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Iran

十月 4, 2026

Tehran 3:14 上午

19°C

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Latest News

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

The US Navy aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford departs Souda Bay on the island of Crete, on Feb. 26, 2026.

美国航母逼近中东，日内瓦会谈结束，伊朗问题谈判未取得突破。

美国旗舰航空母舰“杰拉尔德·R·福特”号正在穿越地中海，与此同时，美国和伊朗谈判代表在日内瓦结束了第三轮会谈。

Emergency workers check the damage caused to a building from an Iranian missile strike in Beersheba in southern Israel on June 24, 2025. Israel said on June 24 it had agreed to US President Donald Trump's proposal for a ceasefire with Iran, on the 12th day of war between the foes. (Photo by John Wessels / AFP) (Photo by JOHN WESSELS/AFP via Getty Images)

澳大利亚敦促外交官家属离开黎巴嫩和以色列：你需要了解什么

澳大利亚的命令是在美国指示其驻黎巴嫩大使馆非必要人员撤离的第二天发布的。

Brandon Bell/Getty Images

美伊谈判前，油价和市场消化升级风险

由于关键的美伊会谈定于周四举行，市场继续调整应对中东局势升级带来的风险，以防外交努力失败。

A member of the security forces stands guard during a rally marking the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran on Feb. 11, 2026.

新西兰因镇压抗议活动对40名伊朗官员实施制裁

继澳大利亚、美国、德国等国之后，新西兰成为最新一个因伊朗镇压行动而对其实施制裁的国家。

Fires are lit as protesters rally on Jan. 8, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

伊朗学生抗议活动进入第四天，校园抗议活动试探政权控制的底线

伊朗的大学已经重新开放，但情况还没有恢复正常，学生们公开高喊要求政权更迭的口号，并宣扬不同的政治理念。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队测试新型武器，与此同时，美国第二艘航空母舰逼近该地区。

这是伊朗军队在过去两周内进行的至少第三次演习。

Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Analysis

以色列担心特朗普会为伊朗核僵局达成部分协议扫清障碍。

以色列担心，美国对伊朗进行有限的打击，然后进行谈判，会导致达成一项不完整的核协议，该协议将排除弹道导弹和代理人问题。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

(EDITOR'S NOTE: This Handout image was provided by a third-party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images' editorial policy.) In this handout photo obtained from the U.S. Defence Department, Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) sails alongside Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Frank E. Petersen Jr. (DDG 121) and Lewis and Clark-class dry cargo ship USNS Carl Brashear (T-AKE 7) in the Arabian Sea, Feb. 6, 2026. According to the U.S. government, the Abraham Lincoln

Analysis

面对日益增长的美国军事压力，伊朗正努力制定最终方案。

随着华盛顿方面收紧最后期限并部署资源，德黑兰正在迅速展开外交攻势，同时也在为日益被视为某种程度的不可避免的对抗做准备。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

石油、天然气和伊朗核僵局：商业交易能否影响特朗普的考量？

随着伊朗和美国核谈判的继续，德黑兰一直在推动达成商业交易而不是军事设施的想法，提出的方案涵盖石油和天然气到航空等领域。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stands amid debris outside the Soroka Hospital in the southern city of Beersheba, after it was hit by a missile fired from Iran on June 19, 2025. Israel's defence minister warned that Iran's supreme leader "can no longer be allowed to exist" after a hospital was hit in an Iranian missile strike on June 19, spiking tensions in the week-old war. (Photo by Marc Israel SELLEM / POOL / AFP) (Photo by MARC ISRAEL SELLEM/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

尽管以色列国防精英发出警告，内塔尼亚胡仍力主对伊朗发动袭击。

尽管以色列顾问警告不要让美国陷入战争，但总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡并未掩饰他想要推翻伊朗伊斯兰共和国的愿望。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

This handout photo made available by the Iranian Army Office on March 11, 2025 shows the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy guided-missile destroyer Baotou (133) during joint military drills between Iran, Russia, and China in the Gulf of Oman.

伊朗和俄罗斯举行海军演习，阿拉格奇向沙特外长通报核谈判情况

越来越多的迹象表明，随着达成新的伊朗核协议的势头停滞不前，美国可能即将发动军事打击。

DENMARK-NORWAY-US-FRANCE-NATO-ARMY-DEFENCE-EXERCISE Picture taken on September 24, 2025 from the French Navy frigate Bretagne shows F-18 fighter jets on the deck of the the world's largest aircraft carrier USS Gerald R Ford as both ships are taking part in the NATO Neptune Strike 2025 exercise in the North Sea. According to NATO, more than 10,000 sailors, soldiers, aviators and marines from 13 allied nations took part in the large-scale multinational enhanced Vigilance Activity, running from September 22 to

美国已做好军舰、战机和油轮的准备，应对可能持续数周的伊朗战争。

五角大楼组建了自 2003 年以来规模最大的中东打击部队，增加了 F-35、F-22、加油机、电子战飞机和指挥飞机，以及第二艘航母。