Iran - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012

Iran cover image

Iran

八月 16, 2026

Tehran 12:48 下午

37°C

A Baluch Iranian man rides a bicycle

Analysis

伊朗为何在动荡不安的俾路支斯坦加强战时镇压？

伊朗东南部的一系列安全行动凸显了德黑兰长期以来的担忧，即战争时期的不稳定可能会加剧长期存在的种族、教派和经济矛盾。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Motorists drive vehicles past a billboard depicting Iran's late supreme leader Ali Khamenei along a street in central Tehran on August 8, 2026. Hopes for an imminent US-Iran deal to end the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz added to optimism that oil and gas, along with other key products, would again start flowing freely after more than five months of war. But oil prices turned higher ahead of the weekend in the absence of any confirmation of an accord, amid reports that Iran was planning to block US and Is

Explainer

加入金砖国家银行对伊朗摇摇欲坠的经济意味着什么？

伊朗中央银行行长本周前往印度参加新开发银行财长会议时表示，伊朗将很快加入该银行。

A photograph obtained from the Iranian Students’ News Agency shows an oil slick along the southern coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, August 13, 2026.

阿曼和伊朗格什姆岛附近海域的石油泄漏在战争中造成环境破坏。

据估计，阿曼海岸附近的一次漏油事件覆盖面积超过 772 平方英里，对当地栖息地造成了毁灭性破坏。

Children swimming in the Strait of Hormuz

伊朗霍尔木兹海峡管理局否认美国对该海峡的控制权主张：你需要了解什么

特朗普政府官员表示，经由霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输量正在上升，但海上交通量仍然减少。

Latest News

霍尔木兹海峡船只遇袭，谈判陷入僵局，交通量降至一周以来最低点

port attack

Analysis

卡尼访问巴格达揭示了伊朗战后困境的哪些方面？

The commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Esmail Qaani, speaks during a commemoration ceremony marking the anniversary of the 2020 killing of Guards general Qasem Soleimani (on screen) in the capital Tehran on Jan. 3, 2024.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

据报道，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队指挥官卡尼在民兵最后期限前已抵达伊拉克。

Qaani

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊任命六名军事指挥官：你需要了解什么

image of Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

A member of the Iranian security forces stands guard next to a banner honoring Iran's slain supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in Tehran on March 31, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗处决据称是“人民圣战者组织”（MEK）成员的伊朗，意在表明其战时控制力。

伊朗处决四名据称是反对派成员的人，凸显了其加强国内控制的战时战略——利用熟悉的“敌人”叙事来控制内部异议和不确定性。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks to MPs at his party's group meeting in the Turkish parliament on Jan. 21, 2026 in Ankara, Turkey.

Analysis

伊朗战争如何极大地提振了土耳其总统埃尔多安的地位？

民意调查显示，尽管土耳其的财政状况依然脆弱，但土耳其民众仍然将埃尔多安视为战争期间的稳定力量。

Amberin Zaman

由 Amberin Zaman

Reporting on geopolitics, minorities, human rights, culture

Flag of Iran on a computer binary codes falling from the top and fading away.

Handala 是什么组织？这个黑客组织与美国情报部门有联系。

Handala Hack Team 自称是亲巴勒斯坦组织，但外界普遍认为它与伊朗情报部门有关联。

Exhaust emits from the engine of a passenger jet as it prepares for take off at Heathrow Airport on March 30, 2006, in London, England.

航空燃油短缺暴露了欧洲对中东供应的依赖

非洲大陆的立法者们已被告知要“及时做好准备，以应对该地区能源供应可能出现的长期中断”。

People sit in a cafe outside the Apple Store in Dubai on May 8, 2025.

伊朗将美国科技和金融公司列入新的中东威胁名单

Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar meets with his Chinese counterpart, Wang Yi, at the Diaoytai State Guest House in Beijing, China, March 31, 2026.

中国和巴基斯坦宣布结束伊朗战争的五点计划：你需要了解什么

巴基斯坦外交部长伊沙克·达尔在访问北京期间发出了这一呼吁。此次访问是伊斯兰堡为调解美以伊战争而进行的外交斡旋的一部分。

People inspect destruction at a business building that housed the offices of the Doha-headquartered news network Al Araby TV following a missile strike earlier in the day, Tehran, Iran, March 29, 2026.

Analysis

以色列敦促美国升级对伊朗的军事行动，甚至可能发动地面入侵。

以色列已明确表示不会向伊朗部署地面部队，但如果特朗普政府选择采取行动，以色列将坚决支持美国的军事行动。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Jean-Christophe VERHAEGEN / AFP via Getty Images

道达尔能源如何将海湾危机转化为10亿美元的意外之财

由于海湾地区的能源流动被切断，非中东地区的能源公司尤其受益。

A general view of South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port town of Assaluyeh, on the Gulf, Nov. 19, 2015.

Analysis

伊朗战争冲击能源安全，石油资源丰富的海湾国家或面临电力短缺。

这场冲突引发了全球石油价格冲击，与此同时，海湾国家还必须应对日益严重的能源安全威胁，包括电力短缺和淡化水流失。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Sedat Suna/Getty Images

Analysis

储能保障土耳其经济稳定，但长期战争会危及脆弱的经济。

由于拥有储能设施和多元化的供应渠道，土耳其避免了立即出现能源短缺，但价格飙升和长期供应中断威胁着通货膨胀。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) is joined by Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer and other officials for a meeting with US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (not pictured) at the Pentagon, July 9, 2025.

德默尔的回归使内塔尼亚胡的“大脑”成为美以博弈的核心。

德默尔曾任以色列战略事务部长，被认为是内塔尼亚胡最亲密的伙伴之一，两人共事超过二十年。

Pieces of missiles and drones recovered after Iran's strikes are displayed during a press briefing by the UAE government held in Abu Dhabi on March 3, 2026.

Analysis

随着战争范围扩大到传统战线之外，伊朗政权将目光转向阿联酋。

伊朗强硬派当局正加大对阿拉伯联合酋长国的威胁力度，这预示着针对这个海湾国家的行动目标可能会发生转变，以支持美国和以色列的军事行动。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics