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六月 25, 2026

Tehran 6:29 上午

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伊朗战争后霍尔木兹海峡交通恢复，油价跌破74美元。

截至美国东部时间上午 10:40，国际油价基准布伦特原油价格为每桶 73.81 美元，较周二收盘价下跌 4.2%。

An Iranian man rides his motorbike past a billboard on May 28, 2026.

Analysis

为何伊朗将军们在谈判期间加剧反美言论

伊朗军方和安全机构的领导人物认为，与华盛顿签署的备忘录并非最终协议，而是与战场现实相关的有条件安排。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

AMIRHOSSEIN KHORGOOEI / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images

Explainer

霍尔木兹海峡收费站和冻结资金对美伊和平进程构成早期考验

尽管美伊双方都在努力结束这场持续四个月的冲突，但上周美伊协议的宣布已经出现了一些早期裂痕。

Speaker of the parliament of Iran, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (R), arrives at the Burgenstock resort in Obbuergen, near Lucerne, Switzerland, on June 21, 2026.

伊朗加利巴夫在阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡问题举行会谈：你需要了解什么

上周签署的美伊谅解备忘录呼吁伊朗和阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡未来的管理问题举行会谈。

Latest News

Explainer

卡塔尔爆炸事件凸显重启海湾能源流动的挑战

Qatar's Energy Minister and CEO of QatarEnergy Saad Sherida al-Kaabi speaks during a press conference in Doha on June 22, 2026.

美国和伊朗将成立黎巴嫩问题“冲突降级小组”，黎巴嫩政府被边缘化。

Cars drive past billboards showing Iran's new Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei (L) and his late father Ali Khamenei (R), with the slogan "Thank you, loyal Iran," erected along the highway leading to Rafik Hariri International Airport, Beirut, Lebanon, June 22, 2026.

伊朗和美国释放和平协议进展信号后，油价下跌超过3%。

MUSCAT, OMAN - JUNE 21: Oil tankers and cargo vessels remain anchored off Port Sultan Qaboos around Qaboos Port on June 21, 2026 in Muscat, Oman. The Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for the region's oil and gas, was effectively blockaded since the outbreak of war between the United States and Iran in late February. This week's provisional peace deal between the countries was meant to reopen the waterway to shipping traffic, but the pace of that reopening is unclear amid continued fighting in Lebano

Analysis

伊朗战争后，海湾国防企业为何将目光投向欧洲？

Illustration picture taken during the Eurosatory Defense and Security fair in Paris, France ,on June 15, 2026.

Francesco Schiavi

由 Francesco Schiavi

In Bologna, reporting on security, defense, economy, governance

A missile launches from IRIS Sabalan, an Alvand-class frigate of the Iranian Navy, during the Velayat 91 drill in the Gulf of Oman on January 1, 2013. The Velayat 91 drill is a sixday Iranian naval exercise held in late December 2012 and early January 2013 across the Strait of Hormuz, the Sea of Oman, and the northern Indian Ocean to test naval readiness and secure strategic waterways. (Photo by Mohammadali Najib / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)

俄罗斯、中国、伊朗将在霍尔木兹海峡举行联合海军演习：你需要了解哪些信息

此次演习正值三国加强联系之际，而美国对伊朗的经济和军事压力也在不断加大。

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (L) and Deputy Foreign Minister for Political Affairs Majid Takht-Ravanchi on a flight to Muscat, Oman, to participate in talks with the US over Tehran's nuclear program, Feb. 5, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗谈判团队内部：阿拉格奇、塔赫特-拉万奇寻求策略性接触

在阿曼举行第一轮会谈后，德黑兰和华盛顿之间谨慎的外交努力正缓慢推进，人们的注意力转向了那些肩负着引导中东地区最重要谈判之一重任的人。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Iranian protesters block a street as a slogan against Iran's supreme leader is spray-painted nearby during a demonstration in Shiraz, Iran, on Jan. 10, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗如何利用数字压制和与中国的科技联系来镇压异议

尽管伊朗的街头抗议活动已基本平息，但斗争已转移到数字领域，在那里，由服务器、卫星和集中控制组成的复杂基础设施正被用来压制异议。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Steve Witkoff, US special envoy to the Middle East, (C) Adm. Brad Cooper, commander of the United States Central Command (CENTCOM), (L) and Jared Kushner listen as US Vice President JD Vance speaks.

