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Iran

七月 29, 2026

Tehran 5:50 下午

35°C

An EA-18G Growler assigned to Electric Attack Squadron (VAQ) 137 lands aboard the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) while the ship is moored in Honolulu, Hawaii, during Exercise RIMPAC (Rim of the Pacific) 2026 on July 17, 2026.

美国和沙特阿拉伯袭击伊拉克境内与伊朗结盟的民兵组织，与此同时，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队在约旦境内袭击美军。

在美阿两国陷入僵局之际，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队试图重塑现状。与此同时，白宫正在权衡其军事选项，而阿曼官员则寻求让这两个敌对国家重返谈判桌。

A man stands near a boat moored along a beach on the Caspian Sea coast in Sorkhrud in Iran's northern Mazandaran province on March 24, 2026, where many families have relocated due to the ongoing war with the US and Israel. Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran on February 28, killing the Islamic republic's supreme leader and sparking a war that has since spread across the Middle East. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

乌克兰袭击伊朗船只为何标志着两国关系进入危险的新阶段

德黑兰警告基辅，如果乌克兰在最近的战争中与美国和以色列结盟，将会面临后果。长期积压的紧张局势加剧了这一局面。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A commercial vessel passes through an international shipping lane off Yemen's Hanish Island in the Red Sea on July 27, 2026.

Explainer

尽管胡塞武装发出威胁，油轮仍在红海航行，沙特石油生命线面临压力。

截至周二晚间，大约有十几艘油轮在曼德海峡附近航行。此前一天，由于航运公司押注美伊外交取得新进展，该海峡的交通量有所增加。

A giant billboard depicts late Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (2nd L), and his son Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, with Arabic writing that reads: "Thank you Iran," in Dahiyeh, Beirut's southern suburbs, on June 15, 2026.

哈梅内伊称真主党的议程是伊朗的“战略使命”。

阿亚图拉·穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊发表上述言论之际，黎巴嫩和以色列正在推进一项由美国支持的解除南部真主党武装的计划，尽管这个由伊朗支持的组织拒绝交出武器。

Latest News

以色列总理内塔尼亚胡第八次访问美国，寻求修复与特朗普的关系。

Trump Netanyahu

伊朗拘留两名法国外交官后召见法国大使：你需要了解什么

Iranian security forces stand guard in front of the French Embassy in Tehran in this undated image.

由于伊朗和美国暂停袭击，油价暴跌9.5%，创数月来最大跌幅。

AMIRHOSSEIN KHORGOOEI / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

伊朗对英国的警告揭示了更广泛的升级战略

Muntions near a B1 Bomber are seen at RAF Fairford on July 24, 2026, in Fairford, England.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

A billboard shows a graphic depicting Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei with military commanders, as people attend the annual anti-Israeli Quds Day on March 13, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队如何在哈梅内伊继承人之后规划战争路线

尽管伊朗在穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下展现出延续性，但伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队正在精心策划该国的战时态势，巩固权力，并为持久战做准备。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Displaced Palestinians gather for a fast-breaking Iftar meal amid the rubble of destroyed buildings at the Jabalia refugee camp, in the northern Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan, Feb. 23, 2026.

Analysis

哈马斯不参与伊朗战争，加沙和海湾地区的利益优先于伊朗。

尽管哈马斯与德黑兰有着长期的联盟关系，但迄今为止，它一直置身于不断升级的伊朗战争之外，这反映出其谨慎的战略考量。

Abeer Ayyoub

由 Abeer Ayyoub

In Istanbul, reporting on Palestine

Saudis shop for fresh products at a market in Riyadh on Feb. 18, 2026, on the first day of the holy fasting month of Ramadan in Saudi Arabia.

Analysis

伊朗战争考验海湾地区的粮食安全，替代供应路线应运而生。

海湾地区约有 6100 万人依赖既定的食品供应链，但自美国和以色列于 2 月 28 日对伊朗发动袭击以来，许多食品供应链已被颠覆。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

Young wheat shoots emerge from moist soil in farmland near Zakho, Iraqi Kurdistan region, Dec. 19, 2025.

伊朗战争冲击化肥供应，惠誉警告称价格可能上涨约25%。

由于霍尔木兹海峡关闭，粮食价格上涨和供应减少，引发了全球以及中东地区的粮食安全担忧。

A missile launches from IRIS Sabalan, an Alvand-class frigate of the Iranian Navy, during the Velayat 91 drill in the Gulf of Oman on Jan. 1, 2013.

五角大楼：伊朗导弹而非水雷才是霍尔木兹海峡航运的主要威胁。

美国最高国防官员表示，美国本周的空袭摧毁了伊朗制造新型弹道导弹的能力。

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Dmytro Chubenko, spokesperson of the Kharkiv prosecutor, and his assistant look at a Russian Shahed drone shot down by Ukraine's air defense forces in a field used for the storage of Russian missiles in Kharkiv, on April 30, 2025.

乌克兰派遣团队协助海湾国家对抗伊朗无人机：你需要了解什么

乌克兰在击落伊朗的“沙赫德”无人机方面拥有丰富的经验，这使得海湾国家对乌克兰的专业知识和硬件表现出了浓厚的兴趣。

A security forces member with a picture of Iran's new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, watches over demonstrators as they gather for a rally in support of the new supreme leader at Enghelab Square on March 9, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

特朗普对伊朗可能在国内发动袭击不以为然，但专家认为风险正在增加。

这场战争加剧了人们的担忧，即伊朗特工或以伊朗名义行事的人可能会以美国为目标。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

Retired Israeli general and executive director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：以色列发动战争的目标是削弱伊朗，而非立即推翻伊朗政权。

亚德林告诉《中东观察报》，以色列领导人意识到，战争结束后，华盛顿将决定以色列是否实现了其战争目标。

A man looks at the site of overnight Israeli airstrikes in the southern suburbs of Beirut on March 12, 2026.

黎巴嫩召见伊朗特使，就真主党-伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队袭击事件进行磋商：你需要了解哪些信息

此前，真主党向以色列发射了 200 多枚火箭弹，与此同时，伊朗也发射了一连串导弹，引发了以色列在黎巴嫩的暴力冲突升级。

Commercial vessels are pictured offshore in Dubai on March 11, 2026. AFP via Getty Images

随着油价飙升至100美元以上，墨西哥湾油轮再次遭到袭击：你需要了解什么

这是油价一周内第二次突破每桶100美元大关。