Iran’s economic meltdown in late 2025 helped spur a national crisis imperiling the foundations of the Islamic Republic’s stability and clerical rule. With the United States currently pressuring Tehran in the midst of unresolved domestic strife, further turmoil appears likely following a deadly January crackdown on protesters who took to the streets in response to runaway inflation and currency collapse.
Yet amid this unraveling, one pillar of Iran’s political economy looks to be strikingly resilient: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Having long since evolved beyond its origins as an elite paramilitary force, the IRGC wields significant economic power across the country, with interests spanning all key sectors and financial networks — including a growing role in the oil industry.
Despite the depth of this crisis and pressure on the regime, analysts see little evidence that the IRGC's vast economic empire has been meaningfully weakened. Ali Alfoneh, a senior fellow at the Arab Gulf States Institute who has researched the organization’s economic reach, put it bluntly. “We have limited access to reliable data on the IRGC’s economic activities, but it is unlikely that the recent protests have had a significant impact on the organization’s economic operations,” he told Al-Monitor.
As Iran’s heavily sanctioned economy buckles and the government’s options narrow, the IRGC's enduring grip on wealth, assets and strategic choke points isn’t coincidental. The same forces hollowing out Iran’s private sector and sapping state finances — sanctions, isolation and economic distortion — are likely only reinforcing the IRGC’s power.
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