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Iran

十月 4, 2026

Tehran 7:43 下午

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Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

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Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

Pedestrians walk past a mural at Palestine Square in central Tehran on July 8, 2025, as an anti-Israeli billboard is displayed on the facade of a building depicting the Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu with text in Persian and Hebrew reading "Netanyahu lost another war; you fell victim to Bibi's political games; Where will the next failure to stay in power occur?" (Photo by -- / AFP) (Photo by --/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

伊朗被削弱但未被击败，以色列敦促特朗普优先考虑威慑而非协议

以色列和美国同意阻止伊朗重启核计划，但在对德黑兰的政策偏好上存在分歧。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A plume of heavy smoke and fire rise from an oil refinery in southern Tehran after it was hit in an overnight Israeli strike, on June 15, 2025.

神秘火灾和疑似网络攻击暗示以色列与伊朗暗战升级

在与以色列的暗战似乎不断升级的情况下，伊朗外交部长表示核谈判仍有可能，但需要克服伊朗国内日益高涨的“反谈判”情绪。

Lufthansa Airbus A 340

受伊朗和加沙战争影响，中东航空公司运力下降 0.4%，而全球航空需求增长 2.6%

冲突导致的空域关闭和地区紧张局势扰乱了中东地区的航空公司。

Afghan refugees are pictured at the Islam Qala border crossing between Afghanistan and Iran on June 28, 2025, following their deportation from Iran.

过去三个月180万阿富汗人被驱逐出境后，塔利班抨击伊朗：需要了解的情况

近年来，伊朗与阿富汗关系在某些方面有所改善，尽管越来越多的阿富汗人被驱逐出伊朗伊斯兰共和国，导致局势紧张。

An Iranian flag flutters on board the Adrian Darya oil tanker, formerly known as Grace 1, off the coast of Gibraltar on Aug. 18, 2019.

特朗普政府公布迄今为止最大规模的制裁，针对伊朗石油“航运帝国”

制裁针对的是财政部认定与伊朗和俄罗斯石油运输网络有关联的 115 多名个人、实体和船只。

A train moves during the inauguration of a 140-kilometer line running from eastern Iran into western Afghanistan, at a railroad station in Khaf, on Dec. 10, 2020.

中国助力伊朗铁路电气化：需要了解的信息

随着两国关系的发展，伊朗第一副总统穆罕默德·礼萨·阿里夫周一会见了伊朗-中国联合商会的成员。

The low water inlet of the river upstream of the Amir Kabir dam along the Karaj river is pictured in Iran's northern Alborz mountain range on June 1, 2025. Tehran is facing a water shortage due to low rainfall last year and the beginning of summer. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

伊朗接近“归零日”：干旱、动乱和管理不善导致水危机加剧

伊朗缺水危机引发多个城市民众愤怒，基础设施落后和管理不善加剧了民众的不满。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Iranians cross a street by a billboard with a portrait of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Enqelab Square, Tehran, July, 9, 2025.

伊朗议会考虑对间谍行为施以更严厉的惩罚，处决人数翻倍至625人

联合国表示，今年迄今为止被处决的囚犯至少有 625 人，是去年同期的两倍多。

People walk past a mural drawn by the "Grafitiyul" graffiti art group depicting Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on a street in the Israeli coastal city of Tel Aviv on July 22, 2025. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY MENTION OF THE ARTIST UPON PUBLICATION - TO ILLUSTRATE THE EVENT AS SPECIFIED IN THE CAPTION (Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗拒绝与美国谈判，有条件继续遵守《不扩散核武器条约》：需要了解的信息

就在前一天，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普告诉记者，美国“不会允许”伊朗继续进行核浓缩活动。

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer attend a meeting with US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth at the Pentagon in Washington, on July 9, 2025.

以色列外长德默尔在华盛顿就加沙停火与伊朗进行会谈：需要了解的情况

战略事务部长罗恩·德默尔是以色列与哈马斯会谈和伊朗问题的首席谈判代表，他抵达华盛顿与特朗普政府讨论这两个问题。

Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiga (L) shakes hands with Israel's Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar in Kyiv on July 23, 2025, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. (Photo by Tetiana DZHAFAROVA / AFP) (Photo by TETIANA DZHAFAROVA/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列外长访问乌克兰标志着以色列从俄罗斯转向反伊朗联盟

以色列敦促乌克兰联合起来对抗它所认为的共同敌人——伊朗政府。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

The Soyuz-2.1b rocket carrying Russia's Meteor-M 2-1 meteorological satellite lifts off from the launch pad at the Vostochny Cosmodrome outside the city of Uglegorsk on Nov. 28, 2017.

Analysis

伊朗新卫星发射：航天飞跃还是俄罗斯支持的幻象？

伊朗历经近十年的挫折后，终于利用俄罗斯火箭发射了“纳希德二号”卫星。这一成就被誉为伊朗自主研发航天技术的里程碑，但也暴露出伊朗对莫斯科日益加深且日益不安的依赖。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics