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八月 15, 2026

Washington D.C. 2:26 下午

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Israeli army vehicles move to a position in southern Lebanon, March 27, 2026.

Analysis

以色列在黎巴嫩问题上无视特朗普，内塔尼亚胡和卡茨优先考虑选举。

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡和唐纳德·特朗普今年秋天都将面临决定性的选举，但前者需要黎巴嫩取得进展，而后者则希望维持现状。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Children swimming in the Strait of Hormuz

伊朗霍尔木兹海峡管理局否认美国对该海峡的控制权主张：你需要了解什么

特朗普政府官员表示，经由霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输量正在上升，但海上交通量仍然减少。

lia YEFIMOVICH / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡一方面拒绝特朗普的加沙计划，另一方面却暗中实施该计划。

尽管以色列总理内塔尼亚胡表示拒绝美国总统特朗普的加沙重建计划，但以色列仍在推进该计划的实施。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Alex Wong/Getty Images

Analysis

随着亲巴勒斯坦候选人的支持率上升，美以公共事务委员会（AIPAC）的影响力会减弱吗？

美国以色列公共事务委员会在民主党内的影响力已经减弱，在共和党内的影响力也可能面临风险。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Latest News

Analysis

随着美国重新思考其地区存在，以色列将重心转向破坏伊朗的稳定。

Hussein FALEH / AFP via Getty Images

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

AIPAC将在密歇根州初选取得重大胜利后反对埃尔-赛义德。

Michigan Democratic Senate primary winner Abdul El-Sayed

由于局势升级，以色列和黎巴嫩之间的会谈暂停，预计将于周四恢复。

Israeli battle tanks deploy in the village of Zawtar al-Sharqiyah (Eastern Zawtar) in southern Lebanon as pictured from the nearby village of Zawtar al-Gharbiyah (Western Zawtar) on August 2, 2026. Under a US-sponsored agreement signed in June, Lebanon's army is to disarm Hezbollah and the Israeli military is to withdraw from "pilot zones" where Lebanese forces will subsequently deploy. The deal came more than three months after Hezbollah drew Lebanon into the Middle East with rocket fire at Israel in suppo

美国解除对与伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队有关联的伊拉克航空公司的制裁：你需要了解什么

A memorial depicting Qassem Soleimani, the slain commander of the "Quds Force" of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), who was killed by a US airstrike in Iraq in 2020, is pictured at Valiasr Square in Tehran on April 6, 2026. Israeli strikes killed the intelligence chief of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, as the Islamic republic on April 6 defied threats from the US President to devastate civilian infrastructure if it does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Ima

This photo obtained by AFP from the Iranian news agency Tasnim shows an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) boat allegedly taking part in an operation to seize ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz, on April 21, 2026.

随着霍尔木兹海峡对峙加剧，特朗普在伊朗战争中面临三条道路。

随着霍尔木兹海峡对峙加剧，特朗普必须在军事升级、有限的外交协议或继续对伊朗施压之间做出选择。

President Donald Trump gives a speech during the State Arrival Ceremony on the South Lawn on April 28, 2026, in Washington.

特朗普与内塔尼亚胡、普京通话，伊朗施压行动升级

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普分别与以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡和俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京通了电话，讨论了伊朗局势以及延长停火的可能性。

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C), alongside US State Department Counselor Michael Needham (2L) and US Ambassador to Lebanon Michel Issa (2R), speaks during a meeting.

美国寻求训练黎巴嫩军队解除真主党武装：你需要了解什么

此类计划的资金来源仍不明确，不过五角大楼已申请在 2027 财年拨款 3600 万美元以支持黎巴嫩军队。

ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

尽管特朗普施压要求限制以色列对黎巴嫩的袭击，但奥恩与内塔尼亚胡会晤的可能性仍然很小。

在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普向以色列施压，要求其限制对黎巴嫩的空袭之际，真主党正利用这一局势。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

French President Emmanuel Macron speaks to journalists as he arrives for an informal meeting of the European Council in Nicosia, Cyprus, April 24, 2026.

为何美国和以色列将法国排除在黎巴嫩谈判之外？

以色列和黎巴嫩的会谈正在华盛顿举行，但巴黎仍然坚持认为，它必须参与其中，以平衡美国可能存在的偏袒，并保护贝鲁特的利益。

A person walks past the closed Metropolitan Opera at Lincoln Center on Jan. 7, 2021, in New York City.

大都会歌剧院为何失去了与沙特阿拉伯的资助协议？

该协议于去年 9 月以不具约束力的谅解备忘录的形式宣布，根据该协议，公共投资基金将在未来八年内向该歌剧机构注资高达 2 亿美元。

US Ambassador to Lebanon Michel Issa (R) holds a signed "Make America Great Again" hat while (L-R) US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Lebanon Ambassador to the US Nada Hamadeh Moawad listen to US President Donald Trump speak during a meeting with Lebanon Ambassador to the US and Israel Ambassador to the US, at the White House in Washington, DC on April 23, 2026. US President Donald Trump met Lebanese and Israeli envoys at a new round of peace talks Thursday, with Beirut seeking a one-month extension of a

Analysis

以色列担心特朗普试图通过与黎巴嫩达成协议来抵消伊朗方面的失误。

一些以色列人担心，由于美国总统无法在伊朗问题上取得实质性成果，他可能会迫使以色列接受一项不令人满意的协议。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

BAY ISMOYO / AFP via Getty Images

与伊朗有关的油轮为何还能突破霍尔木兹海峡的封锁？

据货物追踪组织 Vortexa 称，至少有 19 艘与伊朗有关的油轮突破了美国对海峡的封锁，驶出海湾，另有至少 15 艘油轮驶入海湾。

ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

以色列认为美伊达成协议的可能性几乎“不存在”，并已做好战争准备。

美国总统特朗普就其对伊朗的意图和正在进行的谈判发表了自相矛盾的声明，以色列正在为可能恢复军事行动做准备。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA - JULY 14: A US Navy Seahawk helicopter takes off from the deck of the USS Ronald Reagan on July 14, 2017 in Townsville, Australia. USS Ronald Reagan is a 1,092- foot aircraft carrier which carries a crew of 4,539 around 60 aircraft. Exercise Talisman Sabre is the largest combined military exercise undertaken in Australia. The biennial exercise is the principal Australian and U.S. military training activity. (Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)

美国在印度洋登上与伊朗有关联的油轮，誓言追击“幽灵舰队”。

五角大楼表示，“国际水域不是”受美国经济制裁船只的避难所。

Olmert

Interview

奥尔默特：只有以黎协议才能遏制真主党，占领“不可行”

前总理埃胡德·奥尔默特告诉《中东观察报》，以色列只有与黎巴嫩政府达成协议，才能削弱真主党的实力。

Ehud Olmert

Ehud Olmert

Former Israeli prime minister

US Vice President JD Vance (C) walks with Pakistan's Chief of Defense Forces and Chief of Army Staff Field Marshall Asim Munir (L), and Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar after arriving for talks with Iranian officials on April 11, 2026, in Islamabad, Pakistan.

特朗普称伊朗核协议可能“迅速”达成，巴基斯坦也已做好谈判准备：你需要了解什么

一位熟悉相关计划的消息人士告诉《中东观察报》，美国代表团将很快前往伊斯兰堡。