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Iran

十月 5, 2026

Tehran 1:16 上午

19°C

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Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Members of Iraq's Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization) paramilitary forces stand guard during an election rally for the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq" movement in the capital Baghdad, on October 7, 2021.

Analysis

美国撤军后，伊朗在伊拉克获得了更多空间，也面临着更加艰难的平衡局面。

对伊朗来说，让华盛顿撤出可能是比较容易的部分，但现在它可能不得不努力将这种缺席转化为持久的影响力，并在不引发不稳定的情况下重振其盟友民兵组织。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

伊朗的影响力以及再次爆发冲突的可能性，使伊拉克局势的进展变得复杂。

A Caspian Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-83 lands at Sabiha Gokcen Airport in Istanbul, Turkey, on Aug. 17, 2014.

土耳其扣押伊朗里海航空公司客机，原因是伊朗拖欠340万美元债务。

伊斯坦布尔机场的法院下令扣押行动正值伊朗航空公司面临来自美国全面新航空制裁的日益增长的压力之际。

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Analysis

随着伊朗对霍尔木兹岛的控制力减弱，德黑兰还剩下什么筹码？

A woman crosses a street near a giant billboard erected on the facade of a building depicting a member of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps placing his foot on a US sea drone, reportedly seized by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, in Vanak Square in Tehran, on Sept. 24, 2026.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

经过间接谈判，美国对伊朗实施新的制裁，目标是其武器供应。

Iranian-made Zolfaghar missiles are seen on display beside a large portrait of Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei at Baharestan Square in Tehran on Sept. 28, 2026.

沙特股市跌至战时低点，因沙特阿美股价下跌，海湾石油出口反弹

伊朗里亚尔汇率跌至历史新低，石油出口压力不断增加

A man counts Iranian rial notes

A picture of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is held aloft at a rally on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, June 14, 2025.

两以战争期间真主党宣誓效忠哈梅内伊，美国敦促克制

该组织公开为伊朗领导人辩护，因为一些人担心真主党可能会对以色列袭击其主要盟友和支持者伊朗进行报复。

Ground staff prepare a Middle East Airlines flight for departure on the tarmac at Rafic Hariri International Airport in Beirut on May 2, 2025.

从黎巴嫩到卡塔尔，以色列与伊朗的战争扰乱了航班和机场交通：你需要知道什么

由于持续不断的以伊战争导致中东航空业大范围中断，黎巴嫩中东航空公司取消了截至周四的所有飞往伊拉克的航班。

Turkish soldiers patrol near the border wall between Turkey and Iran in the Van Province, eastern Turkey, on Nov. 1, 2024.

土耳其加强伊朗边境安全，安卡拉和联合国难民署密切监测难民风险

国际机构发言人告诉 Al-Monitor，尽管伊朗边境没有发现大规模难民流动，但联合国难民署随时准备向土耳其提供支持。

The President will attend the annual meeting of the Group of 7 nations, Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States are taking place in the Canadian Rocky Mountains in Alberta, and will run until late Tuesday. (Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列测试特朗普阻止美国卷入新战争的承诺

这位曾说过要给中东带来和平的总统现在却面临着另一场战争。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan arrives at the 6th European Political Community summit on May 16, 2025 at Skanderbeg Square in Tirana, Albania.

亚美尼亚总统帕希尼亚与土耳其总统埃尔多安将在伊朗-以色列战争期间举行“历史性”会谈

此次会晤正值两国权衡地区冲突扩大以及与伊朗边境紧张局势加剧的影响之际。

US President Donald Trump speaks to the press as workers install a large flag pole on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, DC on June 18, 2025.

“我受够了”：特朗普威胁要“炸毁”伊朗核设施

伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉阿里哈梅内伊面对特朗普的言论依然保持强硬态度。

Russia's President Vladimir Putin and UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed bin Sultan al-Nahyan.

海湾国家和俄罗斯推动伊朗与以色列的外交关系，阿联酋总理穆罕默德·本·扎耶德与普京举行通话

俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京似乎正在争取海湾国家的支持，以便在伊朗和以色列之间持续的冲突中发挥外交作用。

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei prepares to cast his ballot during the runoff of the presidential elections in Tehran on July 5, 2024. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊威胁称，如果特朗普参战，美国将遭受“无法弥补的损失”

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊回应美国总统特朗普要求伊朗无条件投降的呼吁，称伊朗不会屈服。

In this pool photograph distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik, Russia's Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian arrive for a documents signing ceremony following their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow on January 17, 2025. (Photo by Vyacheslav PROKOFYEV / POOL / AFP) (Photo by VYACHESLAV PROKOFYEV/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

普京希望将西方注意力从乌克兰转移开来，俄罗斯能否促成伊朗与以色列达成协议？

德黑兰和特拉维夫之间的调解作用可能有助于克里姆林宫提升其信誉，并将注意力从乌克兰持续的战争中转移开来。

Kasia A. Houghton

由 Kasia A. Houghton

Smoke rises from the rubble of an Iranian state media building in Tehran after an Israeli airstrike on June 16, 2025.

Analysis

随着美国发动袭击的可能性越来越大，伊朗政权能否避免崩溃？

有报道称美国可能参与支持以色列的行动，伊朗政府采取了一系列外交努力，试图阻止以色列的无情袭击并阻止可能的崩溃。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Iranian short-range missile (Tondar) is test-launched during war games in Qom, 120 kms south of Tehran, on September 27, 2009. Iran test-fired three short-range missiles as the Islamic republic began war games at a time of heightened tension with the West over its controversial nuclear programme. AFP PHOTO/SHAIEGAN/FARS NEWS (Photo by SHAIGAN / FARS NEWS / AFP) (Photo by SHAIGAN/FARS NEWS/AFP via Getty Images)

我们对伊朗秘密核设施福尔多的了解，以色列难以打击

最近的一份报告显示，以色列可能需要美国的帮助来袭击位于地下 300 英尺深处的戒备森严的福尔多设施。

Flags flutter along a bridge as a plume of heavy smoke and fire rise from an oil refinery in southern Tehran, after it was hit in an overnight Israeli strike, on June 15, 2025. Iran fired a fresh barrage of missiles at Israel, state television announced early on June 15, as the rivals exchanged fire for a third day. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

土耳其能源依赖进口超过85%，准备应对伊朗-以色列战争的冲击

在地区紧张局势不断升级的情况下，油价上涨威胁着土耳其脆弱的经济，同时能源供应风险也在增加。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO