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Iran

六月 10, 2026

Tehran 3:46 下午

34°C

People ride motorcycles past a large billboard showing portraits of Iran's late supreme leader, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini (L), and slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (R) in central Tehran on June 8, 2026.

Analysis

从贝鲁特到曼德海峡，伊朗测试新的威慑战略

德黑兰将与以色列的最新冲突视为一个分水岭时刻，并以此证明任何对其地区盟友的攻击都可能引发直接和立即的报复。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Aamir QURESHI / AFP via Getty Images

Explainer

土耳其任命新的驻伊朗、阿曼和卡塔尔大使，地区人事调整

土耳其最新的大使人事变动标志着其在德黑兰和海湾地区的外交政策部分回归职业外交，安卡拉在伊朗战争中努力维持着外交平衡。

KAWNAT HAJU / AFP via Getty Images

真主党呼吁黎巴嫩“纠正”与伊朗的关系

黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩近日要求伊朗不要干涉黎巴嫩内政，此举招致德黑兰方面的谴责。

US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrive to speak to journalists during a joint press conference at Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on December 29, 2025. US President Donald Trump hosted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Florida on December 29 for crucial talks on moving to the next stage of the fragile Gaza truce plan.The two leaders also discussed Iran, with Trump saying that if Tehran rebuilt its nuclear facilities the United States wo

Analysis

“我们已经听到巴士的声音了”：以色列内部人士担心内塔尼亚胡在伊朗问题上正在失去特朗普的支持

“他承受不起与特朗普对抗的后果，因为特朗普是他仅存的筹码，”内塔尼亚胡的一位助手告诉《中东观察报》，并描述了这位总理在平衡对伊朗施加报复压力与维护与美国总统的联盟之间所面临的困境。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Latest News

万斯称美国和以色列在伊朗核问题上的“利益存在分歧”：你需要了解什么

Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

美国军方帮助以色列拦截伊朗导弹：你需要了解什么

Rocket trails are seen in the sky above the Israeli coastal city of Netanya on June 7, 2026.

以色列与伊朗的冲突升级导致中东部分地区航班停飞。

An Airbus A321 airliner arrives at the Mehrabad international airport during the delivery of the first batch of planes to the Iranian state airline Iran Air in the capital Tehran on Jaunary 12, 2017. - The aircraft arrived as part of an order for 100 other Airbus planes with a list price of around $20 billion (19 billion euros) on December 22, placed after the lifting of international sanctions on the Islamic republic. It will be used for internal flights landed at Tehran's Mehrabad airport. (Photo by ATTA

伊朗与以色列冲突升级后，和平谈判经受考验但仍在继续。

Women walk past buildings destroyed in a joint attack by Israel and the United States on April 6, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Galaxy Leader

也门胡塞武装暗示将对红海发动袭击，美伊紧张局势加剧：你需要了解什么

胡塞武装发出警告之际，一艘美国航空母舰携数艘导弹驱逐舰进入海湾水域，美伊关系持续紧张。

An Oscar statue at the red carpet at the 96th Annual Academy Awards, Dolby Theatre, Hollywood, California, March 9, 2024.

Culture

“抵抗姿态”：加沙战争和伊朗镇压成为奥斯卡焦点

今年的奥斯卡提名影片中包括一些中东电影，这些电影以战争、政府暴力和抗议为主题，使人们更加关注该国的政治局势。

This photograph shows an Iranian national flag installed on the Beheshti Mosque that was damaged during recent public protests, in Tehran on Jan. 21, 2026.

Analysis

代理人、海上施压、权力博弈：如果美国发动打击，伊朗有哪些选择？

如果华盛顿未能实现以明确最终目标为导向的政权更迭，那么军事打击可能会使德黑兰的强硬派势力更加根深蒂固。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images

伊朗互联网封锁进入第三周，部分网络接入已开始恢复。

互联网监控组织 NetBlocks 报告称，即时通讯应用和虚拟专用网络的使用范围越来越广，但总体而言，国际连接仍然非常低，网络宣传活动也在增加。

Rafael Grossi, Director General of the IAEA, speaks during the 69th annual International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) general conference on Sept. 15, 2025 in Vienna, Austria.

Interview

格罗西：库尔德动乱导致核查工作延误，国际原子能机构寻求重返叙利亚

拉斐尔·格罗西在达沃斯接受《中东观察报》采访时表示，叙利亚政府与东北部库尔德政权之间的敌对行动减缓了国际原子能机构对该国核设施的监测。

Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

IAEA Director General

People attend a pro-government rally on Jan. 12, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

伊朗加大镇压力度，誓言“斩断”任何威胁哈梅内伊的势力

在伊朗血腥镇压骚乱后，国际社会要求追究伊朗政权责任的呼声日益高涨，而伊朗则加倍强调抗议者是“与以色列有关联的雇佣兵”。

A protester holds up a portrait of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during a demonstration near the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad, on Jan. 16, 2026.

Analysis

以色列评估伊朗抗议浪潮已过，后悔未将目标对准哈梅内伊

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡或许影响了美国不打击德黑兰的决定，但几位以色列专家认为，说服美国总统特朗普暂缓行动构成了一场世代悲剧。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Pedestrians make their way along a path at Tehran Grand Bazaar, on Jan. 18, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

伊朗断网进入第12天，被过滤的网络信息揭露了镇压行动

在伊朗，已有近 4000 人在抗议活动中丧生。由于互联网访问受限，流出的视频显示了安全部队镇压的规模。

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (R) speaks with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan (L) during the 51st session of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation in Istanbul, on June 21, 2025.

Analysis

土耳其严阵以待应对伊朗局势的后续影响：贸易中断、难民问题和地缘政治格局的转变

土耳其敦促德黑兰和华盛顿保持克制，因为伊朗的动荡局势和美国总统的威胁加剧了安卡拉对贸易路线中断、难民流动以及可能加强以色列的地区格局变化的担忧。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

A shop owner counts Iranian banknotes at a store in the capital Tehran on Jan. 7, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗经济崩溃使政权岌岌可危，新的冲击预示着动荡不安。

从六月与以色列的战争到联合国制裁，2025 年的一系列冲击为伊朗爆发抗议活动铺平了道路，因为经济自由落体式下滑，广大普通民众联合起来抗议。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

A Baluch Iranian man walks in Zahedan, in the southeastern province of Sistan-Baluchistan, on Dec. 18, 2025.

Analysis

伊朗的抗议活动如何重塑锡斯坦-俾路支斯坦的动荡局势

伊朗爆发抗议活动之际，锡斯坦-俾路支斯坦省潜在的教派冲突再次浮出水面。

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

Saudi Arabia’s defense minister, Prince Khalid bin Salman (L), meets with Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran in March 2025.

Analysis

石油与可预测性：海湾阿拉伯国家为何反对伊朗政权更迭

美国对伊朗采取的任何军事行动都会增加伊朗直接或通过其盟友武装团体对海湾地区的石油和天然气基础设施进行报复的风险。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics