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Iran

六月 17, 2026

Tehran 8:46 下午

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US President Donald Trump arrives to attend a musical interlude before a gala dinner as part of the G7 summit, in Evian, eastern France, on June 16, 2026.

特朗普称协议“尚未最终敲定”，警告伊朗“守规矩”，否则将面临新一轮打击。

唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁说，如果他不满意这项协议，他将“重操旧业”。

An Iranian woman waves a national flag at Valiasr Square in Tehran on June 15, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗强硬派为何因与美国的协议而反目成仇

伊朗与美国签署的谅解备忘录引发了伊朗政权内部不寻常的争斗，官方称其为胜利，而强硬派则担心其中存在战略让步和隐藏陷阱。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Snipers set up their positions above of the US Capitol on Feb. 24, 2026 in Washington, DC.

伊朗核协议未向立法者公开，引发各方密切关注。

共和党人和民主党人都呼吁白宫向他们展示协议内容。

MAHMOUD ZAYYAT / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

伊朗内部在黎巴嫩问题上的分歧将如何影响与美国的谈判

熟悉德黑兰和华盛顿之间间接讨论的消息人士告诉《中东观察报》，伊朗已准备对周日贝鲁特袭击事件做出重大回应。

Ali Hashem

In Doha, reporting on Iran, regional politics, conflict

Latest News

特朗普用一份占位符性质的伊朗协议回避核问题。

President Donald Trump speaks before signing a proclamation in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on June 11, 2026.

海湾国家谨慎欢迎美伊协议，真主党向德黑兰表示祝贺

Veiled women in black Chadors wave Iran and Hezbollah flags during commemoration at the Iranian embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, on April 22, 2026.

特朗普、万斯签署伊朗-美国框架协议

A police officer stands holding a flag in Valiasr Square beneath a mural of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on April 23, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

“他知道一切都结束了”：以色列重新调整战略之际，内塔尼亚胡如何回应特朗普的伊朗核协议

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump

从伊朗到土耳其，中东如何应对美国大选

距美国总统大选仅剩一天，中东地区如何预期其结果？

A picture taken on March 12, 2017, shows a view of an oil facility in the Khark Island, on the shore of the Gulf.

特朗普和哈里斯当选总统将如何影响中东石油市场

特朗普倾向于对 OPEC 采取更加干预的态度，而拜登-哈里斯政府则利用美国的战略石油储备来影响石油政策

This picture, created on Oct. 25, 2024, shows US Vice President and Democratic Presidential candidate Kamala Harris in Houston, Texas, on Oct. 25, 2024, and former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in East Del Valle, Austin, Texas, on Oct. 25, 2024.

Analysis

特朗普或哈里斯的选举胜利对伊朗意味着什么？

随着美国为 2024 年大选做准备，伊朗正密切关注，评估两位候选人的胜利将如何影响制裁和核外交等关键问题，以及其地区政治和对以色列的敌意。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a remembrance event to mark the first anniversary of the Hamas attack on Israel at Trump National Doral golf club in Miami, Florida, on Oct. 7, 2024.

特朗普或哈里斯的胜利将如何影响中东

本期内容解析了哈里斯或特朗普出任总统对以色列在该地区多线战争的轨迹意味着什么。

A man walks past an anti-Israel billboard covering the facade of a building in Tehran on October 26, 2024. Residents of Tehran awoke and went about their business as planned on October 26 after their sleep was troubled by Israeli strikes that triggered blasts that echoed across the city. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

在以色列紧张局势下，伊朗国防预算增加 200% 意味着什么

尽管赤字不断扩大、通货膨胀率创下历史新高，且有报道称伊朗防空设施和导弹生产中心在最近的以色列袭击中遭到严重破坏，但伊朗仍计划增加预算。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Naim Qassem

纳伊姆·卡西姆成为真主党领导人对伊朗和黎巴嫩意味着什么

与真主党其他重要人物不同，纳伊姆·卡西姆与伊朗的关系并不特别密切，而且缺乏纳斯鲁拉的魅力。

Commuters drive past a billboard bearing pictures of Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian (2-L), armed forces chief of staff Major General Mohammad Bagheri (L) US President Joe Biden (2-R) and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) in Vali-Asr square in Tehran on Oct. 27, 2024.

大选临近，美国呼吁保持冷静，伊朗考虑对以色列的袭击作出回应

以色列的最新袭击似乎是经过精心策划的，目的是避免德黑兰局势的大幅升级，从而引发全面的地区战争。

An Israeli Air Force F-35I Adir multirole fighter aircraft flies over the Negev Desert after taking off from a military base en route to the Gaza Strip on Oct. 14, 2023.

五角大楼在警告以色列不要袭击伊朗核目标后否认参与了以色列对伊朗的袭击

以色列军方向德黑兰方面发出信号，表示无论是否得到美国的直接支持，以色列都可以从远处袭击其核设施。

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 28: U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu participate in a joint statement in the East Room of the White House on January 28, 2020 in Washington, DC. The news conference was held to announce the Trump administration's plan to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. (Photo by Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列内塔尼亚胡“梦想”特朗普获胜，给伊朗最后一击

尽管以色列政府声称的战争目标包括避免地区战争和与伊朗的持续对抗，但前总统唐纳德·特朗普的连任可能会改变这种局面。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

An undated image shows Lesser Tunb, one of three islands disputed between Iran and the UAE.

Analysis

伊朗在争议岛屿上兴建住房项目考验伊朗与阿联酋的关系

德黑兰宣布在阿布穆萨实施住房项目，这凸显了这片争议领土长期存在的历史紧张局势。

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

This photograph taken on January 16, 2024, shows partly covered in snow the wreckage of Iranian made Shahed drone launched at Ukraine, at Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise, in Kyiv, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. At a research facility in Kyiv, forensic experts pour over the wreckage of missiles, working to confirm that despite unprecedented sanctions, Russia is still using imported components to attack Ukraine. The courtyard of the Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensi

Analysis

伊朗与俄罗斯即将达成的协议巩固反西方关系和乌克兰合作

俄罗斯和伊朗即将签署一项重要合作协议。但这份文件还不能算作真正的联盟，因为两国既是合作伙伴，又是竞争对手。

Emil Avdaliani

由 Emil Avdaliani

Police officers are seen outside the Israeli embassy in Stockholm, Jan. 31, 2024.

Analysis

伊朗如何通过招募犯罪网络转移欧洲代理人战争

伊朗对当地有组织的帮派的依赖日益增加，这或许表明，在欧洲人认为无法对抗给非洲大陆安全带来严重风险的新代理人战争的背景下，伊朗正在制定更广泛的计划，以适应不断变化的地缘政治格局。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics