Politics & Security - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012

politics and security cover image

Politics & Security

A shop owner counts Iranian banknotes at a store in the capital Tehran on Jan. 7, 2026.

伊朗如何在特朗普支持的协议中获得重大财政援助

尽管特朗普政府承诺“不搞制裁，不付美元”，但伊朗仍将获得一些预先制裁豁免。

Lebanese army forces set up a checkpoint at the entrance of the village of Ghandourieh in southern Lebanon on June 15, 2026.

参议院法案对美国训练黎巴嫩军队的行动施加限制：你需要了解什么

作为一项旨在瓦解真主党的国防部 3600 万美元训练和装备计划的一部分，议员们希望了解黎巴嫩特种部队新兵的数量、他们的装备和宗教背景。

Jared Szuba

由 Jared Szuba

In Washington, DC, reporting on defense, national security, military

A Turkish police officers patrols at the scene of a motor-bike bomb explosion, next to a police station on Oct. 6, 2016, in Istanbul.

土耳其在阿富汗-巴基斯坦边境附近抓获一名据称是ISIS-K的媒体负责人。

此次抓捕行动正值土耳其当局加大力度打击伊斯兰国网络之际，此前该国发生了多起袭击和阴谋。

Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf speaks with Tehran's Chamber of Commerce, June 17, 2026.

加利巴夫表示，在美伊协议达成后，德黑兰寻求与中国建立更深层次的关系。

加利巴夫说：“中国必须相信，而且也将会相信，我们不仅仅是客户或贸易伙伴，而是各个意义上的合作伙伴。”

Latest News

阅读完整的14点美伊协议

Trump

叙利亚库尔德指挥官科巴尼在来自大马士革的密切关注下开启欧洲之行。

Mazloum Abdi (Kobani), commander-in-chief of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), speaks with AFP during an interview in the countryside outside the northwestern Syrian city of Hasakah, in the province of the same name, on January 24, 2019. - Any deal between Syria's Kurds and the Damascus regime should respect the "special status" of Kurdish-led forces who fought the Islamic State (IS) group, Kobani said. The SDF control around a third of Syria after expelling jihadists from a large northeastern swathe of t

特朗普称，黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩将于本月访问白宫。

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun speaks during a government meeting at the Presidential Palace in Beirut, Lebanon, on September 5, 2025.

法赫德·多萨里是沙特阿拉伯新任驻黎巴嫩大使吗？

Lebanese Foreign Minister Youssef Rajji meets with Fahd bin Abdulrahman bin Hathloul Al-Dosari, the new Saudi ambassador to Lebanon, in Beirut on June 17, 2026.

A missile launches from IRIS Sabalan, an Alvand-class frigate of the Iranian Navy, during the Velayat 91 drill in the Gulf of Oman on Jan. 1, 2013.

五角大楼：伊朗导弹而非水雷才是霍尔木兹海峡航运的主要威胁。

美国最高国防官员表示，美国本周的空袭摧毁了伊朗制造新型弹道导弹的能力。

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Dmytro Chubenko, spokesperson of the Kharkiv prosecutor, and his assistant look at a Russian Shahed drone shot down by Ukraine's air defense forces in a field used for the storage of Russian missiles in Kharkiv, on April 30, 2025.

乌克兰派遣团队协助海湾国家对抗伊朗无人机：你需要了解什么

乌克兰在击落伊朗的“沙赫德”无人机方面拥有丰富的经验，这使得海湾国家对乌克兰的专业知识和硬件表现出了浓厚的兴趣。

A man looks at the site of overnight Israeli airstrikes in the southern suburbs of Beirut on March 12, 2026.

黎巴嫩召见伊朗特使，就真主党-伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队袭击事件进行磋商：你需要了解哪些信息

此前，真主党向以色列发射了 200 多枚火箭弹，与此同时，伊朗也发射了一连串导弹，引发了以色列在黎巴嫩的暴力冲突升级。

This photo taken in Tehran shows a statement by Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei being televised on March 12, 2026. Iran's new supreme leader ordered the vital Strait of Hormuz oil shipping lane to remain closed on March 12, while US President Donald Trump said stopping the Islamic republic's "evil empire" was more important than crude prices. Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who was reportedly injured in an air strike, has yet to appear publicly since his nomination as supreme leader, and his defiant

哈梅内伊在开场白中誓言“复仇”，并坚持关闭霍尔木兹海峡。

伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊没有出现在镜头前，他的讲话由国家媒体的播音员代为宣读。

Sipan Hemo

库尔德人中对大马士革持批评态度的领袖被任命为叙利亚国防部副部长

此举巩固了美国斡旋达成的停火协议，并表明大马士革有意将库尔德人领导的东北部地区纳入国家政府，尽管棘手的安全和政治问题依然存在。

Fighters lift flags of Iraq and paramilitary groups, including al-Nujaba and Kataib Hezbollah, during a funeral in Baghdad for five militants killed a day earlier in a US strike in northern Iraq, on Dec. 4, 2023.

美国警告伊拉克境内存在绑架威胁，此前伊朗支持的民兵袭击了一处外交设施。

伊拉克境内一些与美国有关的地点遭到伊朗支持的武装团体的袭击，促使巴格达加强了其防空力量。

People sit in a cafe outside the Apple Store in Dubai on May 8, 2025. (Photo by Giuseppe CACACE / AFP) (Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗威胁美国科技和银行业后，花旗银行和汇丰银行下令从海湾地区撤离人员。

阿联酋拥有迪拜互联网城，这里聚集了超过4000家企业，其中包括谷歌、微软、甲骨文、戴尔、亚马逊、万事达卡和维萨等美国科技巨头。其中一些公司在阿布扎比也设有办事处。

MEHDI MARIZAD/FARS NEWS/AFP via Getty Images

美国袭击伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队在霍尔木兹岛附近的布雷船：你需要了解什么

五角大楼正将注意力转移到霍尔木兹海峡，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队的非常规战争策略可能会对这条重要的经济航道构成长期威胁。

Jared Szuba

由 Jared Szuba

In Washington, DC, reporting on defense, national security, military

A navy vessel is seen sailing in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway through which much of the world's oil and gas passes, on March 1, 2026.

特朗普就霍尔木兹海峡地雷问题警告伊朗，与此同时，一位参议员提醒美国可能正接近地面战争。

据最新报道，在美国总统威胁称如果石油运输受到干扰，将对伊朗采取更严厉的打击之后，伊朗已开始在霍尔木兹海峡布雷。

US President Donald Trump speaks with the media as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (R) and special envoy Steve Witkoff (C) look on aboard Air Force One during a flight from Dover, Delaware, to Miami, Florida, on March 7, 2026.

Analysis

特朗普称战争可能很快结束，但伊朗却暗示战争将持续更久。

尽管美国总统唐纳德·特朗普声称伊朗准备进行对话，但伊朗领导人却没有表现出任何让步的迹象。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights