

北约向土耳其部署新型“爱国者”导弹系统，菲丹在利雅得参加地区会谈

A Patriot anti-missile battery launcher, deployed by Dutch NATO soldiers, is seen March 11, 2003 at the Diyarbakir military airport in southeastern Turkey.

Analysis

拉里贾尼之死会加强伊朗强硬派的力量吗？

Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, arrives in Beirut, Lebanon, on Sept. 27, 2025.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

The city skyline is pictured in Dubai on March 11, 2026.

Analysis

战争持续不断，市场还能对海湾地区的韧性抱有多久的信心？

专家表示，霍尔木兹海峡长期关闭以及对海湾能源基础设施的持续攻击可能会导致整个地区的信用状况恶化。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

A smoke plume rises from an ongoing fire near Dubai International Airport in Dubai on March 16, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗为何将阿联酋视为对抗美国和以色列战争的理想目标？

相比邻国，这个海湾国家遭受的打击更为严重，因为德黑兰重申了其对该国进行打击的权利。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Black smoke rises following an airstrike, as Iranians take part in the Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026.

尽管特朗普声称伊朗希望达成协议，但停火仍遥遥无期。

唐纳德·特朗普总统对于这场已经持续三周的战争可能会持续多久，仍然发出模棱两可的信息。

A cargo ship is pictured off coast city of Fujairah, in the Strait of Hormuz in the northern Emirate, on Feb. 25, 2026.

特朗普敦促盟友支持霍尔木兹海峡协议，重启经济的障碍日益增多。

欧洲主要盟友对特朗普提出的帮助重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的请求犹豫不决，这让人怀疑美国能否迅速确保该水道免受伊朗导弹和无人机的威胁。

Aluminum ingots in the Aluminium Dunkerque plant of the American Industrial Partner group on Jan. 13, 2022, in Loon-Plage, near Dunkirk, France.

伊朗战争重创海湾地区铝出口，全球近10%的供应面临风险

海湾地区是铝生产的重要中心，供应全球约 8% 至 9% 的产量，与战争相关的干扰现在势必会对工业供应链产生连锁反应。

Funerals are held for members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and other military figures at Enghelab Square on March 11, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

伊朗拘留500多名被控为以色列和美国从事间谍活动的人员：你需要了解什么

伊朗当局逮捕了 500 多人，他们被指控通过与外国情报机构和媒体分享信息，协助策划针对伊朗的袭击。

A fuel pump is seen while refuelling a car at a gas station on March 13, 2026 in Kobe, Japan. Japan will release oil reserves to address the rise in gasoline and other petroleum products prices starting next Monday, said Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae. The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that its member countries agreed to release the largest volume of emergency oil reserves in its history, responding to the disruption in energy markets caused by the Middle East War. (Photo by Buddhika Weerasinghe/G

国际能源署亚洲成员国开始部署紧急石油储备

国际能源署署长法提赫·比罗尔表示，亚洲成员国正在释放超过1亿桶原油以稳定市场。

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) listens to a speech by his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi at the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, Jerusalem, Feb. 25, 2026.

以色列和美国对伊朗的战争能否挽救内塔尼亚胡的政治前途？

在2023年10月发生安全危机和哈马斯袭击事件后，以色列总理能否获得一张“胜利照片”来挽回形象，目前仍不明朗。

Lukoil

Analysis

伊朗战争挤压海湾石油出口，俄罗斯将面临怎样的利弊抉择？

随着霍尔木兹海峡关闭，原油价格突破每桶 100 美元，俄罗斯正因美国新的制裁灵活性而获益——但专家表示，莫斯科在利用这一新市场开放方面面临挑战。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Ali IHSAN OZTURK / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

土耳其和伊朗都经历过动荡时期，两国将在穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下继续保持关系。

即使战争加剧了安卡拉和德黑兰之间的紧张关系，但长期以来定义土耳其和伊朗关系的竞争与务实合作相结合的局面很可能会持续下去。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

AFP via Getty Images

石油火灾、有毒空气和水风险：伊朗战争的环境代价扩大到其他地区

轰炸伊朗的石油设施和海湾地区的关键水利基础设施，如同以往冲突中采用的类似策略一样，对中东地区构成了长期的环境破坏威胁。

A billboard shows a graphic depicting Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei with military commanders, as people attend the annual anti-Israeli Quds Day on March 13, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队如何在哈梅内伊继承人之后规划战争路线

尽管伊朗在穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下展现出延续性，但伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队正在精心策划该国的战时态势，巩固权力，并为持久战做准备。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics