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United States

十月 12, 2026

Washington D.C. 10:08 下午

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US President Donald Trump speaks at the "Golden Age of American Innovation Summit" at the Institute of Peace in Washington, DC, on Oct. 8, 2026.

特朗普在保持对伊朗军事压力的同时，也为伊朗提供达成核协议的途径。

伊朗此前曾讨论过在浓缩铀问题上做出妥协。

GRAND ISLAND, NEBRASKA - OCTOBER 05: U.S. President Donald Trump wraps up an appearance at a campaign rally at Pinnacle Bank Expo Center on the Nebraska State Fairgrounds on October 05, 2026 in Grand Island, Nebraska. Trump is campaigning for incumbent U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts (R-NE) and Gov. Jim Pillen ahead of the November midterm elections. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Analysis

达成协议还是开战？以色列担忧特朗普下一步对伊朗的举措可能带来的后果。

鉴于华盛顿在是否发动新的军事行动问题上态度矛盾，以色列正努力解读白宫对伊朗的意图。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks at the Pnyx hill, where ancient Athenians held democratic assemblies, with the ancient Parthenon temple atop the Acropolis seen in the background, in Athens on October 7, 2026. (Photo by Mark Schiefelbein / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

Explainer

鲁比奥说伊朗“失去了”霍尔木兹岛。真是这样吗？

美国国务卿马可·卢比奥周三表示，伊朗已经“完全失去了对该水道的控制权”，并指出海湾石油出口在9月份出现复苏。

US President Donald Trump and China's President Xi Jinping hold a bilateral meeting in the Oval Office

Analysis

为什么特朗普-习近平峰会未能使中国疏远伊朗

随着战争的持续，北京疏远伊朗的动机已经减弱。

Yun Sun

In Washington, DC, reporting on China-Middle East ties

Latest News

Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

nyse

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Analysis

在以色列和希腊的威慑担忧下，土耳其重启与美国的F-16战机谈判。

Turkish Air Force F-16 fighter aircraft

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

Explainer

随着古特雷斯卸任，以下是联合国秘书长候选人及其对中东的看法。

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres speaks at the UNGA

A picture taken on March 12, 2017, shows a view of an oil facility in the Khark Island, on the shore of the Gulf.

特朗普和哈里斯当选总统将如何影响中东石油市场

特朗普倾向于对 OPEC 采取更加干预的态度，而拜登-哈里斯政府则利用美国的战略石油储备来影响石油政策

MATTHEW HATCHER/AFP via Getty Images

Feature

哈里斯努力争取选票，加沙战争对宾夕法尼亚州穆斯林造成巨大影响

在宾夕法尼亚州这个战场州，穆斯林内部出现分歧，副总统、前总统和第三方候选人都有可能赢得相当一部分选票。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Democratic presidential nominee, US Vice President Kamala Harris, speaks during a campaign rally on Oct. 28, 2024 in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

加沙巴勒斯坦人满怀希望和怀疑地等待美国大选：哈里斯比特朗普更受青睐

在唐纳德·特朗普和卡玛拉·哈里斯之间，加沙的巴勒斯坦人似乎更倾向于民主党候选人，因为他们没有忘记特朗普任内有利于以色列的政策和立场。

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event on food security in a barn on the Smith Family Farm on September 23, 2024 in Smithton, Pennsylvania. The event, hosted by the Protecting America Initiative, led by former Trump acting director of national intelligence Richard Grenell, highlighted China ownership of nearly 250,000 acres of U.S. land, slightly less than 1% of foreign-held acreage. (Photo by Jeff Swensen/Getty Images)

Analysis

在中东，中国影响力不受特朗普和哈里斯限制

理论上，北京可能更喜欢哈里斯的可预测性，而不是特朗普的不确定性。但实际上，特朗普总统任期内，中国在中东表现非常出色，在拜登-哈里斯政府领导下也成功应对了挑战

Joyce Karam

由 Joyce Karam

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a remembrance event to mark the first anniversary of the Hamas attack on Israel at Trump National Doral golf club in Miami, Florida, on Oct. 7, 2024.

特朗普或哈里斯的胜利将如何影响中东

本期内容解析了哈里斯或特朗普出任总统对以色列在该地区多线战争的轨迹意味着什么。

CLEMENT MAHOUDEAU/AFP via Getty Images

土耳其宣布支付 230 亿美元 F-16 战机订单首付款

土耳其国防部称，土耳其近五年来从美国购买新型 F-16 战斗机的努力已经支付了首批款项。

This combination of pictures created on Aug. 15, 2021 shows CIA Director, William Burns, testifying during a House Intelligence Committee hearing about worldwide threats, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on April 15, 2021 and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi (R) attending a press conference with his Russian counterpart at the presidential palace in the capital Cairo on Dec. 11, 2017.

中情局局长与埃及总统塞西讨论结束黎巴嫩和加沙战争的“迫切需要”

这次会议是在埃及、卡塔尔和美国恢复调解谈判以达成人质协议和加沙停火之际举行的。

A damaged ambulance lies amid the fire following an Israeli airstrike that targeted the industrial zone in the southern Lebanese village of Abbasiyah on Oct. 30, 2024.

泄露文件概述了黎巴嫩与以色列的停火，可能在“几小时或几天内”达成

以色列公共广播公司 Kan 周三发布的一份文件据称包含美国支持的以色列和真主党之间停火提案的细节。

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks during a Get Out the Vote rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, on October 30, 2024. (Photo by Ryan M. Kelly / AFP) (Photo by RYAN M. KELLY/AFP via Getty Images)

受特朗普和拜登影响巴勒斯坦人对美国大选漠不关心

接受 Al-Monitor 调查的巴勒斯坦人表示，虽然他们密切关注美国总统竞选，但普遍认为，无论谁获胜，巴勒斯坦的处境都不会发生太大改变。

AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

阿尔及利亚与美国、沙特公司达成能源协议，天然气出口目标迫在眉睫

阿尔及利亚为追逐其上游行业的新兴趣，启动了罕见的石油和天然气项目许可轮次。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

An Israeli Air Force F-35I Adir multirole fighter aircraft flies over the Negev Desert after taking off from a military base en route to the Gaza Strip on Oct. 14, 2023.

五角大楼在警告以色列不要袭击伊朗核目标后否认参与了以色列对伊朗的袭击

以色列军方向德黑兰方面发出信号，表示无论是否得到美国的直接支持，以色列都可以从远处袭击其核设施。

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 28: U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu participate in a joint statement in the East Room of the White House on January 28, 2020 in Washington, DC. The news conference was held to announce the Trump administration's plan to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. (Photo by Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列内塔尼亚胡“梦想”特朗普获胜，给伊朗最后一击

尽管以色列政府声称的战争目标包括避免地区战争和与伊朗的持续对抗，但前总统唐纳德·特朗普的连任可能会改变这种局面。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense