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Iran

十月 3, 2026

Tehran 10:02 下午

21°C

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Latest News

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

Black smoke rises following an airstrike, as Iranians take part in the Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026.

尽管特朗普声称伊朗希望达成协议，但停火仍遥遥无期。

唐纳德·特朗普总统对于这场已经持续三周的战争可能会持续多久，仍然发出模棱两可的信息。

A cargo ship is pictured off coast city of Fujairah, in the Strait of Hormuz in the northern Emirate, on Feb. 25, 2026.

特朗普敦促盟友支持霍尔木兹海峡协议，重启经济的障碍日益增多。

欧洲主要盟友对特朗普提出的帮助重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的请求犹豫不决，这让人怀疑美国能否迅速确保该水道免受伊朗导弹和无人机的威胁。

Aluminum ingots in the Aluminium Dunkerque plant of the American Industrial Partner group on Jan. 13, 2022, in Loon-Plage, near Dunkirk, France.

伊朗战争重创海湾地区铝出口，全球近10%的供应面临风险

海湾地区是铝生产的重要中心，供应全球约 8% 至 9% 的产量，与战争相关的干扰现在势必会对工业供应链产生连锁反应。

Funerals are held for members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and other military figures at Enghelab Square on March 11, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

伊朗拘留500多名被控为以色列和美国从事间谍活动的人员：你需要了解什么

伊朗当局逮捕了 500 多人，他们被指控通过与外国情报机构和媒体分享信息，协助策划针对伊朗的袭击。

A fuel pump is seen while refuelling a car at a gas station on March 13, 2026 in Kobe, Japan. Japan will release oil reserves to address the rise in gasoline and other petroleum products prices starting next Monday, said Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae. The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that its member countries agreed to release the largest volume of emergency oil reserves in its history, responding to the disruption in energy markets caused by the Middle East War. (Photo by Buddhika Weerasinghe/G

国际能源署亚洲成员国开始部署紧急石油储备

国际能源署署长法提赫·比罗尔表示，亚洲成员国正在释放超过1亿桶原油以稳定市场。

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) listens to a speech by his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi at the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, Jerusalem, Feb. 25, 2026.

以色列和美国对伊朗的战争能否挽救内塔尼亚胡的政治前途？

在2023年10月发生安全危机和哈马斯袭击事件后，以色列总理能否获得一张“胜利照片”来挽回形象，目前仍不明朗。

Lukoil

Analysis

伊朗战争挤压海湾石油出口，俄罗斯将面临怎样的利弊抉择？

随着霍尔木兹海峡关闭，原油价格突破每桶 100 美元，俄罗斯正因美国新的制裁灵活性而获益——但专家表示，莫斯科在利用这一新市场开放方面面临挑战。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Ali IHSAN OZTURK / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

土耳其和伊朗都经历过动荡时期，两国将在穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下继续保持关系。

即使战争加剧了安卡拉和德黑兰之间的紧张关系，但长期以来定义土耳其和伊朗关系的竞争与务实合作相结合的局面很可能会持续下去。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

AFP via Getty Images

石油火灾、有毒空气和水风险：伊朗战争的环境代价扩大到其他地区

轰炸伊朗的石油设施和海湾地区的关键水利基础设施，如同以往冲突中采用的类似策略一样，对中东地区构成了长期的环境破坏威胁。

A billboard shows a graphic depicting Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei with military commanders, as people attend the annual anti-Israeli Quds Day on March 13, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队如何在哈梅内伊继承人之后规划战争路线

尽管伊朗在穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下展现出延续性，但伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队正在精心策划该国的战时态势，巩固权力，并为持久战做准备。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Displaced Palestinians gather for a fast-breaking Iftar meal amid the rubble of destroyed buildings at the Jabalia refugee camp, in the northern Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan, Feb. 23, 2026.

Analysis

哈马斯不参与伊朗战争，加沙和海湾地区的利益优先于伊朗。

尽管哈马斯与德黑兰有着长期的联盟关系，但迄今为止，它一直置身于不断升级的伊朗战争之外，这反映出其谨慎的战略考量。

Abeer Ayyoub

由 Abeer Ayyoub

In Istanbul, reporting on Palestine

Saudis shop for fresh products at a market in Riyadh on Feb. 18, 2026, on the first day of the holy fasting month of Ramadan in Saudi Arabia.

Analysis

伊朗战争考验海湾地区的粮食安全，替代供应路线应运而生。

海湾地区约有 6100 万人依赖既定的食品供应链，但自美国和以色列于 2 月 28 日对伊朗发动袭击以来，许多食品供应链已被颠覆。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech