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Iran

八月 16, 2026

Tehran 9:51 上午

36°C

A Baluch Iranian man rides a bicycle

Analysis

伊朗为何在动荡不安的俾路支斯坦加强战时镇压？

伊朗东南部的一系列安全行动凸显了德黑兰长期以来的担忧，即战争时期的不稳定可能会加剧长期存在的种族、教派和经济矛盾。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Motorists drive vehicles past a billboard depicting Iran's late supreme leader Ali Khamenei along a street in central Tehran on August 8, 2026. Hopes for an imminent US-Iran deal to end the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz added to optimism that oil and gas, along with other key products, would again start flowing freely after more than five months of war. But oil prices turned higher ahead of the weekend in the absence of any confirmation of an accord, amid reports that Iran was planning to block US and Is

Explainer

加入金砖国家银行对伊朗摇摇欲坠的经济意味着什么？

伊朗中央银行行长本周前往印度参加新开发银行财长会议时表示，伊朗将很快加入该银行。

A photograph obtained from the Iranian Students’ News Agency shows an oil slick along the southern coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, August 13, 2026.

阿曼和伊朗格什姆岛附近海域的石油泄漏在战争中造成环境破坏。

据估计，阿曼海岸附近的一次漏油事件覆盖面积超过 772 平方英里，对当地栖息地造成了毁灭性破坏。

Children swimming in the Strait of Hormuz

伊朗霍尔木兹海峡管理局否认美国对该海峡的控制权主张：你需要了解什么

特朗普政府官员表示，经由霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输量正在上升，但海上交通量仍然减少。

Latest News

霍尔木兹海峡船只遇袭，谈判陷入僵局，交通量降至一周以来最低点

port attack

Analysis

卡尼访问巴格达揭示了伊朗战后困境的哪些方面？

The commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Esmail Qaani, speaks during a commemoration ceremony marking the anniversary of the 2020 killing of Guards general Qasem Soleimani (on screen) in the capital Tehran on Jan. 3, 2024.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

据报道，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队指挥官卡尼在民兵最后期限前已抵达伊拉克。

Qaani

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊任命六名军事指挥官：你需要了解什么

image of Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

Pope Leo XIV

“无所畏惧”：教皇利奥抵达阿尔及利亚时反驳特朗普的攻击

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普因首位美国籍教皇批评以色列-美国在伊朗的战争而升级了对他的攻击。

Elke Scholiers/Getty Images

随着美国采取行动封锁霍尔木兹海峡，油价重回100美元以上。

随着美国开始封锁霍尔木兹海峡，预计能源价格将继续剧烈波动。

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) walks with Prime Minister of Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif upon his arrival during an official ceremony at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, Turkey on June 1, 2022. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP) (Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

土耳其在美伊停火中扮演的角色

土耳其利用其情报网络和与华盛顿和德黑兰罕见的联系，悄悄促成了美伊停火，同时推进了自身的地区安全优先事项。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

People gather under a large portrait of Iran's new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, during a memorial to mark the 40th day since his father, Ali Ayatollah Khamenei, was killed in US-Israeli joint strikes, on April 9, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

停火却无缓解：伊朗人如何应对战后镇压

虽然枪声暂时停止，但伊朗国内却面临着另一种压力：逮捕行动激增，互联网仍然中断，数百万人面临脆弱的战后经济不确定性。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A woman walks past a digital screen displaying news of US-Iran peace talks along a road in Islamabad on April 10, 2026.

在伊斯兰堡，美国将在谈判桌上面对一个更加强硬的伊朗。

战后伊朗的野心日益扩大，其中包括试图永久控制霍尔木兹海峡。

TOPSHOT - Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli strike that targeted an area in Beirut on April 8, 2026. Israel launched a series of strikes on Beirut on April 8, the most violent attack on the Lebanese capital since the start of war. The strikes came as Iran-backed armed group Hezbollah, which drew Lebanon into the Middle East war by attacking Israel on March 2, claimed it was close to a "historic victory". (Photo by Dylan COLLINS / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

在华盛顿会谈之前，以色列别无选择，只能接受黎巴嫩停火。

由于真主党不太可能很快解除武装，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡别无选择，只能同意与贝鲁特进行直接谈判。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Fu Cong, China's permanent representative to the UN, speaks during a UN Security Council meeting regarding the situation in the Middle East on April 7, 2026, in New York City. A vote on a resolution in the Security Council introduced by Bahrain focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz failed after opposition from Russia and China. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Analysis

制裁解除和巴基斯坦的作用促使中国支持伊朗-美国停火

美国与伊朗的停火协议提升了巴基斯坦（中国最亲密的伙伴之一）的地位，提高了其作为调解人的作用，并加强了有利于北京盟友的地区平衡。

Joyce Karam

由 Joyce Karam , Rosaleen Carroll

TOPSHOT - People watch from a street as a tall smoke plume billows following an explosion in the Fujairah industrial zone on March 3, 2026. Iran's strikes on Gulf neighbours since February 28, following the US-Israeli attack, forced the UAE to shut its airspace, blindsiding travellers who thought they were headed to one of the region's safest holiday destinations. (Photo by Fadel SENNA / AFP via Getty Images)

阿联酋表示不再与伊朗进行任何“客套”，并寻求澄清脆弱的停火协议条款。

阿联酋表示，伊朗必须为冲突期间造成的损失支付“赔偿金”。

United Arab Emirates

This picture taken on April 9, 2026, shows the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the Basta neighbourhood of Beirut the day before. Calls were mounting for the ceasefire between the US and Iran to be extended to Israel's war with Hezbollah, after a massive wave of Israeli strikes on Lebanon killed more than 200 people. (Photo by FADEL itani / AFP via Getty Images)

黎巴嫩拒绝伊朗代表其进行谈判，总理表示只有贝鲁特才能主导谈判。

以色列发动了自战争以来对黎巴嫩规模最大的袭击，向该国发射了超过160枚炮弹。当局称，至少203人死亡，1072人受伤，另有33人失踪。

Iranians hold national flags as they gather in Tehran's Revolution Square after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, on April 8, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

停火还是战略暂停？在根深蒂固的不信任中，伊朗如何构建战争叙事

在官方信息的表象之下，一种更为复杂和令人不安的现实正在浮现——这种现实的特点是挥之不去的不信任、强硬的异议以及对未来走向的不确定性。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Firefighters attempt to extinguish a fire following an Israeli strike at the Corniche al-Mazraa neighbourhood of Beirut on April 8, 2026.

伊朗袭击海湾国家，威胁停火，以色列升级在黎巴嫩的军事行动：你需要了解什么

在伊朗和美国宣布停火数小时后，伊朗继续在阿拉伯联合酋长国、沙特阿拉伯和科威特发动袭击。

picture of Qatar Energy's operating facilities on March 3, 2026, in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar.

Analysis

美伊停火后，海湾地区的能源生产能以多快的速度恢复？

停火协议可能会为失去的石油和液化天然气供应重新流入全球市场铺平道路，但要将海湾地区的能源生产恢复到正常水平，可能需要数月甚至更长时间。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech