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七月 28, 2026

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Explainer

卡塔尔推出钻石交易所，霍尔木兹海峡危机扼杀液化天然气出口

卡塔尔新建钻石交易所是为了摆脱对主要出口产品液化天然气和石油产品的依赖，这些产品由于伊朗战争和霍尔木兹海峡危机而大幅减少。

A ship sails off the coast of Ajman on July 10, 2026.

Interview

国际货币基金组织：霍尔木兹海峡为何不再像以前那样扰乱石油市场

该基金中东地区主管吉哈德·阿祖尔告诉《中东观察报》，海湾地区的大型能源生产商现在更有能力承受冲击。

Jihad Azour

Jihad Azour

Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund

A cargo ship is pictured off coast of the Khor Fakkan Container Terminal, the only natural deep-sea port in the region and one of the major container ports in Sharjah Emirate, along the Gulf of Oman on June 28, 2026.

特朗普排除伊朗核协议，威胁发动更多袭击，油价飙升逾6%。

上个月签署了一份旨在结束战争的谅解备忘录，此后油价一直在回升，但周三早盘油价上涨了超过 6%。

Qatar's Energy Minister and CEO of QatarEnergy Saad Sherida al-Kaabi speaks during a press conference in Doha on June 22, 2026.

Explainer

卡塔尔爆炸事件凸显重启海湾能源流动的挑战

这场致命的爆炸标志着海湾地区在经历了由美以伊战争造成的历史性能源供应冲击后，为恢复石油和天然气生产所做的努力，迎来了一次早期考验。

Latest News

卡塔尔国家银行：海湾地区投资将转向国内，用于重建战后基础设施

A picture taken on June 5, 2017, shows a man walking past the Qatar National Bank branch in the Saudi capital Riyadh.

Analysis

随着霍尔木兹海峡危机加速转变，海湾铝业寻求全球交易。

Aluminum from Dubai sits in the BMW Landshut factory on Oct. 25, 2024 in Ergolding, Germany.

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Analysis

霍尔木兹海峡危机扰乱海湾航运，土耳其力推伊拉克和叙利亚贸易路线。

Vessels are seen anchored in the Strait of Hormuz, off the port city of Khasab on Oman's northern Musandam Peninsula, on May 17, 2026.

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

Analysis

海湾危机重塑能源市场，专家警告：新常态即将到来

Philippe LOPEZ / AFP via Getty Images

This picture taken on August 11, 2025, shows the headquarters of the Qatari state-funded news television network Al Jazeera in the capital Doha. (Photo by Karim JAAFAR / AFP) (Photo by KARIM JAAFAR/AFP via Getty Images)

总部位于卡塔尔的半岛电视台评论员停止在社交媒体上活动：你需要了解什么

曾对这场战争持亲伊朗立场的 Saeed Ziad 已经好几天没有在 X 上发帖了，而 Fatima al-Smadi 的账号也被删除了，尽管他们的确切状况尚不清楚。

A picture of Qatar Energy's operating facilities on March 3, 2026 in Ras Laffan Industrial City, Qatar.

Analysis

伊朗对卡塔尔天然气田的袭击将如何影响未来数年的液化天然气市场？

伊朗对全球最大的液化天然气出口枢纽的袭击造成的破坏可能会导致大量供应中断数年，卡塔尔正在考虑是否宣布对向欧洲和亚洲供应液化天然气的长期合同构成不可抗力。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

In this aerial view, Storage tanks at Grain LNG importation terminal, operated by National Grid Plc sit near the River Medway in the Thames Estuary on March 12, 2026, in Isle of Grain, England.

墨西哥湾天然气供应中断导致欧洲天然气价格飙升 35% 后，会对欧洲天然气市场造成多大影响？

周四，欧洲天然气基准期货价格上涨高达 35%，达到每兆瓦时 68 欧元（78.09 美元）以上。

The city skyline is pictued in Dubai on March 11, 2026. The oil-rich Gulf has borne the brunt of Iran's attacks in response to US-Israeli strikes that sparked the Middle East war, with Tehran targeting US assets but also civilian infrastructure. (Photo by Giuseppe CACACE / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

伊朗战争考验海湾地区的交易能力，外国投资者正在评估风险

科威特一项价值数十亿美元的输油管道出售案，成为海湾地区交易机制受到美以伊战争冲击的早期迹象之一。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

The city skyline is pictured in Dubai on March 11, 2026.

Analysis

战争持续不断，市场还能对海湾地区的韧性抱有多久的信心？

专家表示，霍尔木兹海峡长期关闭以及对海湾能源基础设施的持续攻击可能会导致整个地区的信用状况恶化。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

Aluminum ingots in the Aluminium Dunkerque plant of the American Industrial Partner group on Jan. 13, 2022, in Loon-Plage, near Dunkirk, France.

伊朗战争重创海湾地区铝出口，全球近10%的供应面临风险

海湾地区是铝生产的重要中心，供应全球约 8% 至 9% 的产量，与战争相关的干扰现在势必会对工业供应链产生连锁反应。

Young wheat shoots emerge from moist soil in farmland near Zakho, Iraqi Kurdistan region, Dec. 19, 2025.

伊朗战争冲击化肥供应，惠誉警告称价格可能上涨约25%。

由于霍尔木兹海峡关闭，粮食价格上涨和供应减少，引发了全球以及中东地区的粮食安全担忧。

An Emirates Airbus A380 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Dubai International Airport in Dubai on March 8, 2026.

航空公司逐步恢复中东航班，海湾地区航班仍大量停飞。

据航班数据公司 Cirium 的数据显示，自 2 月 28 日战争爆发以来，往返中东的 78500 个预定航班中，已有超过 43000 个航班被取消。

United Arab Emirates

In this photo illustration, a smartphone displays the crude oil price in USD after markets in the UK opened on March 9, 2026, in London, England.

在伊朗战争持续之际，油价逼近每桶120美元，七国集团启动战略储备。

这是近四年来油价首次突破每桶100美元，原因是中东能源丰富的主要产油国在冲突中削减了产量。

Yasin AKGUL / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

卡塔尔天然气危机加剧中东能源风险，伊朗战争仍在持续

霍尔木兹海峡能源运输中断不出所料地威胁到原油价格，但真正令市场震惊的是天然气供应。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Sam / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

霍尔木兹海峡风险导致能源输送中断，但伊朗目前仍在输送石油。

虽然全世界的注意力都集中在海湾石油出口面临的威胁和油价飙升上，但不断升级的冲突也暴露了德黑兰自身石油工业的一个关键脆弱性。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP via Getty Images

美伊战争引发全球股市震荡，阿联酋股市即将恢复交易