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Iran

十月 11, 2026

Tehran 2:07 上午

19°C

In this pool photograph distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik, Russia's President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian shake hands during a meeting in Turkmenbashi on Oct. 8, 2026.

Analysis

普京提出帮助结束伊朗战争，但俄罗斯能做到吗？

在华盛顿和德黑兰权衡下一步行动之际，莫斯科正寻求在战争中获得外交立足点，因为在战争中，影响力可能更难转化为具体成果。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump speaks at the "Golden Age of American Innovation Summit" at the Institute of Peace in Washington, DC, on Oct. 8, 2026.

特朗普在保持对伊朗军事压力的同时，也为伊朗提供达成核协议的途径。

伊朗此前曾讨论过在浓缩铀问题上做出妥协。

GRAND ISLAND, NEBRASKA - OCTOBER 05: U.S. President Donald Trump wraps up an appearance at a campaign rally at Pinnacle Bank Expo Center on the Nebraska State Fairgrounds on October 05, 2026 in Grand Island, Nebraska. Trump is campaigning for incumbent U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts (R-NE) and Gov. Jim Pillen ahead of the November midterm elections. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Analysis

达成协议还是开战？以色列担忧特朗普下一步对伊朗的举措可能带来的后果。

鉴于华盛顿在是否发动新的军事行动问题上态度矛盾，以色列正努力解读白宫对伊朗的意图。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A Baluch Iranian man rides a bicycle in Zahedan, in the southeastern province of Sistan-Baluchistan bordering Afghanistan on Dec. 18, 2025, during a media tour organized by the Iranian government.

伊朗锡斯坦-俾路支斯坦省袭击事件激增。

伊朗当局指责外国支持的武装团体是东南部一系列致命袭击的幕后黑手，这引发了人们对与美国重新开战的担忧。

Latest News

佩泽什基扬将与普京会晤，伊朗寻求俄罗斯支持：你需要了解哪些信息

Russia's President Vladimir Putin and Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian hold a meeting on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Bishkek, on Sept. 1, 2026.

伊朗加入上海合作组织联合军演，中国则拒绝直接介入美伊战争。

Kyrgyz servicemen take part in the "Eurasia-Antiterror 2023" joint military drills

Explainer

鲁比奥说伊朗“失去了”霍尔木兹岛。真是这样吗？

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks at the Pnyx hill, where ancient Athenians held democratic assemblies, with the ancient Parthenon temple atop the Acropolis seen in the background, in Athens on October 7, 2026. (Photo by Mark Schiefelbein / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

美国对伊朗铀浓缩的立场不明朗，万斯敦促大幅削减铀产量

Vance

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to the press as he departs Tel Aviv for Qatar following an official visit, at Ben Gurion International Airport, near Lod, Israel, September 16, 2025. Israel heavily bombarded Gaza City on September 16 2025, witnesses told AFP, after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio backed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's new offensive there and its stated goal of eradicating Hamas. (Photo by NATHAN HOWARD / POOL / AFP) (Photo by NATHAN HOWARD/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

黎巴嫩和以色列开始谈判，鲁比奥能否迫使内塔尼亚胡停火？

一位以色列外交消息人士告诉《中东观察报》：“唐纳德·特朗普向本雅明·内塔尼亚胡施压，促成了这些谈判……特朗普认为黎巴嫩正在发生的事情是一个棘手的问题，使他无法解决与伊朗的主要问题。”

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Meloni

梅洛尼暂停意大利与以色列的军事合作协议

意大利总理乔治娅·梅洛尼宣布，意大利与以色列的军事合作协议将不再自动续签。

Getty Images

美国封锁霍尔木兹海峡之际，中国呼吁各方保持克制，并拒绝放弃伊朗石油的呼吁。

随着美国开始封锁霍尔木兹海峡，围绕脆弱停火协议的地区外交活动日益激烈，北京和安卡拉呼吁各方保持冷静。

Pope Leo XIV

“无所畏惧”：教皇利奥抵达阿尔及利亚时反驳特朗普的攻击

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普因首位美国籍教皇批评以色列-美国在伊朗的战争而升级了对他的攻击。

