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Analysis

In Middle East, China's influence unconstrained by Trump, Harris

In theory, Beijing may favor the predictability of Harris over the uncertainty of Trump. But in practice, China did exceedingly well in the Middle East during Trump’s presidency and has successfully navigated challenges under the Biden-Harris administration

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event on food security in a barn on the Smith Family Farm on September 23, 2024 in Smithton, Pennsylvania. The event, hosted by the Protecting America Initiative, led by former Trump acting director of national intelligence Richard Grenell, highlighted China ownership of nearly 250,000 acres of U.S. land, slightly less than 1% of foreign-held acreage. (Photo by Jeff Swensen/Getty Images)
Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event on food security in a barn on the Smith Family Farm on September 23, 2024 in Smithton, Pennsylvania. — Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

You're reading an excerpt from Al-monitor's China-Middle East Briefing, a weekly newsletter dedicated to understanding Beijing's growing influence and regional rise. To read the full newsletter, sign up here.  

WASHINGTON — As much of the world awaits the outcome of the US elections on Nov. 5, China sits in a comfortable position when it comes to its growing role and influence in the Middle East. 

Whether it’s Kamala Harris or Donald Trump who is the 47th president of the United States, Beijing’s sphere of influence across the region is likely to remain unscathed. 

In theory, yes, Beijing may favor the predictability of Harris over the uncertainty of Trump. But in practice, China did exceedingly well in the Middle East during Trump’s presidency and has successfully navigated challenges under the Biden-Harris administration.

Tuesday will mark the end of one of the closest presidential races in US history. The polls are essentially tied, and voters across seven swing states will end up determining the winner. China is not a central campaign issue, but the anti-China sentiment is being used by the Trump team in ads in Michigan and Pennsylvania. 

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