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Iran

十月 5, 2026

Tehran 9:08 上午

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Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

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Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi speaks to the press, in front of the portrait of slain Lebanese Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, after meeting with Syrian officials at the Iranian embassy in Damascus on Oct. 5, 2024.

Analysis

阿拉格奇的第二幕：会见伊朗核协议背后的外交官

回到马斯喀特的谈判桌前，伊朗与美国的谈判悄然恢复，这位经验丰富的谈判代表将市场策略与外交技巧融为一体。

Ali Hashem

In Doha, reporting on Iran, regional politics, conflict

A woman walks along Karim Khan Zand Avenue in Tehran on April 8, 2025, past the building with the landmark anti-US mural with the slogan, "Down with the USA," and skulls replacing the stars on the US flag.

Analysis

伊朗与美国将在罗马举行激烈谈判，铀浓缩冲突成为焦点

周六会晤之前，伊朗外交部长在莫斯科会见了俄罗斯总统，德黑兰寻求就如何抵制美国要求其全面拆除核计划的压力进行磋商。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

The front page of Iran's newspapers in a sidewalk newsstand in Tehran, Iran, on April 13, 2025.

下次美伊核谈判前信任差距扩大

双方的不信任感日益加深，下一轮谈判会是最后一轮吗？

This handout photo made available by the Iranian Army Office on April 17, 2025 shows Iran's Armed Forces Chief of Staff Major-General Mohammed Bagheri (L) receiving Saudi Arabia's Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman (C) in Tehran on April 17, 2025.

沙特国防部长与哈梅内伊在历史性访问伊朗期间会面：了解详情

哈立德王子的访问标志着伊朗与沙特政治和解的进一步推进，但此时正值地区局势紧张之际，距离第二轮美伊核谈判仅剩两天。

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 07: U.S. President Donald Trump greets Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as he arrives at the White House on April 07, 2025 in Washington, DC. President Trump is meeting with Netanyahu to discuss ongoing efforts to release Israeli hostages from Gaza and newly imposed U.S. tariffs. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列空袭泄密事件损害内塔尼亚胡利益，美伊分歧有望弥合

如果《纽约时报》的报道属实，以色列总理原本打算打击伊朗，但在特朗普政府的压力下放弃了，就像他在2011年和2012年所做的那样。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (L) and Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov walk together after their meeting to give a joint press conference at the foreign ministry headquarters in Tehran on February 25, 2025. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗外长返回俄罗斯并携带哈梅内伊信件，国际原子能机构负责人访问德黑兰

周六，美国和伊朗将举行第二轮核谈判，在此之前，伊朗、俄罗斯和美国正在举行一系列会议。

This combination of file photos created on April 9, 2025, shows US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff speaking to reporters.

维特科夫的浓缩铀政策大转弯引发了特朗普伊朗战略的困惑

对于是否容忍伊朗进行一定程度的铀浓缩，特朗普政府给出了不同的解释。

A man and woman walk past a mural depicting an Iranian official in civilian clothing sitting across the table from an American official wearing military fatigues painted on the outer walls of the former US embassy in Tehran, colloquially referred to as the "Spy Den," on April 8, 2025.

Analysis

尽管特朗普提出军事选项，伊朗仍声称在核谈判中占上风

在美国总统指责德黑兰拖延谈判进程并再次发出军事行动威胁之际，这位伊朗领导人发表了上述言论。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 07: U.S. President Donald Trump bids farewell to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as he leaves the White House after a meeting on April 07, 2025 in Washington, DC. President Trump was meeting with Netanyahu to discuss ongoing efforts to release Israeli hostages from Gaza and newly imposed U.S. tariffs. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Analysis

维特科夫暗示美国不会拆除伊朗核计划，以色列担心特朗普可能会接受“糟糕的协议”

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡不能公开反对美国总统特朗普发起的与伊朗的核谈判，但他可以希望德黑兰能够激怒他，从而破坏谈判。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

US President Donald Trump looks on during a meeting with El Salvador's President Nayib Bukele in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, on April 14, 2025.

罗马会议前，特朗普指责伊朗拖延核谈判

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示，伊朗谈判代表正在“催促我们”，并威胁说，如果达不成协议，他们将采取军事行动。

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (R) and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi pose for a photo before their meeting in Tehran on November 14, 2024. (Photo by Atta KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

国际原子能机构驻伊朗特派员格罗西将在第二轮美伊核谈判前访问德黑兰

国际原子能机构负责人的访问是在美国和伊朗举行核谈判几天后进行的，而不到一周前，一名伊朗高级官员威胁要停止遵守核监督机构的规定。

Cheng Xin/Getty Images

伊朗原油价格飙升，中国石油进口量创2023年以来最高：需要了解的信息

分析公司 Kpler 4 月 11 日的数据显示，伊朗进口量较 2 月份增长了 20%，达到五个月以来的最高水平。