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Iran

十月 4, 2026

Tehran 10:26 上午

23°C

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Latest News

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

This photograph taken on April 26, 2023 shows the construction of the Russian-built Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant in Mersin Province. - Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will try to offset his absence from the campaign trail weeks before crucial elections by unveiling the nuclear plant by video link. (Photo by OZAN KOSE / AFP) (Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

中东核能目标面临考验，土耳其和沙特阿拉伯力求取得突破

尽管该地区的核能热潮原本应该在 2025 年全面展开，但所有关键项目都已落后于计划或完全夭折——但新的势头可能正在出现。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

A large anti-Israeli banner portraying an image of a Palestinian fighter and the slogan in Persian and Hebrew, "Endless Voice of Resistance," is erected in Palestine Square in Tehran on Dec. 31, 2025, after Israel's Mossad spy agency issued a direct call urging Iranians to press on with protests.

Analysis

伊朗动乱：抗议蔓延，政权权衡各种方案，四种可能情景

伊朗动乱持续近一周，伤亡人数不断攀升，唐纳德·特朗普威胁要“营救”示威者，加剧了紧张局势，迫使德黑兰在应对国内不断升级的动乱的同时，还要面对外国干预和政权更迭的担忧。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A woman walks past a currency exchange office in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2025, as Iranians feel economic strain deepen, with prices soaring and the rial sinking to new lows.

Analysis

伊朗爆发新一轮抗议，经济困境与日益增长的外部压力交织在一起。

最新一波抗议活动正从市场蔓延到大学校园，德黑兰与华盛顿和以色列互相发出警告。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Analysis

伊朗威胁、奉承、悬而未决的矛盾：特朗普在海湖庄园究竟给了内塔尼亚胡什么？

在海湖庄园的会晤中，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡大加赞扬，但几乎没有提出任何具体的成就。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

澳大利亚液化天然气交易标志着土耳其能源多元化进程中的最新一步

尽管土耳其没有丰富的石油和天然气资源，但安卡拉希望将自己定位为连接欧洲和亚洲的区域天然气枢纽。

Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

在海湖庄园，内塔尼亚胡寻求批准对伊朗发动袭击，而特朗普则敦促推进加沙计划。

预计美国总统唐纳德·特朗普将推动以色列进入其加沙和平计划的第二阶段，而以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将专注于确保特朗普批准对伊朗弹道导弹计划进行潜在打击。

Bahram / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

从迫在眉睫的战争到货币崩溃：伊朗在2025年末面临严峻挑战

在战争威胁和经济濒临崩溃的双重压力下，伊朗伊斯兰共和国在年底之际，既要应对威慑需求，又要应对内部危机。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu participates in a joint news conference with US President Donald Trump (not seen) in the State Dining Room at the White House on Sept. 29, 2025, in Washington.

Analysis

2025年，内塔尼亚胡保住了他的执政联盟，但在加沙、伊朗和黎巴嫩问题上却步履维艰。

2025 年即将结束，以色列人对总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡拒绝彻底结束加沙战争、解决真主党问题、与叙利亚达成协议或找到建设性地影响伊朗核计划谈判的方法感到沮丧。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

A picture taken from a station of Dubai's Palm Monorail shows traffic on a road in Palm Jumeirah on Aug. 28, 2025.

Feature

2025年，低油价、财政紧缩和战争将制约中东经济发展。

今年，低油价、金融环境收紧和地缘政治风险上升阻碍了中东和北非大部分地区的经济增长。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

Armoured vehicles of the Iraqi Counter Terrorism Forces are deployed outside the US embassy building in Baghdad's Green Zone on June 12, 2025, after an announcement by a US official the previous day that staff levels at the diplomatic mission in Iraq were being reduced over security concerns. Despite reporting progress in earlier rounds of talks between Iran and the United States, tensions have reached a fever pitch this week as Washington moved non-essential staff from bases in the region following US medi

Analysis

伊拉克大选之后，美国对下一届伊拉克政府的优先事项是什么？

一位消息人士告诉《中东观察报》，华盛顿希望下一届伊拉克政府中没有受制裁的组织，因为美国和伊朗正在争夺影响力。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran Iranian 100 rial banknotes.

Analysis

伊朗货币在派系互相指责中暴跌至历史新低

随着伊朗司法部门公开谴责中央银行导致里亚尔崩溃，货币危机不再是经济危机，而是迅速演变成对政治问责制和政权稳定的考验。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡能否说服特朗普批准打击伊朗导弹计划？

在备受瞩目的佛罗里达州会晤中，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将向美国总统唐纳德·特朗普提出阻止伊朗重建其核计划的方案。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense