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Iran

十月 4, 2026

Tehran 8:24 下午

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Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

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Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer pose for the media at a hotel prior to an E3 meeting on the sidelines of the 2025 NATO summit on June 24, 2025, in The Hague, Netherlands.

Analysis

伊朗采取措施避免 E3 的快速制裁

法国、英国和德国警告称，除非在遏制伊朗快速推进的核计划方面取得重大进展，否则他们将在 8 月底之前恢复联合国制裁。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

Iran's permanent representative to the United Nations, Kazem Gharibabadi, gives a press conference after the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors meeting in Vienna on July 10, 2019.

伊朗副外长称，在合作停止后，国际原子能机构将获得有限的准入

伊朗外交部副部长卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪表示，伊朗和国际原子能机构将讨论未来合作的“新模式”。

A general view shows the Iranian-Iraqi border crossing point of Bashmakh in the Kurdistan province, March 3, 2007.

两名伊朗边防警卫在库尔德斯坦省被杀：需要了解的情况

伊拉克同意在2023年将伊朗库尔德人群体迁移到远离边境的地方，但自那时起发生了一些冲突。

Photo depicts the low water level of Latyan Dam, which provides water to Tehran, located near Tehran, Iran, on May 8, 2025.

Analysis

水坝溃坝，信任破裂：伊朗水危机和热浪如何引发紧急状态

伊朗各地水电短缺已达到危机水平，导致公共服务大范围中断，并迫使工厂关闭。随着水库水位迅速下降，轮流停电事件增多，管理不善和改革迟缓的问题日益凸显。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Analysis

“我们不能把目光从球上移开”：E3 为伊朗核谈判做准备，以色列考虑下一步行动

虽然以色列和美国对德黑兰核设施的袭击造成了重大破坏，但并未将其彻底摧毁。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Traffic flows past a huge billboard bearing a painting of a missile falling on Israel with the slogan in Farsi: "The missile has fallen amidst the demons", on a main road in central Tehran on July 16, 2025. A 12-day war between Iran and Israel last month was sparked by an Israeli bombing campaign that hit military and nuclear sites as well as residential areas in Iran. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗与E3国家将在土耳其举行会谈，讨论国际原子能机构准入和快速恢复制裁问题

随着伊朗在日益增大的外交压力下重返与欧洲的核谈判，土耳其重申了其作为高风险外交地区重要东道主的角色。

This handout photo made available by the Iranian Army Office on March 12, 2025, shows navy personnel saluting aboard a Chinese military ship during a joint Iranian-Russian-Chinese drill in the Gulf of Oman.

伊朗、俄罗斯在与中国举行三边核谈判前举行海军演习

伊朗和俄罗斯海军开始在里海举行联合军事演习，这反映出两国关系的深化，就在几周前，伊朗与以色列爆发了为期 12 天的战争，而伊朗与美国的核谈判也破裂了。

Bedouin and tribal fighters deploy as a car burns at the western entrance of Syria's Druze heartland of Suwayda on July 18, 2025.

Analysis

叙利亚德鲁兹危机为何令伊朗感到震惊却又证明其正确性

伊朗将叙利亚南部最近的紧张局势升级作为其长期以来对后阿萨德时代地区局势发出警告的证明，同时对以色列试图重新绘制地区地图的阴谋深感担忧。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A picture shows a view of the damage following Israeli strikes on the Syrian army and Defense Ministry headquarters in Damascus, on July 16, 2025.

叙利亚和伊朗袭击后，以色列国防部长将访问五角大楼：需要了解的信息

以色列国防部长以色列·卡茨预计将在华盛顿与国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯和其他美国高级官员会面，讨论伊朗和叙利亚的最新事态发展。

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi talks on his mobile phone ahead the family photo during the 51st session of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) in Istanbul, on June 21, 2025.

伊朗外长阿拉格奇在上海会晤时强调中俄关系

伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格奇抓住在中国举行的上海合作组织峰会的机会，谴责以色列和美国对伊朗的袭击，争取外交支持反对制裁，并警告称，脆弱的停火一旦破裂，将导致地区不稳定。

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres (L) and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi talk.

随着对伊朗制裁期限临近，以下是有关联合国快速恢复制裁的一些信息

随着10月份《联合全面行动计划》快速恢复期限的临近，西方大国正在考虑使用该机制，而伊朗警告称，此举将破坏达成新核协议的进程。

A US Army MIM-104 Patriot anti-missile defense launcher stands ahead of the arrival of former US President Joe Biden at Rzeszow Airport on March 25, 2022, in Rzeszow, Poland.

Analysis

特朗普向乌克兰出售爱国者导弹凸显伊朗的扩散威胁

俄罗斯使用伊朗式武装无人机袭击乌克兰城市，这继续考验美国有限的防空和导弹防御系统生产能力，让五角大楼的规划人员感到烦恼，并引发欧洲盟友的新一轮紧迫感。

Jared Szuba

由 Jared Szuba

In Washington, DC, reporting on defense, national security, military