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Iran

十月 5, 2026

Tehran 11:25 上午

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Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

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Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

Urmia

Analysis

伊朗乌鲁米耶的动乱如何暴露根深蒂固的民族裂痕

由于逊尼派库尔德人的文化庆典恰逢什叶派的一项重要哀悼仪式，手持棍棒的政府支持者高呼针对逊尼派库尔德人的煽动性口号，局势进一步升级。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Iranian rials are displayed in Tehran, on July 31, 2019.

伊朗货币里亚尔兑美元汇率跌至 100 多万里亚尔：你需要了解什么

在伊朗面临严厉制裁和美国压力的情况下，这再次创下伊朗货币新低。

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi gives a joint press conference with Russia's foreign minister at the Foreign Ministry headquarters in Tehran on Feb. 25, 2025.

Analysis

阿拉格奇访问埃里温，伊朗与亚美尼亚关系面临什么风险？

专家表示，在土耳其影响力不断增强的背景下，伊朗正寻求加强地区联盟，并仍然反对赞格祖尔走廊计划。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

A woman uses her mobile telephone as she walks past a mural painted on the outer wall of the former US Embassy in Tehran, dubbed the "Den of Espionage," on March 8, 2025.

Analysis

随着伊朗面临特朗普最后期限的逼近，哈梅内伊是否会改变策略？

华盛顿就伊朗支持也门胡塞叛军向其发出警告，使两个宿敌更接近直接军事冲突的边缘。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

The United States aircraft carrier, USS Carl Vinson, anchored off the coast at Tien Sa Port on March 5, 2018 in Danang, Vietnam.

特朗普警告伊朗，五角大楼向中东派遣第二艘航空母舰

特朗普给德黑兰两个月的期限来达成新的核协议，卡尔·文森号航空母舰预计将大大增强华盛顿在海湾地区的打击能力。

An Iran-made missile and its launchers are exhibited during a rally that marks the 46th anniversary of Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, on February 10, 2025. (Photo by Hossein Beris / Middle East Images / Middle East Images via AFP) (Photo by HOSSEIN BERIS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)

Exclusive

以色列将在华盛顿高调访问期间敦促特朗普制定袭击伊朗的计划

战略事务部长罗恩·德默 (Ron Dermer) 和国家安全顾问扎奇·哈内格比 (Tzachi Hanegbi) 将率领以色列多部门团队下周前往华盛顿与美国国家安全顾问迈克尔·沃尔兹 (Michael Waltz) 以及国务院和五角大楼官员进行会谈。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

The Iranian-flagged oil tanker Fortune is docked at the El Palito refinery after its arrival to Puerto Cabello in the northern state of Carabobo, Venezuela, on May 25, 2020.

美国对伊朗油轮实施制裁，瞄准中国“茶壶”炼油厂

制裁目标包括一家据称从一艘与也门胡塞武装组织有联系的船只上购买伊朗石油的炼油厂。

A man pays using Iranian rials at a shop, in Tehran on July 31, 2019. - The government in sanctions-hit Iran on Wednesday approved a plan to remove zeros from the rial and rename the currency -- something its people have long been doing to simplify transactions. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

随着里亚尔暴跌，特朗普就胡塞武装向伊朗发出的警告带来了战略困境

美国总统警告称美国可能直接袭击伊朗伊斯兰共和国，伊朗再次面临着与另一个地区代理盟友疏远的艰难前景。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani meets with UAE President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed on March 16,2023. — UAE Presidency

Analysis

加尔加什递交特朗普信件之际，阿联酋能否在伊朗问题上发挥调解作用？

尽管阿联酋寻求在该地区发挥更大的调解作用，但海湾国家之间的秘密竞争以及脆弱的阿联酋与伊朗关系可能会限制其作用。

Jonathan Fenton-Harvey

由 Jonathan Fenton-Harvey

In London, reporting on North Africa and Gulf politics

China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi (C) welcomes Russia's deputy foreign minister, Sergey Ryabkov (L), and Iran's deputy foreign minister, Kazeem Gharibabadi, before a meeting regarding the Iranian nuclear issue on March 14, 2025.

Analysis

伊朗核危机：中俄主张谈判，但他们寻求的是解决方案吗？

俄罗斯和中国与伊朗发表联合声明，呼吁取消单边制裁，并主张通过外交方式解决德黑兰与华盛顿的核僵局。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Diplomatic advisor to the United Arab Emirates President Anwar Gargash arrives to attend the opening ceremony of the Summit on peace in Ukraine, at the luxury Burgenstock resort, near Lucerne, on June 15, 2024.

阿联酋的安瓦尔·加尔加什访问伊朗转交特朗普的信函：你需要了解什么

安瓦尔·加尔加什以对话者身份访问伊朗，标志着阿联酋开始在华盛顿和德黑兰之间进行调解，而阿布扎比在其中发挥着独特的作用。

TOPSHOT - Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi speaks to the press, in front of the portrait of slain Lebanese Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, after meeting with Syrian officials at the Iranian embassy in Damascus on October 5, 2024. (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA / AFP) (Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗即将收到特朗普的信，中国将主持核计划会谈

在美国再次努力重新谈判新协议的背景下，中国将于周五在北京主持与俄罗斯和伊朗的三边会议，讨论伊朗核计划。