美国和伊朗为以色列和真主党之间提供不稳定威慑的保证 - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012

Week in Review

Andrew Parasiliti

Week in Review , Andrew Parasiliti

A portrait of Musa al-Sadr sits amid the rubble of a destroyed building in the heavily damaged, Hezbollah stronghold town of Aita al Chaab on June 29, 2024 in Aita al Chaab, Lebanon. Hezbollah and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have been trading cross-border fire since the October 7 attacks, with the conflict escalating in May when the group launched a missile-carrying drone against Israel for the first time. The conflict intensified in June when Hezbollah fired hundreds of rockets and drones at Israeli m — 2024 年 6 月 29 日，在黎巴嫩艾塔阿尔查布，穆萨·萨德尔的肖像坐落在被严重损毁的真主党据点艾塔阿尔查布一栋被毁建筑的废墟中。自 10 月 7 日的袭击事件以来，真主党和以色列国防军 (IDF) 一直在跨境交火，5 月，该组织首次向以色列发射了一架携带导弹的无人机，冲突进一步升级。 — 克里斯麦格拉斯/盖蒂图片社

边境地区军事针锋相对构成危险新常态

真主党星期三向以色列发射了 100 枚火箭弹，以报复以色列在黎巴嫩提尔袭击事件中造成其一名高级指挥官死亡。

尽管界限已经变得模糊，危险地，但回应可能更多的是威慑而非升级。

虽然真主党认为它必须表现出战斗的意志——特别是当以色列除掉其一名主要指挥官时——但它也在避免陷入全面战争。

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