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Lebanon

Lebanon

七月 25, 2026

Beirut 5:25 上午

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Commuters walk past a wall mural along the street in Tehran on July 21, 2026. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said on July 21 they hit US military targets including air defence systems in Bahrain and Kuwait, state news agency IRNA reported. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

伊朗和美国暂停会谈10天或将重启谈判——但双方都不愿让步。

随着双方继续互击，这 10 天的窗口期可能会考验外交手段能否经受住战场压力，而双方都不希望谈判被解读为退让。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Middle East Airlines aircraft sit on the tarmac at Beirut's Rafik Hariri airport on April 10, 2026. Smoke from an Israeli strike still lingered in the air as a plane from Lebanon's national carrier took off from Beirut airport, which has stayed open despite the latest war between Israel and Hezbollah. The country's only international passenger facility, whose departure boards are now largely red with cancellations, is located on the Mediterranean coast at the edge of Beirut's southern suburbs. (Photo by Anw

特朗普批准美国直飞黎巴嫩的航班，结束了长达40年的停飞。

自 1985 年以来，美国和黎巴嫩之间就没有直飞航班了。

WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 21: U.S. President Donald Trump (L) greets President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun as he arrives at the White House on July 21, 2026 in Washington, DC. Aoun is visiting the White House on the final day of a four-day trip to Washington to discuss the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah as the Israeli military begins its first limited withdrawal from Lebanon following last month’s U.S.-brokered agreement. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

特朗普会见黎巴嫩总统奥恩，承诺制定“具体计划”以促成以色列撤军

黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩周末抵达华盛顿，这是自 2009 年以来黎巴嫩国家元首首次在椭圆形办公室举行会晤。

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun meets with Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the State Department in Washington, DC, July 19, 2026.

以色列将在奥恩与特朗普会晤前从黎巴嫩试点地区撤军

黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩周日会见了美国国务卿马可·卢比奥，这是他为期四天的华盛顿之行的第一站。

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Analysis

特朗普在黎巴嫩和叙利亚问题上的“180度大转弯”让内塔尼亚胡在大选前几乎别无选择。

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a session of the Israeli Parliament in Jerusalem on July 16, 2026, before the start of the election recess ahead of the Oct. 27 general election.

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

叙利亚在伊拉克边境截获运往真主党的武器

Zaid AL-OBEIDI / AFP via Getty Images

在奥恩访问美国前夕，黎巴嫩军队进入巴勒斯坦难民营。

FATHI AL-MASRI/AFP via Getty Images

黎巴嫩-以色列框架协议在罗马面临首次重大考验：你需要了解什么

This photograph taken from the southern Lebanese city of Nabatieh shows smoke as it rises from the site of an Israeli-controlled explosion in the village of Kfar Tibnit, with the Beaufort citadel seen in the distance, July 13, 2026.

TOPSHOT - Iranians react after a ceasefire announcement at the Enqelab square, in Tehran, on April 8 2026. The United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire Tuesday barely an hour before US President Donald Trump's deadline to obliterate the rival country was set to expire, with Tehran to temporarily reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz. (Photo by AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

特朗普的停火令内塔尼亚胡感到慌乱，伊朗则从中获得了政治利益。

美国总统特朗普决定与德黑兰政权停火，使以色列离其对伊朗发动战争的目标越来越远。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Jalaa MAREY / AFP via Getty Images

以色列进一步深入黎巴嫩，伊朗特使拒绝前往：你需要了解什么

据报道，以色列军队已抵达利塔尼河岸边，这是在以色列和黎巴嫩之间建立缓冲区计划的一部分。

Members of the Popular Mobilization Units stand guard along the Iraqi-Syrian border in Al-Qaim, west of Iraq, on Jan. 23, 2026.

叙利亚遭受伊拉克无人机袭击，打击黎巴嫩边境的走私隧道

叙利亚边境发生的这些事件，是在伊朗及其在伊拉克的代理人对叙利亚过渡政府发出威胁之后发生的。

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) is joined by Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer and other officials for a meeting with US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (not pictured) at the Pentagon, July 9, 2025.