Elke Scholiers/Getty Images

随着美国采取行动封锁霍尔木兹海峡，油价重回100美元以上。

随着美国开始封锁霍尔木兹海峡，预计能源价格将继续剧烈波动。

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) walks with Prime Minister of Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif upon his arrival during an official ceremony at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, Turkey on June 1, 2022. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP) (Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

土耳其在美伊停火中扮演的角色

土耳其利用其情报网络和与华盛顿和德黑兰罕见的联系，悄悄促成了美伊停火，同时推进了自身的地区安全优先事项。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

People gather under a large portrait of Iran's new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, during a memorial to mark the 40th day since his father, Ali Ayatollah Khamenei, was killed in US-Israeli joint strikes, on April 9, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

停火却无缓解：伊朗人如何应对战后镇压

虽然枪声暂时停止，但伊朗国内却面临着另一种压力：逮捕行动激增，互联网仍然中断，数百万人面临脆弱的战后经济不确定性。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A woman walks past a digital screen displaying news of US-Iran peace talks along a road in Islamabad on April 10, 2026.

在伊斯兰堡，美国将在谈判桌上面对一个更加强硬的伊朗。

战后伊朗的野心日益扩大，其中包括试图永久控制霍尔木兹海峡。

TOPSHOT - Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli strike that targeted an area in Beirut on April 8, 2026. Israel launched a series of strikes on Beirut on April 8, the most violent attack on the Lebanese capital since the start of war. The strikes came as Iran-backed armed group Hezbollah, which drew Lebanon into the Middle East war by attacking Israel on March 2, claimed it was close to a "historic victory". (Photo by Dylan COLLINS / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

在华盛顿会谈之前，以色列别无选择，只能接受黎巴嫩停火。

由于真主党不太可能很快解除武装，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡别无选择，只能同意与贝鲁特进行直接谈判。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Fu Cong, China's permanent representative to the UN, speaks during a UN Security Council meeting regarding the situation in the Middle East on April 7, 2026, in New York City. A vote on a resolution in the Security Council introduced by Bahrain focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz failed after opposition from Russia and China. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Analysis

制裁解除和巴基斯坦的作用促使中国支持伊朗-美国停火

美国与伊朗的停火协议提升了巴基斯坦（中国最亲密的伙伴之一）的地位，提高了其作为调解人的作用，并加强了有利于北京盟友的地区平衡。

Joyce Karam

由 Joyce Karam , Rosaleen Carroll

TOPSHOT - People watch from a street as a tall smoke plume billows following an explosion in the Fujairah industrial zone on March 3, 2026. Iran's strikes on Gulf neighbours since February 28, following the US-Israeli attack, forced the UAE to shut its airspace, blindsiding travellers who thought they were headed to one of the region's safest holiday destinations. (Photo by Fadel SENNA / AFP via Getty Images)

阿联酋表示不再与伊朗进行任何“客套”，并寻求澄清脆弱的停火协议条款。

阿联酋表示，伊朗必须为冲突期间造成的损失支付“赔偿金”。

United Arab Emirates

This picture taken on April 9, 2026, shows the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the Basta neighbourhood of Beirut the day before. Calls were mounting for the ceasefire between the US and Iran to be extended to Israel's war with Hezbollah, after a massive wave of Israeli strikes on Lebanon killed more than 200 people. (Photo by FADEL itani / AFP via Getty Images)

黎巴嫩拒绝伊朗代表其进行谈判，总理表示只有贝鲁特才能主导谈判。

以色列发动了自战争以来对黎巴嫩规模最大的袭击，向该国发射了超过160枚炮弹。当局称，至少203人死亡，1072人受伤，另有33人失踪。