Analysis

特朗普为何将伊朗谈判的希望寄托于军方领导人？

白宫已调动美国高级军事指挥官来推动与对手的复杂谈判，但他们能否帮助推进特朗普的政策要求？

Jared Szuba

由 Jared Szuba

In Washington, DC, reporting on defense, national security, military

US President Donald Trump shakes hands with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago club on Dec. 29, 2025, in Palm Beach, Florida.

Analysis

尽管以色列方面表示担忧，但消息人士称，特朗普将伊朗谈判期限延长至多两个月。

消息人士透露，美国总统特朗普决定为与伊朗的谈判设定最后期限，而以色列总理内塔尼亚胡对此毫不知情。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

US President Donald Trump welcomes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to his Mar-a-Lago club on Dec. 29, 2025, in Palm Beach, Florida.

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡对特朗普加倍推进伊朗外交表示“怀疑”

特朗普总统表示，他更倾向于达成协议，但警告说，如果外交努力失败，伊朗将面临“惨痛的”后果。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

A handout photo made available by Iran's Supreme National Security Council office shows Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani (C) arriving in Muscat, Oman, on Feb. 10, 2026.

伊朗外长拉里贾尼在卡塔尔会见哈马斯领导人：你需要了解什么

卡塔尔和阿曼在伊朗和美国之间进行调解，避免军事对抗蔓延到该地区其他地方，发挥了至关重要的作用。

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan speaks during a press statement with his French counterpart in Ankara, on Jan. 27, 2026.

菲丹：伊朗核突破可能将土耳其拖入地区军备竞赛

土耳其最高外交官表示，伊朗的核突破可能会将安卡拉推入核竞赛，但他拒绝透露土耳其是否会发展自己的核武器。

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 29: U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff (L) shakes hands with U.S. President Donald Trump (R) as U.S. Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum (2L) and Kathryn Burgum (2R) look on in the Oval Office at the White House on January 29, 2026 in Washington, DC. U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order to coordinate a federal government response to drug addiction. (Photo by Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡担心伊朗核协议，急于前往美国游说特朗普，绕过维特科夫

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡将飞往华盛顿，劝说美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在与德黑兰的谈判中不要忘记伊朗的弹道导弹项目及其代理人。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

03/04/2021 Asalouyeh, Iran. A view of refinery No. 2 (Phases 2, 3) of the? South Pars Gas-Condensate field in Asalouyeh Seaport, north of the Persian? Gulf in Iran.The South Pars Gas-Condensate field, the world's largest natural gas field, is shared with Qatar (North Dome) (Photo by Saeid Arabzadeh / Middle East Images / Middle East Images via AFP) (Photo by SAEID ARABZADEH/Middle East Images /AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

新的核协议并非解决伊朗未开发天然气储量的灵丹妙药

伊朗天然气储量估计达 32 万亿立方米，但由于国际制裁的重压，一直未能开发利用。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

Iranians ride their motorbike past a huge banner of former Iran Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani ahead of the sixth anniversary of his assassination, in Tehran, Dec. 31, 2025.

Analysis

即使伊朗经济每况愈下，为何伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队的影子帝国仍能延续下去？

专家表示，凭借秘密行动的能力，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队在伊朗最重要的领域拥有巨大的权力，这使得该组织免受当前经济动荡的影响。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

A man holds a poster of Abdullah Ocalan, Turkish-jailed founder of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), during a gathering of Turkish Kurds for Nowruz celebrations in Diyarbakir, southeast Turkey, on March 21, 2025.

Analysis

伊朗核谈判从土耳其转移到阿曼，加剧了安卡拉对库尔德工人党的担忧。

安卡拉对德黑兰将会晤地点改到阿曼不以为意，但担心伊朗只支持核武器的立场正在缩小外交空间，并加剧美国军事升级的风险。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security