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六月 11, 2026

Doha 3:23 下午

43°C

Vessels are seen anchored in the Strait of Hormuz, off the port city of Khasab on Oman's northern Musandam Peninsula, on May 17, 2026.

Analysis

霍尔木兹海峡危机扰乱海湾航运，土耳其力推伊拉克和叙利亚贸易路线。

土耳其正利用霍尔木兹危机来推动以伊拉克和叙利亚为基地的海湾-欧洲走廊，但专家表示，这些路线仍然成本过高、建设不足且政治上脆弱，无法与海上航运相抗衡。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

Philippe LOPEZ / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

海湾危机重塑能源市场，专家警告：新常态即将到来

由于美以伊战争造成了历史性的供应冲击，《Al-Monitor》邀请专家小组探讨这场冲突如何开启了全球能源市场的新时代。

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa arrives to attend the second day of the first Syrian-Emirati (United Arab Emirates) Investment Forum, at the People's Palace in Damascus on May 12, 2026. (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

港口和基础设施：阿联酋拥抱叙利亚新经济秩序

阿联酋与叙利亚的关系发展速度超出预期，阿布扎比接纳了艾哈迈德·沙拉总统，两国关系也从正常化转向投资合作。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

MUMEN KHATIB/AFP via Getty Images

为什么阿联酋退出欧佩克的决定对卡特尔组织而言是一次重大转变

阿联酋占欧佩克总产量的 12%，但由于集团内部竞争以及该国希望出口更多石油，紧张局势一直在酝酿。

United Arab Emirates

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国际能源署发布严峻的天然气供应预测，与此同时，原油价格周涨幅达15%。

A liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker is moored at a LNG berth in Kawasaki, Kanagawa, prefecture April 8, 2026.

Analysis

海湾能源交易面临伊朗战争的压力测试，全球扩张遭遇石油冲击

A picture shows the Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar's principal site for production of liquefied natural gas and gas-to-liquid, administrated by Qatar Petroleum, some 80 kilometers (50 miles) north of the capital Doha, on Feb. 6, 2017.

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

沙特股市创下2026年新高，逆全球战争引发的市场波动而行。

FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images

伊朗战争重创经济，国际货币基金组织将中东经济前景预期下调近3个百分点。

A man walks through the atrium during the 2026 IMF and World Bank Group Spring Meetings in Washington, DC, on April 14, 2026. (Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP via Getty Images)

picture of Qatar Energy's operating facilities on March 3, 2026, in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar.

Analysis

美伊停火后，海湾地区的能源生产能以多快的速度恢复？

停火协议可能会为失去的石油和液化天然气供应重新流入全球市场铺平道路，但要将海湾地区的能源生产恢复到正常水平，可能需要数月甚至更长时间。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

AirAsia aircraft with two engines landing on Kota Kinabalu International airport runway, Kota Kinabalu Sabah, Malaysia, March 4, 2017.

尽管伊朗战争给航空业增长计划蒙上阴影，但亚航仍坚持以巴林为枢纽的计划。

这家低成本航空公司的承诺虽然取决于冲突的演变，但在大多数全球航空公司缩减航线、推迟航班开通和更改航线以避开中东之际，它显得格外突出。

Exhaust emits from the engine of a passenger jet as it prepares for take off at Heathrow Airport on March 30, 2006, in London, England.

航空燃油短缺暴露了欧洲对中东供应的依赖

非洲大陆的立法者们已被告知要“及时做好准备，以应对该地区能源供应可能出现的长期中断”。

A trilateral meeting was held today in Jeddah, bringing together His Royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Crown Prince and Prime Minister King Abdullah II ibn Al Hussein of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, and Amir of the State of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on March 20, 2026.

沙特阿拉伯、约旦和卡塔尔将在伊朗战争期间深化安全关系：你需要了解什么

随着伊朗袭击事件的持续，海湾国家和约旦正在加强合作。

Golden Pass

在全球供应紧张的情况下，卡塔尔能源公司在美国一个大型项目中开始生产液化天然气。

United Arab Emirates army helicopters fly from the Burj al Arab hotel (R) toward Burj Khalifa, Dubai, Jan. 16, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗战争促成了土耳其与海湾国家的防御联盟，但并未促成两国结盟。

尽管由于美以对伊朗的战争，双方合作加速，但结构性和政治性的制约因素使得正式的军事联盟不太可能成立。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

This picture taken on August 11, 2025, shows the headquarters of the Qatari state-funded news television network Al Jazeera in the capital Doha. (Photo by Karim JAAFAR / AFP) (Photo by KARIM JAAFAR/AFP via Getty Images)

总部位于卡塔尔的半岛电视台评论员停止在社交媒体上活动：你需要了解什么

曾对这场战争持亲伊朗立场的 Saeed Ziad 已经好几天没有在 X 上发帖了，而 Fatima al-Smadi 的账号也被删除了，尽管他们的确切状况尚不清楚。

A picture of Qatar Energy's operating facilities on March 3, 2026 in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar.

Analysis

伊朗对卡塔尔天然气田的袭击将如何影响未来数年的液化天然气市场？

伊朗对全球最大的液化天然气出口枢纽的袭击造成的破坏可能会导致大量供应中断数年，卡塔尔正在考虑是否宣布对向欧洲和亚洲供应液化天然气的长期合同构成不可抗力。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

In this aerial view, Storage tanks at Grain LNG importation terminal, operated by National Grid Plc sit near the River Medway in the Thames Estuary on March 12, 2026, in Isle of Grain, England.

墨西哥湾天然气供应中断导致欧洲天然气价格飙升 35% 后，会对欧洲天然气市场造成多大影响？

周四，欧洲天然气基准期货价格上涨高达 35%，达到每兆瓦时 68 欧元（78.09 美元）以上。

The city skyline is pictued in Dubai on March 11, 2026. The oil-rich Gulf has borne the brunt of Iran's attacks in response to US-Israeli strikes that sparked the Middle East war, with Tehran targeting US assets but also civilian infrastructure. (Photo by Giuseppe CACACE / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

伊朗战争考验海湾地区的交易能力，外国投资者正在评估风险

科威特一项价值数十亿美元的输油管道出售案，成为海湾地区交易机制受到美以伊战争冲击的早期迹象之一。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

The city skyline is pictured in Dubai on March 11, 2026.

Analysis

战争持续不断，市场还能对海湾地区的韧性抱有多久的信心？

专家表示，霍尔木兹海峡长期关闭以及对海湾能源基础设施的持续攻击可能会导致整个地区的信用状况恶化。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

Aluminum ingots in the Aluminium Dunkerque plant of the American Industrial Partner group on Jan. 13, 2022, in Loon-Plage, near Dunkirk, France.

伊朗战争重创海湾地区铝出口，全球近10%的供应面临风险

海湾地区是铝生产的重要中心，供应全球约 8% 至 9% 的产量，与战争相关的干扰现在势必会对工业供应链产生连锁反应。