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Israel

三月 24, 2026

Tel Aviv 6:05 上午

9°C

Displaced families set up tents along Beirut's waterfront in Beirut, Lebanon, on March 10, 2026, after fleeing recent Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.

黎巴嫩竭力控制因流离失所引发的紧张局势，以色列加大了威胁力度

由于以色列对黎巴嫩南部发动袭击和推进，预示着可能发生地面入侵，流离失所的什叶派穆斯林在黎巴嫩真主党控制区以外的地区面临着收容社区日益增长的不满。

An undated image of Eran Etzion.

Interview

以色列前安全官员：内塔尼亚胡在没有迫在眉睫的威胁的情况下，将美国和以色列推入了伊朗战争。

以色列前副国家安全顾问、反对派政治家埃兰·埃齐翁表示，即使美国选择退出，内塔尼亚胡也可能决定延长对真主党和伊朗的战争。

France's President Emmanuel Macron (L) wearing sunglasses shakes hands with Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam prior to their meeting at the Elysee presidential palace in Paris, on January 23, 2026. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

狭路相逢：黎巴嫩推动谈判能否改变以色列的战争考量？

以色列外交部长吉迪恩·萨尔周日表示，黎巴嫩提出的直接对话提议目前尚未提上日程，但前战略事务部长、现任负责与美国联络的罗恩·德默尔暗示，总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡愿意认真考虑这一提议。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Excess gas is burned at the oil refinery in Israel's northern city of Haifa late on March 19, 2026.

Analysis

随着红海和东地中海地区也加入竞争，伊朗将能源目标扩大到海湾以外。

为了报复对其能源部门的袭击，德黑兰加强并扩大了对地区石油和天然气基础设施的打击力度，目标是沙特阿拉伯的延布港和以色列海法的炼油厂。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Latest News

Analysis

随着伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队加强控制，以色列认为伊朗政权更迭之路漫长。

An Iranian security force officer stands guard next to a huge billboard of Iran's newly nominated supreme leader Ayatollah Mojataba Khamenei (pointing) during Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026. On February 28, Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, killing its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (photo bottom L) and triggering a war that spread across the M

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

以色列是否计划在黎巴嫩设立缓冲区，还是会将缓冲区扩展到利塔尼以外？

An Israeli self-propelled howitzer artillery gun fires rounds toward southern Lebanon from a position in the upper Galilee in northern Israel near the border on March 15, 2026.

以色列和美国对伊朗的战争能否挽救内塔尼亚胡的政治前途？

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) listens to a speech by his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi at the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, Jerusalem, Feb. 25, 2026.

石油火灾、有毒空气和水风险：伊朗战争的环境代价扩大到其他地区

AFP via Getty Images

Displaced Palestinians gather for a fast-breaking Iftar meal amid the rubble of destroyed buildings at the Jabalia refugee camp, in the northern Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan, Feb. 23, 2026.

Analysis

哈马斯不参与伊朗战争，加沙和海湾地区的利益优先于伊朗。

尽管哈马斯与德黑兰有着长期的联盟关系，但迄今为止，它一直置身于不断升级的伊朗战争之外，这反映出其谨慎的战略考量。

Abeer Ayyoub

由 Abeer Ayyoub

In Istanbul, reporting on Palestine

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Retired Israeli general and executive director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：以色列发动战争的目标是削弱伊朗，而非立即推翻伊朗政权。

亚德林告诉《中东观察报》，以色列领导人意识到，战争结束后，华盛顿将决定以色列是否实现了其战争目标。

Smoke and flames rise at the site of airstrikes on an oil depot, Tehran, Iran, March 8, 2026.

Analysis

时间紧迫：以色列升级对伊朗的袭击，特朗普考虑“优雅退出”

以色列军方正力促在机会之窗关闭之前对伊朗发动更多打击，因为美国总统特朗普一旦决定结束战争，机会之窗就会关闭。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited the Palmachim Air Base on March 3, 2026, accompanied by Minister of Defense Israel Katz and IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir.

Analysis

尽管内塔尼亚胡发表了种种言论，以色列仍对伊朗政权更迭的可能性表示怀疑。

以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡周六表示，“我们有一个系统性的计划来铲除伊朗政权”，但以色列专家表示，他很清楚引发政权更迭的困难。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

Kurdish Peshmerga fighters affiliated with PAK train on Jan. 18, 2026, near Erbil, Iraq.

为什么以色列寻求库尔德人的支持以对抗伊朗政权

以色列与库尔德人的关系根植于共同打击伊斯兰极端主义的斗争，以及库尔德人在土耳其、叙利亚和伊朗的战略存在。

Osama Al Maqdoni / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

美国和以色列试图挑起军事叛乱，而中央情报局和摩萨德则支持伊朗库尔德人。

以色列希望伊朗的库尔德人和其他少数族裔能够动员起来，帮助推翻伊朗政权。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

FRANKFURT AM MAIN, GERMANY - MARCH 03: Passengers disembark from an Emirates passenger plane arriving at Frankfurt Airport from Dubai International on March 03, 2026 in Frankfurt, Germany. The flight is among the first to begin ferrying the thousands of German tourists who have been stranded across the Middle East following the U.S.-Israeli air attacks against Iran and the ensuing Iranian missile and drone attacks against the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and other states in the region. (Photo by Andreas Rentz/Getty

阿布扎比机场发生爆炸，中东地区人员疏散行动加速进行。

阿联酋国防部称拦截了6枚弹道导弹和125架无人机后，数十架阿联酋航班被迫停飞或降落。

United Arab Emirates

TOPSHOT - Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike on the southern suburbs of Beirut on March 3, 2026. The Israeli military issued new evacuation orders for dozens of locations in Lebanon on March 3, including warning residents in two southern Beirut neighbourhoods to stay away from several buildings ahead of an imminent operation. (Photo by AFP via Getty Images)

以色列军队撤退，以色列在黎巴嫩南部推进，圣城旅指挥官被击毙

以色列称，在一次海军空袭中击毙了伊朗精锐部队圣城旅黎巴嫩真主党军团参谋长雷扎·哈扎伊。

Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Exclusive

以色列预计伊朗将爆发反政府抗议活动，不太可能入侵黎巴嫩。

以色列外交官和军方官员担心，油价飙升将促使美国领导人在伊朗政权更迭之前停止对伊朗的军事行动。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Sayed Hassan/Getty Images

伊朗与美国关系紧张之际，航运巨头马士基改变苏伊士运河航线。

这一转变是对美国和伊朗之间发生军事冲突的可能性日益增加的反应。