德默尔的回归使内塔尼亚胡的“大脑”成为美以博弈的核心。

德默尔曾任以色列战略事务部长，被认为是内塔尼亚胡最亲密的伙伴之一，两人共事超过二十年。

A Hezbollah flag is seen in a destroyed car after an Israeli airstrike in Nabi Chit (Al-Nabi Shayth), Lebanon, on March 26, 2026. In the first week of March, the Israeli army carried out an unsuccessful nighttime commando operation there to recover the remains of Ron Arad, a pilot missing since 1986, triggering airstrikes and destruction in the area that forced residents to flee their homes. (Photo by Fabio Bucciarelli / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

流离失所与异议：真主党与以色列的战争导致黎巴嫩什叶派分裂

以色列对黎巴嫩真主党的战争再次爆发，导致什叶派社群分裂，一些人仍然支持真主党，将其视为抵抗以色列扩张主义的抵抗力量，而另一些人则拒绝为外国冲突付出代价。

Karim Safieddine

由 Karim Safieddine

In Beirut, reporting on politics

FADEL itani / AFP via Getty Images

在黎巴嫩，驱逐伊朗大使的最后期限临近，真主党对此强烈反对

黎巴嫩外交部决定驱逐伊朗驻贝鲁特大使，这暴露了黎巴嫩政治阶层的深刻分歧，因为伊朗支持的真主党仍在与以色列交战。

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the eastern outskirts of the southern Lebanese coastal city of Tyre on March 24, 2026. Lebanon was pulled into the Middle East war when Iran-backed Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on March 2 to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Israel has since launched strikes across Lebanon, killing at least 1,039 people and displacing more than a million others, and sent ground troops into the country's south. (Ph

Analysis

以色列采取观望态度，在与特朗普会谈前加强对伊朗和黎巴嫩的打击。

以色列认为美国总统特朗普可能很快会选择结束战争，这可能导致以色列在潜在的停火之前加大空袭力度。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iran’s ambassador to Beirut, Mohammad Reza Sheibani (L), shakes hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in an undated photo.

随着战争紧张局势加剧，黎巴嫩驱逐了伊朗大使。

周二，黎巴嫩撤销了伊朗驻贝鲁特大使的认证，并宣布其为不受欢迎的人。此前，由于真主党卷入伊朗战争，黎巴嫩与伊朗之间的紧张局势不断升级。

Displaced families set up tents along Beirut's waterfront in Beirut, Lebanon, on March 10, 2026, after fleeing recent Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.

黎巴嫩竭力控制因流离失所引发的紧张局势，以色列加大了威胁力度

由于以色列对黎巴嫩南部发动袭击和推进，预示着可能发生地面入侵，流离失所的什叶派穆斯林在黎巴嫩真主党控制区以外的地区面临着收容社区日益增长的不满。

France's President Emmanuel Macron (L) wearing sunglasses shakes hands with Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam prior to their meeting at the Elysee presidential palace in Paris, on January 23, 2026. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

狭路相逢：黎巴嫩推动谈判能否改变以色列的战争考量？

以色列外交部长吉迪恩·萨尔周日表示，黎巴嫩提出的直接对话提议目前尚未提上日程，但前战略事务部长、现任负责与美国联络的罗恩·德默尔暗示，总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡愿意认真考虑这一提议。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A flag of the Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah flutters above the rubble of a building that was hit in January by an Israeli strike in the southern Lebanese village of Qannarit, on Feb. 16, 2026.

科威特逮捕16人，指控他们与真主党有关联，其中包括14名科威特公民。

逮捕行动后，黎巴嫩承诺与科威特全面合作，并赞扬了这个海湾国家的行动。

An Israeli self-propelled howitzer artillery gun fires rounds toward southern Lebanon from a position in the upper Galilee in northern Israel near the border on March 15, 2026.

以色列是否计划在黎巴嫩设立缓冲区，还是会将缓冲区扩展到利塔尼以外？

据报道，以色列方面的主要担忧是，真主党的精锐部队拉德万突击队可能会渗透到边境，袭击以色列北部社区。