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Israel

四月 22, 2026

Tel Aviv 8:21 上午

16°C

ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

以色列认为美伊达成协议的可能性几乎“不存在”，并已做好战争准备。

美国总统特朗普就其对伊朗的意图和正在进行的谈判发表了自相矛盾的声明，以色列正在为可能恢复军事行动做准备。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Olmert

Interview

奥尔默特：只有以黎协议才能遏制真主党，占领“不可行”

前总理埃胡德·奥尔默特告诉《中东观察报》，以色列只有与黎巴嫩政府达成协议，才能削弱真主党的实力。

Jewel SAMAD / AFP via Getty Images

尽管与伊朗的谈判陷入僵局，黎巴嫩与以色列的谈判仍将继续。

黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩也表示，黎巴嫩将主导谈判，其他任何一方都不会参与，并强调这一进程与其他任何谈判都无关。

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a joint press conference with his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi in Jerusalem on February 26, 2026. (Photo by GIL COHEN-MAGEN / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡为何在黎巴嫩问题上向特朗普让步，这对以色列意味着什么？

以色列人对此表示愤怒，认为总理为避免入狱而采取的种种手段，使得美国再次“劫持”了以色列的外交政策和国家安全决策。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Latest News

在各方敦促奥恩与内塔尼亚胡通话之际，鲁比奥与黎巴嫩总统进行了交谈。

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun (C) arrives to attend a cabinet session to discuss an army plan to disarm the Shiite Muslim group Hezbollah, at the Presidential Palace in Baabda, on September 5, 2025. In August, under heavy US pressure and fearing Israel would intensify its strikes, Lebanon's government ordered the army to draw up a plan for disarming Hezbollah by the end of the year. (Photo by ANWAR AMRO / AFP) (Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images)

黎巴嫩-以色列首轮会谈在华盛顿结束：你需要了解哪些信息

Oliver Contreras / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

黎巴嫩和以色列开始谈判，鲁比奥能否迫使内塔尼亚胡停火？

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to the press as he departs Tel Aviv for Qatar following an official visit, at Ben Gurion International Airport, near Lod, Israel, September 16, 2025. Israel heavily bombarded Gaza City on September 16 2025, witnesses told AFP, after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio backed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's new offensive there and its stated goal of eradicating Hamas. (Photo by NATHAN HOWARD / POOL / AFP) (Photo by NATHAN HOWARD/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

梅洛尼暂停意大利与以色列的军事合作协议

Meloni

An undated image of Eran Etzion.

Interview

以色列前安全官员：内塔尼亚胡在没有迫在眉睫的威胁的情况下，将美国和以色列推入了伊朗战争。

以色列前副国家安全顾问、反对派政治家埃兰·埃齐翁表示，即使美国选择退出，内塔尼亚胡也可能决定延长对真主党和伊朗的战争。

France's President Emmanuel Macron (L) wearing sunglasses shakes hands with Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam prior to their meeting at the Elysee presidential palace in Paris, on January 23, 2026. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

狭路相逢：黎巴嫩推动谈判能否改变以色列的战争考量？

以色列外交部长吉迪恩·萨尔周日表示，黎巴嫩提出的直接对话提议目前尚未提上日程，但前战略事务部长、现任负责与美国联络的罗恩·德默尔暗示，总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡愿意认真考虑这一提议。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Excess gas is burned at the oil refinery in Israel's northern city of Haifa late on March 19, 2026.

Analysis

随着红海和东地中海地区也加入竞争，伊朗将能源目标扩大到海湾以外。

为了报复对其能源部门的袭击，德黑兰加强并扩大了对地区石油和天然气基础设施的打击力度，目标是沙特阿拉伯的延布港和以色列海法的炼油厂。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

An Iranian security force officer stands guard next to a huge billboard of Iran's newly nominated supreme leader Ayatollah Mojataba Khamenei (pointing) during Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026. On February 28, Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, killing its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (photo bottom L) and triggering a war that spread across the M

Analysis

随着伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队加强控制，以色列认为伊朗政权更迭之路漫长。

以色列官员告诉《中东观察报》，虽然大量伊朗领导人被杀显然正在破坏该政权的稳定，但推翻该政权可能还需要很长时间。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

An Israeli self-propelled howitzer artillery gun fires rounds toward southern Lebanon from a position in the upper Galilee in northern Israel near the border on March 15, 2026.

以色列是否计划在黎巴嫩设立缓冲区，还是会将缓冲区扩展到利塔尼以外？

据报道，以色列方面的主要担忧是，真主党的精锐部队拉德万突击队可能会渗透到边境，袭击以色列北部社区。

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) listens to a speech by his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi at the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, Jerusalem, Feb. 25, 2026.

以色列和美国对伊朗的战争能否挽救内塔尼亚胡的政治前途？

在2023年10月发生安全危机和哈马斯袭击事件后，以色列总理能否获得一张“胜利照片”来挽回形象，目前仍不明朗。

AFP via Getty Images

石油火灾、有毒空气和水风险：伊朗战争的环境代价扩大到其他地区

轰炸伊朗的石油设施和海湾地区的关键水利基础设施，如同以往冲突中采用的类似策略一样，对中东地区构成了长期的环境破坏威胁。

Displaced Palestinians gather for a fast-breaking Iftar meal amid the rubble of destroyed buildings at the Jabalia refugee camp, in the northern Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan, Feb. 23, 2026.

Analysis

哈马斯不参与伊朗战争，加沙和海湾地区的利益优先于伊朗。

尽管哈马斯与德黑兰有着长期的联盟关系，但迄今为止，它一直置身于不断升级的伊朗战争之外，这反映出其谨慎的战略考量。

Abeer Ayyoub

由 Abeer Ayyoub

In Istanbul, reporting on Palestine

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Retired Israeli general and executive director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：以色列发动战争的目标是削弱伊朗，而非立即推翻伊朗政权。

亚德林告诉《中东观察报》，以色列领导人意识到，战争结束后，华盛顿将决定以色列是否实现了其战争目标。

Smoke and flames rise at the site of airstrikes on an oil depot, Tehran, Iran, March 8, 2026.

Analysis

时间紧迫：以色列升级对伊朗的袭击，特朗普考虑“优雅退出”

以色列军方正力促在机会之窗关闭之前对伊朗发动更多打击，因为美国总统特朗普一旦决定结束战争，机会之窗就会关闭。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense