Iran - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012

Iran cover image

Iran

十月 3, 2026

Tehran 9:55 上午

27°C

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

战争爆发六个月后，伊朗对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力正在减弱。世界各国正逐渐适应这一局面，石油运输量正在恢复，替代路线正在拓展，而德黑兰自身的经济也正承受着维持该水道压力所带来的沉重代价。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

最新制裁措施出台之前，双方就结束战争的可能协议举行了新一轮间接会谈。

Latest News

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队抨击特朗普，加利巴夫威胁石油基础设施

Ghalibaf

伊拉克宣布恢复飞往伊朗的航班：你需要了解哪些信息

An Airbus A321 airliner arrives at the Mehrabad international airport during the delivery of the first batch of planes to the Iranian state airline Iran Air in the capital Tehran on Jan. 12, 2017.

Muslim worshippers walk along the Grand Mosque complex in the holy city of Mecca on May 22, 2026, ahead of the annual Hajj pilgrimage.

海湾地区在战争阴影下庆祝宰牲节

此次节日标志着几十年来海湾国家首次在地区冲突的背景下庆祝伊斯兰教最神圣的节日之一。

United Arab Emirates

An Iranian woman walks past a mobile phone shop at the Valiasr Square in Tehran on April 19, 2026.

伊朗在断网88天后部分恢复互联网：你需要了解什么

此次举措是在经历了近三个月的网络中断之后做出的，这使其成为有史以来持续时间最长的网络中断之一。

Vehicles drive past a billboard on the facade of a building depicting the Strait of Hormuz with a caption in Persian reading, "Forever in Iran's Hand," at Vanak Square, Tehran, Iran, May 25, 2026.

美国和伊朗在达成战争协议方面取得进展，但短期内不会有突破性进展。

伊朗外交部发言人称，正在讨论的文件是一份包含 14 点内容的框架协议，而不是最终协议。

This aerial photograph taken on April 26, 2023 shows the construction of the Russian-built Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant in Mersin Province. - Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will try to offset his absence from the campaign trail weeks before crucial elections by unveiling the nuclear plant by video link. (Photo by OZAN KOSE / AFP) (Photo by OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images)

Explainer

阿联酋核电站遭袭事件令海湾地区的核能雄心蒙上阴影：你需要了解什么

美以伊战争使中东民用核能的发展势头变得复杂，而到 2026 年，沙特阿拉伯、土耳其和其他一些国家的民用核能发展势头一直都很强劲。

United Arab Emirates

An Iranian police office stands on patrol near a poster depicting Iranian soldiers holding a net in the shape of the Strait of Hormuz, with US military aircraft ensnared in a fishing net, on May 9, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

伊朗在与美国的停火谈判中愿意做出多大的让步？

在巴基斯坦的斡旋下，美伊谈判正在紧锣密鼓地进行，但双方尚未达成一致框架，因为德黑兰坚持推迟有关其核计划的讨论。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

巴基斯坦军方首脑与伊朗举行会谈之际，以色列总理内塔尼亚胡担心被排除在外

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将“做任何我想做的事”，这番言论在10月份的大选前夕，令内塔尼亚胡的核心圈子感到不安。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranians drive next to a billboard displaying pictures of nuclear scientists, centrifuges and a sentence reading in Farsi " Science is the power," at the Enqelab Square in Tehran, on Aug. 29, 2025.

美国和伊朗在浓缩铀问题上释放出相互矛盾的信号，德黑兰正在权衡应对措施

唐纳德·特朗普总统周三表示，他愿意等待“几天时间”，听取德黑兰对美国最新提出的结束战争方案的回应。

Philippe LOPEZ / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

海湾危机重塑能源市场，专家警告：新常态即将到来

由于美以伊战争造成了历史性的供应冲击，《Al-Monitor》邀请专家小组探讨这场冲突如何开启了全球能源市场的新时代。

AFP via Getty Images

伊朗霍尔木兹海峡管理局宣布控制阿联酋和阿曼的港口：你需要了解什么

波斯湾海峡管理局发布了一张地图，显示其“管辖区域”延伸至阿拉伯联合酋长国的港口，此举招致了一位阿联酋高级官员的谴责。

Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (C) waves as he returns to his car after visiting the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted Beirut's Basta neighbourhood, on October 12, 2024. At least 22 people were killed in Israeli strikes on a densely populated area of central Beirut on October 10, the Lebanese health ministry said, with a security source saying a Hezbollah figure was the target. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP) (Photo by IBRAHIM AMRO/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

发言人、谈判代表、中国特使：加利巴夫积累的权力对伊朗意味着什么

伊朗任命穆罕默德·巴格尔·加利巴夫负责对华关系，这向德黑兰发出了一个明确的信号，那就是北京对德黑兰的重要性。

Jamshid Jamshidi

由 Jamshid Jamshidi

Baluch Iranian youths cross a street in Zahedan, in the southeastern province of Sistan-Baluchistan bordering Afghanistan, on Dec. 18, 2025.

Analysis

伊朗加强对库尔德人和俾路支人聚居区的战时镇压

俾路支斯坦和库尔德斯坦的逮捕行动凸显了战时安全行动的扩大，这加深了国家与弱势少数群体之间的不信任。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A bride and group couple rides in a military jeep arriving for a public mass wedding ceremony at Imam Hossein Square in Tehran on May 18, 2026. Iran said on May 18 that it had responded to a new US proposal aimed at ending the war, adding that diplomatic exchanges continue despite Iranian media reports describing Washington's demands as excessive. Washington and Tehran have been swapping proposals in an effort to end the conflict which the US and Israel launched on February 28, but they have held only a sin

Analysis

以色列敦促对伊朗实施全面封锁，同时等待特朗普的下一步行动。

据《中东观察报》报道，消息人士称，以色列的首选策略是对伊朗实施全面的海上、经济、陆地和空中封锁，同时加大制裁力度，并开展旨在破坏伊朗政权稳定的秘密活动。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense