Iran - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012

Iran cover image

Iran

七月 29, 2026

Tehran 3:45 上午

27°C

A man stands near a boat moored along a beach on the Caspian Sea coast in Sorkhrud in Iran's northern Mazandaran province on March 24, 2026, where many families have relocated due to the ongoing war with the US and Israel. Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran on February 28, killing the Islamic republic's supreme leader and sparking a war that has since spread across the Middle East. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

乌克兰袭击伊朗船只为何标志着两国关系进入危险的新阶段

德黑兰警告基辅，如果乌克兰在最近的战争中与美国和以色列结盟，将会面临后果。长期积压的紧张局势加剧了这一局面。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A commercial vessel passes through an international shipping lane off Yemen's Hanish Island in the Red Sea on July 27, 2026.

Explainer

尽管胡塞武装发出威胁，油轮仍在红海航行，沙特石油生命线面临压力。

截至周二晚间，大约有十几艘油轮在曼德海峡附近航行。此前一天，由于航运公司押注美伊外交取得新进展，该海峡的交通量有所增加。

A giant billboard depicts late Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (2nd L), and his son Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, with Arabic writing that reads: "Thank you Iran," in Dahiyeh, Beirut's southern suburbs, on June 15, 2026.

哈梅内伊称真主党的议程是伊朗的“战略使命”。

阿亚图拉·穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊发表上述言论之际，黎巴嫩和以色列正在推进一项由美国支持的解除南部真主党武装的计划，尽管这个由伊朗支持的组织拒绝交出武器。

Trump Netanyahu

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡第八次访问美国，寻求修复与特朗普的关系。

预计以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡将在周二与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的会晤中重点讨论伊朗问题，而美国领导人则更可能希望讨论黎巴嫩和叙利亚问题。

Latest News

伊朗拘留两名法国外交官后召见法国大使：你需要了解什么

Iranian security forces stand guard in front of the French Embassy in Tehran in this undated image.

由于伊朗和美国暂停袭击，油价暴跌9.5%，创数月来最大跌幅。

AMIRHOSSEIN KHORGOOEI / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

伊朗对英国的警告揭示了更广泛的升级战略

Muntions near a B1 Bomber are seen at RAF Fairford on July 24, 2026, in Fairford, England.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

伊朗在上海合作组织会议上签署25项协议：你需要了解什么

AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP via Getty Images

Ibrahim AMRO / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

如果没有退出策略，以色列将面临气焰嚣张的真主党，在伊朗问题上的选择也将十分有限。

尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统仍未决定是否再次打击伊朗，但以色列军队却在黎巴嫩泥潭中越陷越深，真主党也得到了加强。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

This photo obtained by AFP from the Iranian news agency Tasnim shows an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) boat allegedly taking part in an operation to seize ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz, on April 21, 2026.

随着霍尔木兹海峡对峙加剧，特朗普在伊朗战争中面临三条道路。

随着霍尔木兹海峡对峙加剧，特朗普必须在军事升级、有限的外交协议或继续对伊朗施压之间做出选择。

AFP via Getty Images

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊发出挑衅信号，威胁美国，但同时呼吁海湾国家支持伊朗。

这是最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊上任以来的第三次讲话，其中包括一项将美国势力从海湾地区清除出去的承诺。

QESHM ISLAND, IRAN - APRIL 28: Boats navigate the sea on April 28, 2026 on Qeshm Island, Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's latest proposal for ending its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz calls on the United States to end its naval blockade of Iran's ports, and sets aside questions about what to do with Iran's nuclear program. The United States has not formally responded to the latest proposal, which was delivered by Iran's foreign minister to Pakistan two days ago. (Photo by Asghar Besharati/Getty Images

美国封锁考验着伊朗的底线，但全球的痛苦能否迫使特朗普采取行动？

特朗普总统加倍投入对伊朗的经济战，他押注海上封锁和制裁可以迫使伊朗达成核协议，从而结束战争。

Local residents look on from outside a cordoned off area in the Golders Green neighborhood of north London on April 29, 2026, following the stabbing to two people nearby.

与伊朗有关联的组织声称对伦敦犹太区发生的持刀袭击事件负责：你需要了解哪些信息

伊斯兰之声运动与欧洲多起针对犹太目标的袭击以及一家反政权的伊朗新闻媒体有关。

A pumpjack stands idle in the Huntington Beach oil field, with port cranes visible in the distance, on April 23, 2026, in Huntington Beach, California.

特朗普拒绝伊朗示好，油价飙升至每桶120美元以上，创下战时新高。

周三，基准布伦特原油价格突破每桶 120 美元，达到美以伊战争以来的最高水平。

President Donald Trump gives a speech during the State Arrival Ceremony on the South Lawn on April 28, 2026, in Washington.

特朗普与内塔尼亚胡、普京通话，伊朗施压行动升级

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普分别与以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡和俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京通了电话，讨论了伊朗局势以及延长停火的可能性。

An Iraqi money dealer counts Iranian rial banknotes bearing a portrait of the late founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, at an exchange office in Baghdad on Feb. 3, 2012.

伊朗里亚尔跌至历史新低，封锁和战争造成严重打击：你需要了解什么

2025 年末，里亚尔再次暴跌，引发全国大规模抗议和骚乱，最终被政府强力镇压平息。

In this handout photo provided by the U.S. Navy, Two F/A-18 Super Hornets launch from the flight deck of Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) in support of Operation Epic Fury on March 3, 2026 in the Mediterranean Sea.

五角大楼：迄今为止，伊朗战争已使美国损失约250亿美元。

一位高级预算官员告诉众议院议员，在五角大楼全面评估战争成本之前，不会向国会提交补充拨款申请。

The Ateela 2 oil tanker boat navigates the sea on April 28, 2026, on Qeshm Island, Iran, in the Strait of Hormuz.

Analysis

伊朗经济能承受特朗普的海上封锁多久？

伊朗当局谴责美国扣押该国油轮的行为是海盗行为，但海上贸易日益严重的混乱暴露了德黑兰声称的控制力和韧性背后经济的脆弱性。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

阿联酋退出欧佩克令该组织动荡不安，海湾联盟格局发生变化

欧佩克第四大产油国将于5月1日退出该组织，这将是该组织历史上最重大的一次成员退出，因为战争改变了阿布扎比的对外关系优先事项。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Yuichi YAMAZAKI / AFP via Getty Images

伊朗战争爆发以来首艘液化天然气运输船通过霍尔木兹海峡