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Iran

四月 21, 2026

Tehran 4:31 下午

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Olmert

Interview

奥尔默特：只有以黎协议才能遏制真主党，占领“不可行”

前总理埃胡德·奥尔默特告诉《中东观察报》，以色列只有与黎巴嫩政府达成协议，才能削弱真主党的实力。

US Vice President JD Vance (C) walks with Pakistan's Chief of Defense Forces and Chief of Army Staff Field Marshall Asim Munir (L), and Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar after arriving for talks with Iranian officials on April 11, 2026, in Islamabad, Pakistan.

特朗普称伊朗核协议可能“迅速”达成，巴基斯坦也已做好谈判准备：你需要了解什么

一位熟悉相关计划的消息人士告诉《中东观察报》，美国代表团将很快前往伊斯兰堡。

Haruna Furuhashi /Getty Images

伊朗战争令海湾国家经济承压，阿联酋能否动用美元货币互换额度？

这个海湾国家显然希望从华盛顿方面得到保证，以防其经济因伊朗战争而遭受严重损害。

United Arab Emirates

A man walks past a screen displaying stock indices at the Dubai Financial Market stock exchange in Dubai, March 4, 2026.

伊朗扣押船只事件令停火前景蒙上阴影，油价上涨，海湾股市下跌。

美国总统特朗普周日在 Truth Social 网站上发帖称，美国海军在阿曼湾向一艘悬挂伊朗国旗的货船开火并将其扣押。

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Analysis

巴基斯坦悄然向沙特阿拉伯部署战斗机，这暗示着海湾地区的焦虑情绪。

Pakistan Air Force J-10 fighter jets over Islamabad, March 23, 2025.

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

Interview

阿联酋官员称开放霍尔木兹海峡是任何伊朗核协议不可或缺的一部分，并称基础设施损失“可控”。

Abdulla Balalaa, Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs for Energy and Sustainability, United Arab Emirates

“影响范围遍及全球”：五角大楼誓言追查与伊朗贸易有关的船只

STRAIT OF HORMUZ - NOVEMBER 19: In this handout photo provided by the US Navy, The aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) transits the Strait of Hormuz as an MH-60S Sea Hawk helicopter from the Nightdippers of Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron (HSC) 5 lifts off from the flight deck November 19, 2019. The Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group is deployed to the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations in support of naval operations to ensure maritime stability and security in the Central Region, connecting the M

Analysis

伊朗经济能承受美国海上封锁多久？

Getty Images

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives to attend an event in the East Room of the White House, Washington, DC, March 5, 2026.

美国考虑在霍尔木兹海峡危机期间放松对伊朗的石油制裁：你需要了解什么

美国财政部可能采取的措施将减轻伊朗原油的压力，因为华盛顿正寻求抵消伊朗实际上关闭霍尔木兹海峡造成的供应损失。

A picture of Qatar Energy's operating facilities on March 3, 2026 in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar.

Analysis

伊朗对卡塔尔天然气田的袭击将如何影响未来数年的液化天然气市场？

伊朗对全球最大的液化天然气出口枢纽的袭击造成的破坏可能会导致大量供应中断数年，卡塔尔正在考虑是否宣布对向欧洲和亚洲供应液化天然气的长期合同构成不可抗力。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

In this aerial view, Storage tanks at Grain LNG importation terminal, operated by National Grid Plc sit near the River Medway in the Thames Estuary on March 12, 2026, in Isle of Grain, England.

墨西哥湾天然气供应中断导致欧洲天然气价格飙升 35% 后，会对欧洲天然气市场造成多大影响？

周四，欧洲天然气基准期货价格上涨高达 35%，达到每兆瓦时 68 欧元（78.09 美元）以上。

Lorries roll along the highway between Riyadh and al-Ahsa, some 200 kilometers east of the Saudi capital, on March 15, 2026. The war sparked by US-Israel strikes on Iran on February 28 has sparked chaos on global markets, and sent the price of oil soaring after the Islamic republic imposed control by force over the crucial artery. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP via Getty Images) /

美国要求公民撤离沙特阿拉伯，此前伊朗袭击了该国能源设施：你需要了解什么

在伊朗对沙特阿拉伯境内能源设施发动袭击事件激增后，美国驻利雅得大使馆敦促其公民离开沙特阿拉伯。

US soldiers participate in the annual military exercises known as "Eager Lion" near Maan, some 200 kilometers south of the capital Amman on May 17, 2017.

伊朗指责约旦允许美国发射导弹：你需要了解什么

伊朗对约旦发出威胁之际，阿卜杜拉国王正在访问海湾地区，而约旦境内仍驻扎着数千名美军士兵。

An Iranian security force officer stands guard next to a huge billboard of Iran's newly nominated supreme leader Ayatollah Mojataba Khamenei (pointing) during Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026. On February 28, Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, killing its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (photo bottom L) and triggering a war that spread across the M

Analysis

随着伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队加强控制，以色列认为伊朗政权更迭之路漫长。

以色列官员告诉《中东观察报》，虽然大量伊朗领导人被杀显然正在破坏该政权的稳定，但推翻该政权可能还需要很长时间。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A Patriot anti-missile battery launcher, deployed by Dutch NATO soldiers, is seen March 11, 2003 at the Diyarbakir military airport in southeastern Turkey.

北约向土耳其部署新型“爱国者”导弹系统，菲丹在利雅得参加地区会谈

向土耳其重要空军基地部署兵力可能表明北约规划者对土耳其的军事资产日益关注。

Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, arrives in Beirut, Lebanon, on Sept. 27, 2025.

Analysis

拉里贾尼之死会加强伊朗强硬派的力量吗？

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队在战争中发挥了核心作用，并与新任命的最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊建立了联系，其影响力已经得到加强，可能会进一步巩固其在安全和外交政策方面的影响力。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

The city skyline is pictured in Dubai on March 11, 2026.

Analysis

战争持续不断，市场还能对海湾地区的韧性抱有多久的信心？

专家表示，霍尔木兹海峡长期关闭以及对海湾能源基础设施的持续攻击可能会导致整个地区的信用状况恶化。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

A smoke plume rises from an ongoing fire near Dubai International Airport in Dubai on March 16, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗为何将阿联酋视为对抗美国和以色列战争的理想目标？

相比邻国，这个海湾国家遭受的打击更为严重，因为德黑兰重申了其对该国进行打击的权利。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Black smoke rises following an airstrike, as Iranians take part in the Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026.

尽管特朗普声称伊朗希望达成协议，但停火仍遥遥无期。

唐纳德·特朗普总统对于这场已经持续三周的战争可能会持续多久，仍然发出模棱两可的信息。

A cargo ship is pictured off coast city of Fujairah, in the Strait of Hormuz in the northern Emirate, on Feb. 25, 2026.

特朗普敦促盟友支持霍尔木兹海峡协议，重启经济的障碍日益增多。

欧洲主要盟友对特朗普提出的帮助重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的请求犹豫不决，这让人怀疑美国能否迅速确保该水道免受伊朗导弹和无人机的威胁。