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Iran

十月 4, 2026

Ostān-e Tehrān 12:00 下午

24°C

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Latest News

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

Russian Sukhoi Su-35S fighter aircrafts, Su-34 military fighter jets and Su-30SM jet fighters fly over downtown Moscow during a military parade on June 24, 2020.

Analysis

俄罗斯泄密事件暗示伊朗苏-35战斗机即将投产：你需要了解什么

最近泄露的文件显示，已有16架战斗机在俄罗斯的装配线上生产，预计将于2027年交付。对于德黑兰来说，这将是几十年来首次意义重大的战斗机升级。

Francesco Schiavi

由 Francesco Schiavi

In Bologna, reporting on security, defense, economy, governance

Smoke rises as fire burns, in an alleged site of IRGC's missile launch targeted by Israel on the mountains of Shiraz, Iran on June 21, 2025. Israel attacked Iran in early hours of June 13, and the exchange of fire between the two countries continues ever since. (Photo by Hiroon / Middle East Images via AFP) (Photo by HIROON/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

欧洲外交官称，以色列可能在2026年对伊朗发动袭击。

如果以色列评估认为德黑兰政府正在恢复高浓度铀浓缩活动，那么明年以色列可能会选择再次打击伊朗。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

People walk and drive past a billboard covering the facade of a building on Vali-Asr square, depicting as postage stamps the disputed Abu Musa and Greater and Lesser Tunb islands that were seized by Iran in 1971, in Tehran on October 26, 2024. Residents of Tehran awoke and went about their business as planned on October 26 after their sleep was troubled by Israeli strikes that triggered blasts that echoed across the city. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

伊朗在争议岛屿附近举行新的军事演习，加剧了与阿联酋的紧张关系。

通过结合高科技能力、向外国船只发出公开警告以及对领土主权的历史性解读，德黑兰正试图在持续数十年且难以解决的争端中确立自己的强硬地位。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

currency exchange in Tehran

受制裁影响，伊朗货币跌至1美元兑120万伊朗里亚尔的新低：你需要了解什么

自美国总统唐纳德·特朗普1月份上任以来，里亚尔大幅下跌。

A S-200 surface-to-air missile system is on display in Terhran.

Analysis

伊朗利用首次上海合作组织联合野外演习展示无人机实力，彰显战后韧性

为期五天的联合演习包括中国、俄罗斯、印度、巴基斯坦、白俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦的参演。据观察人士称，沙特阿拉伯、阿塞拜疆和伊拉克也将参加。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

People hold flags near posters displaying assassinated IRGC military leaders during a state funeral service in Enqelab Square on June 28, 2025, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

澳大利亚将伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队列为国家恐怖主义赞助者，此举可能招致强烈反弹。

在国际压力不断增加、孤立程度加深以及国内经济危机加剧的背景下，这一认定加剧了德黑兰的战略脆弱感。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the southern Lebanese village of El Mahmoudiyeh on November 27, 2025. The Israeli military said it had carried out a series of strikes against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon on November 27, the latest despite the year-old ceasefire with the militant group. (Photo by Rabih DAHER / AFP via Getty Images)

黎巴嫩就真主党言论抨击伊朗，一年停火协议岌岌可危

自去年伊朗在该地区的主要代理人真主党在与以色列的战争中实力削弱以来，伊朗和黎巴嫩之间的关系一直很紧张。

This picture obtained from Iran's ISNA news agency shows a view of the fire in the forests of Chalus on Nov. 21, 2025.

Analysis

伊朗管理不善成为关注焦点，大火肆虐2500万年历史的森林

伊朗北部希尔卡尼亚森林持续遭受野火侵袭，凸显了管理不善、资源不足和气候压力等问题，迫使志愿者和外国援助介入。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Hezbollah

Analysis

以色列正为应对真主党的报复行动做准备，预计黎巴嫩境内的战斗规模有限。

以色列杀害真主党军事指挥官阿里·塔巴塔巴伊后，该武装组织面临着来自其基地的报复要求。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian (R) makes a speech as he attends the National Army Day ceremony on April 18, 2025 in Tehran, Iran. The country held its annual 'Army Day' parade in Tehran, which included an address by current President Masoud Pezeshkian. (Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

Analysis

伊朗对俄罗斯和中国的反驳暴露了其“面向东方”战略的裂痕

佩泽什基安的评论重新引发了关于伊朗地缘政治联盟的脆弱性以及其与莫斯科和北京关系中固有的不对称性的长期争论。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

In this handout photo released by the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) on November 10, 2025, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi (L) is accompanied by AEOI chief Mohammad Eslami during a visit to a facility in Tehran. (Photo by Atomic Energy Organization of Iran / AFP)

在联合国原子能机构谴责后，伊朗停止接受国际原子能机构的核查。

国际原子能机构理事会周四通过一项决议，要求伊朗允许其进入遭受攻击的核设施，并提供有关其铀库存的信息。

Arash Sobhani performing in Amsterdam on Oct. 25. 2025.

Culture

音乐家阿拉什·索巴尼将充满抗议精神的伊朗摇滚乐带到纽约

德黑兰著名乐队 Kiosk 的创始人表示，这张专辑探讨了伊朗起义的失败，同时融入了他新家园中各种音乐风格的影响。