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Iran

十月 4, 2026

Tehran 2:32 上午

20°C

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Latest News

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

An Iranian Kurdish Peshmerga member of the Kurdistan Democratic Party of Iran (KDPI) inspects damage sustained at the Azadi Camp of the Kurdistan Democratic Party of Iran (KDPI) following an Iranian cross-border attack in the town of Koye (Koysinjaq), in the east of Erbil district in the autonomous Kurdish region of northern Iraq on March 3, 2026. The United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28, with the killing of Iran's supreme leader and the Islamic republic retaliated with barr

Analysis

库尔德人看到了机会，但对特朗普寻求帮助推翻伊朗政权仍保持警惕。

随着美国和以色列加大对伊朗的打击力度，特朗普已与伊拉克库尔德领导人展开会谈，讨论他们可能介入冲突的问题。

Amberin Zaman

由 Amberin Zaman

Reporting on geopolitics, minorities, human rights, culture

Osama Al Maqdoni / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

在各地起义议论纷纷之际，人们的目光转向伊朗的少数族裔：你需要了解什么

伊朗的少数民族，历史上一直受到伊朗中央政府的边缘化和压迫，随着美国和以色列空袭的升级，他们作为潜在的政治力量正受到关注。

Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP via Getty Images

美伊战争引发全球股市震荡，阿联酋股市即将恢复交易

A food delivery bike drive close to a plume of smoke rising from the Zayed Port following a reported Iranian strike in Abu Dhabi on March 1, 2026. Iran's retaliatory missile and drone campaign in the Gulf has killed three people and wounded 58 in the United Arab Emirates since it began, Emirati authorities said on March 1, the day after the US and Israel launched a nationwaide attack on Iran killing its supreme leader. (Photo by Ryan Lim / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

从石油到数据中心，美伊战争导致中东关键基础设施瘫痪

尽管长期以来人们一直预期霍尔木兹海峡的航运会因与伊朗的地区战争而中断，但德黑兰正在扩大攻击目标范围——其他重要的能源资产也可能成为攻击目标。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, a member of Iran’s interim leadership council.

来认识一下阿里雷扎·阿拉菲，他是伊朗最高领导人委员会中哈梅内伊的亲信。

他一直被视为哈梅内伊的潜在继任者，其晋升之路主要依靠已故领导人的任命。

Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Exclusive

以色列预计伊朗将爆发反政府抗议活动，不太可能入侵黎巴嫩。

以色列外交官和军方官员担心，油价飙升将促使美国领导人在伊朗政权更迭之前停止对伊朗的军事行动。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A cargo ship is pictured off the coast of Fujairah in the Strait of Hormuz, in the northern emirate, Feb. 25, 2026.

伊朗报复美以袭击，油价飙升，市场下跌

美伊战争扰乱了霍尔木兹海峡的航运，导致油价飙升，全球市场下跌，引发了人们对能源供应长期受到冲击和更广泛的经济影响的担忧。

In this photo released by the official website of the Supreme Leader's Office on Thursday, June 26, 2025, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appears among his supporters for the first time since the Iran-Israel war, in Tehran, Iran. (Photo by Office of the Supreme Leader of Iran via Getty Images)

伊朗最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊，地区扩张的缔造者，被宣布死亡

阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊在担任伊朗伊斯兰共和国第二任最高领袖36年后，在美以空袭中丧生。

A cyclist rides past an anti-US billboard installed on a building along a street in Tehran on Feb. 26, 2026.

Analysis

生存模式如何重塑伊朗对美国潜在战争的考量

伊朗采取谨慎的外交策略，同时加强防御，保持生存心态，并随时准备在受到挑战时采取战略升级行动。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Sayed Hassan/Getty Images

伊朗与美国关系紧张之际，航运巨头马士基改变苏伊士运河航线。

这一转变是对美国和伊朗之间发生军事冲突的可能性日益增加的反应。

An F-18E fighter jet takes off from the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford, Sept. 24, 2025.

Analysis

以色列已做好应对伊朗局势升级的准备，并期待美国发挥主导作用。

随着世界最大航空母舰驶近海法，以色列加强了军事戒备。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

The US Navy aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford departs Souda Bay on the island of Crete on February 26, 2026. (Photo by Costas METAXAKIS / AFP via Getty Images)

中国和加拿大敦促公民离开伊朗，因为德黑兰的代理人威胁美国。

包括美国和澳大利亚在内的其他国家呼吁外交官家属离开黎巴嫩和以色列，担心局势会蔓延至整个地区。