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Iran

十月 3, 2026

Tehran 8:01 下午

20°C

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Latest News

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, the new secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, is pictured in this undated photo.

Analysis

巴格尔·佐尔加德尔，这位强硬派的伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队老兵，如今是伊朗安全部长。

佐尔加德尔的任命表明，此举旨在加强该组织对国家安全和战争努力的影响力。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

An Iranian Kurdish peshmerga member of the Kurdistan Democratic Party of Iran inspects the damage sustained at the Azadi Camp following an Iranian cross-border attack in the town of Koye, east of Erbil district, on March 3, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗自战争爆发以来首次对伊拉克库尔德武装发动袭击，此举是对美国盟友的警告。

对库尔德武装的致命袭击凸显了德黑兰随时准备向美国伙伴施压，因为埃尔比勒夹在伊朗、巴格达和华盛顿之间。

Amberin Zaman

由 Amberin Zaman

Reporting on geopolitics, minorities, human rights, culture

Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (C) speaks as US President Donald Trump (L) and Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer (R) watch during the Sharm El-Sheikh Peace Summit on Oct. 13, 2025 in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.

Analysis

巴基斯坦扮演调解人角色，但在伊朗与特朗普的对峙中面临局限性

巴基斯坦凭借其与美伊双方的关系，已成为美伊会谈的潜在中立场所，但分析人士警告说，在持续的军事升级中，早期秘密渠道外交面临重大障碍。

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

Paratroopers assigned to the 82nd Airborne Division walk to a C-17 Globemaster III before an airborne operation at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, March 13, 2025.

美国准备向伊朗增派3000名士兵：你需要了解什么

美国陆军伞兵的部署将为特朗普政府提供更多升级对伊朗战争的选择，包括可能夺取具有重要战略意义的地形。

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MARCH 18: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on March 18, 2026 in New York City. Stocks continued to slide at opening amid an interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve and a release of producer price index that showed wholesale prices rose more than expected in February. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

伊朗石油危机冲击全球经济，早期数据显示滞胀风险加剧。

美国和以色列与伊朗之间的战争正在对世界各地造成可衡量的经济影响。

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the eastern outskirts of the southern Lebanese coastal city of Tyre on March 24, 2026. Lebanon was pulled into the Middle East war when Iran-backed Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on March 2 to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Israel has since launched strikes across Lebanon, killing at least 1,039 people and displacing more than a million others, and sent ground troops into the country's south. (Ph

Analysis

以色列采取观望态度，在与特朗普会谈前加强对伊朗和黎巴嫩的打击。

以色列认为美国总统特朗普可能很快会选择结束战争，这可能导致以色列在潜在的停火之前加大空袭力度。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iran’s ambassador to Beirut, Mohammad Reza Sheibani (L), shakes hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in an undated photo.

随着战争紧张局势加剧，黎巴嫩驱逐了伊朗大使。

周二，黎巴嫩撤销了伊朗驻贝鲁特大使的认证，并宣布其为不受欢迎的人。此前，由于真主党卷入伊朗战争，黎巴嫩与伊朗之间的紧张局势不断升级。

(L-R) Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Of Staff Gen. Dan Caine, U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, U.S. Vice President JD Vance and U.S. President Donald Trump arrive for a dignified transfer event at Dover Air Force Base March 7, 2026 in Dover, Delaware.

美国释放新一轮外交攻势，伊朗驳斥特朗普“强硬谈判”的说法。

即使双方举行会谈，伊朗也为结束战争提出了苛刻的条件。

Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (C) waves as he returns to his car after visiting the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted Beirut's Basta neighbourhood, on October 12, 2024. At least 22 people were killed in Israeli strikes on a densely populated area of central Beirut on October 10, the Lebanese health ministry said, with a security source saying a Hezbollah figure was the target. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP) (Photo by IBRAHIM AMRO/AFP via Getty Images)

来认识一下穆罕默德·巴格尔·加利巴夫，这位经过伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队审查的人物是美国谈判的核心人物

在冲突中，伊朗议会议长穆罕默德·巴格尔·加利巴夫已成为伊朗伊斯兰共和国最引人注目的人物之一。

US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright speaks during 2026 CERAWeek by S&P Global energy conference in Houston on March 23, 2026.

美国加大紧急石油供应，应对伊朗空袭暂停后油价波动。

美国能源部长克里斯·赖特周一宣布，美国上周开始每天从战略石油储备中释放 100 万至 150 万桶石油。

A general view of Navigator Terminals, an oil storage depot along the River Thames, London, March 10, 2026.

特朗普延长对伊朗的最后通牒后，油价暴跌9%。

美国总统特朗普在 Truth Social 上发帖称，华盛顿和德黑兰“在过去两天里就全面彻底解决我们在中东的敌对行动进行了非常好的、富有成效的对话”。

US President Donald Trump walks through the Cross Hall as he arrives for a ceremony to present the Commander-in-Chief Trophy to the Navy Midshipmen football team of the United States Naval Academy in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on March 20, 2026. (Photo by Brendan SMIALOWSKI / AFP via Getty Images)

特朗普宣布，在与伊朗进行“富有成效”的会谈后，暂停对伊朗的能源袭击五天。

在进行了“富有成效的”会谈后，唐纳德·特朗普暂停了美国对伊朗能源基础设施的袭击计划，为期五天，从而缓解了霍尔木兹海峡对峙造成的紧张局势，这场对峙曾震动了石油市场。