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Iran

七月 29, 2026

Tehran 7:45 上午

26°C

An EA-18G Growler assigned to Electric Attack Squadron (VAQ) 137 lands aboard the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) while the ship is moored in Honolulu, Hawaii, during Exercise RIMPAC (Rim of the Pacific) 2026 on July 17, 2026.

美国和沙特阿拉伯袭击伊拉克境内与伊朗结盟的民兵组织，与此同时，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队在约旦境内袭击美军。

在美阿两国陷入僵局之际，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队试图重塑现状。与此同时，白宫正在权衡其军事选项，而阿曼官员则寻求让这两个敌对国家重返谈判桌。

A man stands near a boat moored along a beach on the Caspian Sea coast in Sorkhrud in Iran's northern Mazandaran province on March 24, 2026, where many families have relocated due to the ongoing war with the US and Israel. Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran on February 28, killing the Islamic republic's supreme leader and sparking a war that has since spread across the Middle East. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

乌克兰袭击伊朗船只为何标志着两国关系进入危险的新阶段

德黑兰警告基辅，如果乌克兰在最近的战争中与美国和以色列结盟，将会面临后果。长期积压的紧张局势加剧了这一局面。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A commercial vessel passes through an international shipping lane off Yemen's Hanish Island in the Red Sea on July 27, 2026.

Explainer

尽管胡塞武装发出威胁，油轮仍在红海航行，沙特石油生命线面临压力。

截至周二晚间，大约有十几艘油轮在曼德海峡附近航行。此前一天，由于航运公司押注美伊外交取得新进展，该海峡的交通量有所增加。

A giant billboard depicts late Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (2nd L), and his son Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, with Arabic writing that reads: "Thank you Iran," in Dahiyeh, Beirut's southern suburbs, on June 15, 2026.

哈梅内伊称真主党的议程是伊朗的“战略使命”。

阿亚图拉·穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊发表上述言论之际，黎巴嫩和以色列正在推进一项由美国支持的解除南部真主党武装的计划，尽管这个由伊朗支持的组织拒绝交出武器。

Latest News

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡第八次访问美国，寻求修复与特朗普的关系。

Trump Netanyahu

伊朗拘留两名法国外交官后召见法国大使：你需要了解什么

Iranian security forces stand guard in front of the French Embassy in Tehran in this undated image.

由于伊朗和美国暂停袭击，油价暴跌9.5%，创数月来最大跌幅。

AMIRHOSSEIN KHORGOOEI / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

伊朗对英国的警告揭示了更广泛的升级战略

Muntions near a B1 Bomber are seen at RAF Fairford on July 24, 2026, in Fairford, England.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A man walks through the atrium during the 2026 IMF and World Bank Group Spring Meetings in Washington, DC, on April 14, 2026. (Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗战争重创经济，国际货币基金组织将中东经济前景预期下调近3个百分点。

国际货币基金组织周二下调了对中东和北非地区的国内生产总值预期，冲突的后果暴露了该地区能源出口国和进口国之间的巨大差异。

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to the press as he departs Tel Aviv for Qatar following an official visit, at Ben Gurion International Airport, near Lod, Israel, September 16, 2025. Israel heavily bombarded Gaza City on September 16 2025, witnesses told AFP, after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio backed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's new offensive there and its stated goal of eradicating Hamas. (Photo by NATHAN HOWARD / POOL / AFP) (Photo by NATHAN HOWARD/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

黎巴嫩和以色列开始谈判，鲁比奥能否迫使内塔尼亚胡停火？

一位以色列外交消息人士告诉《中东观察报》：“唐纳德·特朗普向本雅明·内塔尼亚胡施压，促成了这些谈判……特朗普认为黎巴嫩正在发生的事情是一个棘手的问题，使他无法解决与伊朗的主要问题。”

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Meloni

梅洛尼暂停意大利与以色列的军事合作协议

意大利总理乔治娅·梅洛尼宣布，意大利与以色列的军事合作协议将不再自动续签。

Getty Images

美国封锁霍尔木兹海峡之际，中国呼吁各方保持克制，并拒绝放弃伊朗石油的呼吁。

随着美国开始封锁霍尔木兹海峡，围绕脆弱停火协议的地区外交活动日益激烈，北京和安卡拉呼吁各方保持冷静。

Pope Leo XIV

“无所畏惧”：教皇利奥抵达阿尔及利亚时反驳特朗普的攻击

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普因首位美国籍教皇批评以色列-美国在伊朗的战争而升级了对他的攻击。

Elke Scholiers/Getty Images

随着美国采取行动封锁霍尔木兹海峡，油价重回100美元以上。

随着美国开始封锁霍尔木兹海峡，预计能源价格将继续剧烈波动。

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) walks with Prime Minister of Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif upon his arrival during an official ceremony at the Presidential Complex in Ankara, Turkey on June 1, 2022. (Photo by Adem ALTAN / AFP) (Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

土耳其在美伊停火中扮演的角色

土耳其利用其情报网络和与华盛顿和德黑兰罕见的联系，悄悄促成了美伊停火，同时推进了自身的地区安全优先事项。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

People gather under a large portrait of Iran's new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, during a memorial to mark the 40th day since his father, Ali Ayatollah Khamenei, was killed in US-Israeli joint strikes, on April 9, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

停火却无缓解：伊朗人如何应对战后镇压

虽然枪声暂时停止，但伊朗国内却面临着另一种压力：逮捕行动激增，互联网仍然中断，数百万人面临脆弱的战后经济不确定性。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A woman walks past a digital screen displaying news of US-Iran peace talks along a road in Islamabad on April 10, 2026.

在伊斯兰堡，美国将在谈判桌上面对一个更加强硬的伊朗。

战后伊朗的野心日益扩大，其中包括试图永久控制霍尔木兹海峡。

TOPSHOT - Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli strike that targeted an area in Beirut on April 8, 2026. Israel launched a series of strikes on Beirut on April 8, the most violent attack on the Lebanese capital since the start of war. The strikes came as Iran-backed armed group Hezbollah, which drew Lebanon into the Middle East war by attacking Israel on March 2, claimed it was close to a "historic victory". (Photo by Dylan COLLINS / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

在华盛顿会谈之前，以色列别无选择，只能接受黎巴嫩停火。

由于真主党不太可能很快解除武装，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡别无选择，只能同意与贝鲁特进行直接谈判。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Fu Cong, China's permanent representative to the UN, speaks during a UN Security Council meeting regarding the situation in the Middle East on April 7, 2026, in New York City. A vote on a resolution in the Security Council introduced by Bahrain focusing on reopening the Strait of Hormuz failed after opposition from Russia and China. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Analysis

制裁解除和巴基斯坦的作用促使中国支持伊朗-美国停火

美国与伊朗的停火协议提升了巴基斯坦（中国最亲密的伙伴之一）的地位，提高了其作为调解人的作用，并加强了有利于北京盟友的地区平衡。

Joyce Karam

由 Joyce Karam , Rosaleen Carroll

TOPSHOT - People watch from a street as a tall smoke plume billows following an explosion in the Fujairah industrial zone on March 3, 2026. Iran's strikes on Gulf neighbours since February 28, following the US-Israeli attack, forced the UAE to shut its airspace, blindsiding travellers who thought they were headed to one of the region's safest holiday destinations. (Photo by Fadel SENNA / AFP via Getty Images)

阿联酋表示不再与伊朗进行任何“客套”，并寻求澄清脆弱的停火协议条款。

阿联酋表示，伊朗必须为冲突期间造成的损失支付“赔偿金”。

United Arab Emirates