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八月 25, 2026

Tehran 4:56 上午

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Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent addresses the audience during opening remarks at the Ministerial on the Resurgence of Political Terrorism at the State Department on July 16, 2026 in Washington, DC. Bessent spoke alongside U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller as they discussed the rise of far-left political terrorism as a transnational threat. (Photo by Finn Gomez/Getty Images)

美国发出“警告”，威胁对伊朗贸易伙伴实施制裁

美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特表示，各国被要求在“明确期限”内停止与伊朗的商业往来，否则将面临美国的制裁。

Leon Neal/Getty Images

交易员等待对伊朗实施“最严厉”的经济制裁，油价下跌。

交易员们正等待美国出台新的措施，这些措施势必会进一步扰乱伊朗的石油供应。

Khor Fakkan Container Terminal

Analysis

阿联酋与伊朗的贸易关系成为对特朗普战时战略的关键考验。

在8月份发生新的袭击事件后，这个海湾国家暂停了与伊朗的贸易。专家指出，随着特朗普政府寻求在经济上向德黑兰施压，双方都面临风险。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Hamed Malekpour / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

伊朗赌自己能挺过特朗普的“经济末日”。

由于与德黑兰的外交努力似乎陷入僵局，特朗普政府正在考虑加大经济施压力度。

Latest News

Analysis

特朗普的经济战最终能否迫使伊朗做出妥协？

People shop at a store in the Grand Reza Bazaar near the shrine of Imam Reza following the funeral of slain Iranian leader Ali Khamenei and his family members in Mashhad on July 10, 2026.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

夹在中间的阿曼对特朗普最新的伊朗威胁不以为意

Win McNamee/Getty Images

中国抨击特朗普对伊朗发动经济战：你需要了解什么

Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian holds a press conference on Aug. 19, 2026.

特朗普威胁对伊朗发动“经济末日”行动，导致油价突破94美元。

Iranians drive past an anti-US billboard at Enghelab Square in central Tehran, Aug. 3, 2026.

A billboard shows a graphic depicting Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei with military commanders, as people attend the annual anti-Israeli Quds Day on March 13, 2026, in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队如何在哈梅内伊继承人之后规划战争路线

尽管伊朗在穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的领导下展现出延续性，但伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队正在精心策划该国的战时态势，巩固权力，并为持久战做准备。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Displaced Palestinians gather for a fast-breaking Iftar meal amid the rubble of destroyed buildings at the Jabalia refugee camp, in the northern Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan, Feb. 23, 2026.

Analysis

哈马斯不参与伊朗战争，加沙和海湾地区的利益优先于伊朗。

尽管哈马斯与德黑兰有着长期的联盟关系，但迄今为止，它一直置身于不断升级的伊朗战争之外，这反映出其谨慎的战略考量。

Abeer Ayyoub

由 Abeer Ayyoub

In Istanbul, reporting on Palestine

Saudis shop for fresh products at a market in Riyadh on Feb. 18, 2026, on the first day of the holy fasting month of Ramadan in Saudi Arabia.

Analysis

伊朗战争考验海湾地区的粮食安全，替代供应路线应运而生。

海湾地区约有 6100 万人依赖既定的食品供应链，但自美国和以色列于 2 月 28 日对伊朗发动袭击以来，许多食品供应链已被颠覆。

由 Jack Dutton

In Bristol, reporting on regional business, climate change, AI, tech

Young wheat shoots emerge from moist soil in farmland near Zakho, Iraqi Kurdistan region, Dec. 19, 2025.

伊朗战争冲击化肥供应，惠誉警告称价格可能上涨约25%。

由于霍尔木兹海峡关闭，粮食价格上涨和供应减少，引发了全球以及中东地区的粮食安全担忧。

A missile launches from IRIS Sabalan, an Alvand-class frigate of the Iranian Navy, during the Velayat 91 drill in the Gulf of Oman on Jan. 1, 2013.

五角大楼：伊朗导弹而非水雷才是霍尔木兹海峡航运的主要威胁。

美国最高国防官员表示，美国本周的空袭摧毁了伊朗制造新型弹道导弹的能力。

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Dmytro Chubenko, spokesperson of the Kharkiv prosecutor, and his assistant look at a Russian Shahed drone shot down by Ukraine's air defense forces in a field used for the storage of Russian missiles in Kharkiv, on April 30, 2025.

乌克兰派遣团队协助海湾国家对抗伊朗无人机：你需要了解什么

乌克兰在击落伊朗的“沙赫德”无人机方面拥有丰富的经验，这使得海湾国家对乌克兰的专业知识和硬件表现出了浓厚的兴趣。

A security forces member with a picture of Iran's new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, watches over demonstrators as they gather for a rally in support of the new supreme leader at Enghelab Square on March 9, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

特朗普对伊朗可能在国内发动袭击不以为然，但专家认为风险正在增加。

这场战争加剧了人们的担忧，即伊朗特工或以伊朗名义行事的人可能会以美国为目标。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

Retired Israeli general and executive director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：以色列发动战争的目标是削弱伊朗，而非立即推翻伊朗政权。

亚德林告诉《中东观察报》，以色列领导人意识到，战争结束后，华盛顿将决定以色列是否实现了其战争目标。

A man looks at the site of overnight Israeli airstrikes in the southern suburbs of Beirut on March 12, 2026.

黎巴嫩召见伊朗特使，就真主党-伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队袭击事件进行磋商：你需要了解哪些信息

此前，真主党向以色列发射了 200 多枚火箭弹，与此同时，伊朗也发射了一连串导弹，引发了以色列在黎巴嫩的暴力冲突升级。

Commercial vessels are pictured offshore in Dubai on March 11, 2026. AFP via Getty Images

随着油价飙升至100美元以上，墨西哥湾油轮再次遭到袭击：你需要了解什么

这是油价一周内第二次突破每桶100美元大关。