Iraq - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent since 2012

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Iraq

四月 5, 2026

Baghdad 1:14 下午

23°C

A police speed boat patrols the port as oil tankers and high speed crafts sit anchored at Muscat Anchorage near the Strait of Hormuz on March 30, 2026 in Muscat, Oman.

Analysis

受制于霍尔木兹海峡，海湾国家能否重塑未来的能源流动，绕过伊朗的咽喉要道？

由于美以伊战争扰乱了全球约 20% 的石油供应，专家指出，重新推动开发霍尔木兹海峡的替代能源既带来了机遇，也带来了挑战。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

A member of the Popular Mobilization Forces patrols along a concrete wall at the Iraqi-Syrian border in Al-Qaim, west of Iraq, on Jan. 23, 2026.

叙利亚在关闭11年后重新开放重要过境点，此举有助于伊拉克在战争中出口石油。

伊拉克和叙利亚都表现出了在石油出口方面进行合作的意愿，而霍尔木兹海峡的中断使得这个问题变得更加紧迫。

US journalist Shelly Kittleson poses for a picture in Baghdad on March 31, 2026.

谢莉·基特尔森遭疑似伊朗支持的民兵组织绑架，暴露了伊拉克政府的软弱无力。

美国记者雪莉·基特尔森被绑架事件凸显了伊朗支持的武装团体在巴格达控制范围之外的巨大影响力。

Members of the Popular Mobilization Units stand guard along the Iraqi-Syrian border in Al-Qaim, west of Iraq, on Jan. 23, 2026.

叙利亚遭受伊拉克无人机袭击，打击黎巴嫩边境的走私隧道

叙利亚边境发生的这些事件，是在伊朗及其在伊拉克的代理人对叙利亚过渡政府发出威胁之后发生的。

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Analysis

伊朗战争冲击能源安全，石油资源丰富的海湾国家或面临电力短缺。

A general view of South Pars gas field facilities in the southern Iranian port town of Assaluyeh, on the Gulf, Nov. 19, 2015.

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Analysis

储能保障土耳其经济稳定，但长期战争会危及脆弱的经济。

Sedat Suna/Getty Images

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

土耳其证实伊拉克军队撤离，北约因伊朗战争而撤军。

A handing over of command ceremony at Union III Camp in the Green Zone of the Iraqi capital, Baghdad, on May 22, 2025.

Analysis

伊朗自战争爆发以来首次对伊拉克库尔德武装发动袭击，此举是对美国盟友的警告。

An Iranian Kurdish peshmerga member of the Kurdistan Democratic Party of Iran inspects the damage sustained at the Azadi Camp following an Iranian cross-border attack in the town of Koye, east of Erbil district, on March 3, 2026.

Amberin Zaman

由 Amberin Zaman

Reporting on geopolitics, minorities, human rights, culture

Heather Diehl/Getty Images

美国法院推翻特朗普全球关税：这对中东和北非地区意味着什么

特朗普第二任期内最具代表性的经济政策遭受重创，颠覆了此前对中东地区征收高达 41% 关税的制度，而当时叙利亚的关税甚至高于 41%，尽管大多数地区国家并未受到该制度的影响。

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stands amid debris outside the Soroka Hospital in the southern city of Beersheba, after it was hit by a missile fired from Iran on June 19, 2025. Israel's defence minister warned that Iran's supreme leader "can no longer be allowed to exist" after a hospital was hit in an Iranian missile strike on June 19, spiking tensions in the week-old war. (Photo by Marc Israel SELLEM / POOL / AFP) (Photo by MARC ISRAEL SELLEM/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

尽管以色列国防精英发出警告，内塔尼亚胡仍力主对伊朗发动袭击。

尽管以色列顾问警告不要让美国陷入战争，但总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡并未掩饰他想要推翻伊朗伊斯兰共和国的愿望。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iraqis raise their flags during a protest at the entrance to the Hanging Bridge, one of the entrances to the Green Zone in Baghdad on Jan. 28, 2026.

美国在信中向下一任伊拉克总理提出了七项要求，重点关注伊朗问题。

特朗普政府正就伊朗的影响力以及提名伊拉克前总理努里·马利基一事向巴格达施压，伊拉克最高外交官声称，美国的附加条件中包含着潜在制裁的“暗示”。

Former Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki delivers a speech during a campaign rally for the State of Law Coalition ahead of the country's parliamentary elections in Baghdad on Nov. 7, 2025.

Analysis

马利基能否克服特朗普的反对，重新担任伊拉克总理一职？

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普反对这位前总理，并有报道称可能对伊拉克进行报复，这些言论在伊拉克国内遭到强烈反对，而伊拉克目前已经陷入政治瘫痪。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki speaks during a press conference on May 11, 2011, at the green zone area in Baghdad, Iraq.

伊拉克总理马利基驳斥特朗普的批评，誓言继续参选总理。

尽管美国施加了越来越大的压力，马利基仍拒绝退出竞选，并表示希望与伊拉克的邻国和华盛顿保持良好关系。

US President Donald Trump shakes hands with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during a joint press conference in the East Room of the White House in Washington, on Feb. 13, 2025.

美印贸易协议将如何影响中东能源和贸易路线

美国和印度周一达成贸易协议，缓解了两国之间数月来的紧张局势，并可能影响海湾地区的石油流动和经济一体化。

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani meets the Prime Minister of the Kurdistan Region, Masrour Barzani, in Erbil on Monday.

伊拉克什叶派阵营与库尔德人举行会谈，总统和总理人选僵局持续。

尽管美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对前总理努里·马利基进行了公开批评，但什叶派主导的协调框架周六重申了对这位前总理的支持。

Men sign up to join the "martyrdom brigades" under the umbrella of Iraq's pro-Iran paramilitary group Hezbollah Brigades (Kataib Hezbollah), who called upon Iraqis to volunteer in fighting alongside Iran in the event of a full-scale war with the US and Israel, at a mosque in Baghdad on January 29, 2026. (Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE / AFP via Getty Images)

伊拉克民兵声称有志愿者准备保卫伊朗免受美国侵略：你需要了解什么

真主党旅和努贾巴运动表示，他们正在登记志愿者，以便在美国发动攻击时保卫伊朗。

(L to R) Iraqi President Abdul Latif Rashid; Qais al-Khazali, head of the "Asaib Ahl al-Haq"; one of the member factions of the Hashd al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilization Forces) paramilitaries; Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani; and former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki attend an event commemorating the 21st anniversary of the group's creation at a hotel in Baghdad on May 3, 2024.

Analysis

在特朗普的斥责之后，马利基能否在伊拉克重振旗鼓，还是苏丹尼会成为热门人选？

专家表示，唐纳德·特朗普总统对努里·马利基的批评可能会对他的连任机会产生不利影响，也可能起到促进作用，这取决于伊拉克政治领导人的反应。

Adam Lucente

由 Adam Lucente

In New York City, reporting on regional news, militancy, climate change

Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki answers reporters' questions during a news conference with US President Barack Obama in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building on Dec. 12, 2011, in Washington.

努里·马利基被提名为伊拉克总理，伊拉克接下来会走向何方？

马利基在 2014 年 ISIS 攻势后辞职，他已被伊拉克最大的议会联盟提名，但仍需下一任总统正式提名，并组建一个获得议会批准的政府。

Children and women, relatives of suspected Islamic State jihadists, walk inside al-Hol camp in the desert region of Syria's northeastern Hasakah province, on Jan. 21, 2026.

伊拉克将起诉从叙利亚转移过来的ISIS囚犯：你需要了解什么

从叙利亚遣返被指控与伊斯兰国有关联的伊拉克人，重新引发了伊拉克的安全担忧。

从埃及到黎巴嫩：特朗普签证禁令名单上的地区国家面临哪些风险？

美国国务院声称，受影响国家的公民更有可能高频率地使用社会福利服务。