Iran - AL-MONITOR: The Middle Eastʼs leading independent news source since 2012

Iran cover image

Iran

八月 15, 2026

Tehran 6:52 下午

37°C

A Baluch Iranian man rides a bicycle

Analysis

伊朗为何在动荡不安的俾路支斯坦加强战时镇压？

伊朗东南部的一系列安全行动凸显了德黑兰长期以来的担忧，即战争时期的不稳定可能会加剧长期存在的种族、教派和经济矛盾。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Motorists drive vehicles past a billboard depicting Iran's late supreme leader Ali Khamenei along a street in central Tehran on August 8, 2026. Hopes for an imminent US-Iran deal to end the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz added to optimism that oil and gas, along with other key products, would again start flowing freely after more than five months of war. But oil prices turned higher ahead of the weekend in the absence of any confirmation of an accord, amid reports that Iran was planning to block US and Is

Explainer

加入金砖国家银行对伊朗摇摇欲坠的经济意味着什么？

伊朗中央银行行长本周前往印度参加新开发银行财长会议时表示，伊朗将很快加入该银行。

A photograph obtained from the Iranian Students’ News Agency shows an oil slick along the southern coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, August 13, 2026.

阿曼和伊朗格什姆岛附近海域的石油泄漏在战争中造成环境破坏。

据估计，阿曼海岸附近的一次漏油事件覆盖面积超过 772 平方英里，对当地栖息地造成了毁灭性破坏。

Children swimming in the Strait of Hormuz

伊朗霍尔木兹海峡管理局否认美国对该海峡的控制权主张：你需要了解什么

特朗普政府官员表示，经由霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输量正在上升，但海上交通量仍然减少。

Latest News

霍尔木兹海峡船只遇袭，谈判陷入僵局，交通量降至一周以来最低点

port attack

Analysis

卡尼访问巴格达揭示了伊朗战后困境的哪些方面？

The commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Esmail Qaani, speaks during a commemoration ceremony marking the anniversary of the 2020 killing of Guards general Qasem Soleimani (on screen) in the capital Tehran on Jan. 3, 2024.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

据报道，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队指挥官卡尼在民兵最后期限前已抵达伊拉克。

Qaani

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊任命六名军事指挥官：你需要了解什么

image of Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

An Iranian man rides his motorbike past a billboard on May 28, 2026.

Analysis

为何伊朗将军们在谈判期间加剧反美言论

伊朗军方和安全机构的领导人物认为，与华盛顿签署的备忘录并非最终协议，而是与战场现实相关的有条件安排。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

AMIRHOSSEIN KHORGOOEI / ISNA / AFP via Getty Images

Explainer

霍尔木兹海峡收费站和冻结资金对美伊和平进程构成早期考验

尽管美伊双方都在努力结束这场持续四个月的冲突，但上周美伊协议的宣布已经出现了一些早期裂痕。

Speaker of the parliament of Iran, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (R), arrives at the Burgenstock resort in Obbuergen, near Lucerne, Switzerland, on June 21, 2026.

伊朗加利巴夫在阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡问题举行会谈：你需要了解什么

上周签署的美伊谅解备忘录呼吁伊朗和阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡未来的管理问题举行会谈。

Qatar's Energy Minister and CEO of QatarEnergy Saad Sherida al-Kaabi speaks during a press conference in Doha on June 22, 2026.

Explainer

卡塔尔爆炸事件凸显重启海湾能源流动的挑战

这场致命的爆炸标志着海湾地区在经历了由美以伊战争造成的历史性能源供应冲击后，为恢复石油和天然气生产所做的努力，迎来了一次早期考验。

Cars drive past billboards showing Iran's new Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei (L) and his late father Ali Khamenei (R), with the slogan "Thank you, loyal Iran," erected along the highway leading to Rafik Hariri International Airport, Beirut, Lebanon, June 22, 2026.

美国和伊朗将成立黎巴嫩问题“冲突降级小组”，黎巴嫩政府被边缘化。

该协议是在伊朗和美国上周达成初步协议，结束包括黎巴嫩在内的中东战争之后，双方进行会谈期间达成的。

MUSCAT, OMAN - JUNE 21: Oil tankers and cargo vessels remain anchored off Port Sultan Qaboos around Qaboos Port on June 21, 2026 in Muscat, Oman. The Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for the region's oil and gas, was effectively blockaded since the outbreak of war between the United States and Iran in late February. This week's provisional peace deal between the countries was meant to reopen the waterway to shipping traffic, but the pace of that reopening is unclear amid continued fighting in Lebano

伊朗和美国释放和平协议进展信号后，油价下跌超过3%。

截至美国东部时间上午 7:06，国际基准布伦特原油跌至每桶 78.68 美元。

Illustration picture taken during the Eurosatory Defense and Security fair in Paris, France ,on June 15, 2026.

Analysis

伊朗战争后，海湾国防企业为何将目光投向欧洲？

不到一周的时间，阿联酋Edge集团就在欧洲发布了一系列重大国防公告。

Francesco Schiavi

由 Francesco Schiavi

In Bologna, reporting on security, defense, economy, governance

A woman walks past a billboard displaying Iran's national flag at Enghelab Square in Tehran on June 14, 2026.

Analysis

美伊协议引发3000亿美元争议，重建问题引人关注

根据6月17日签署的美伊协议，德黑兰将获得全面的制裁豁免、恢复石油销售、获得被冻结的海外资产，以及或许最具争议的激励措施：一项拟议的3000亿美元投资基金。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Aamir QURESHI / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

美伊协议达成后，巴基斯坦还能继续扮演地区调解人的角色吗？

巴基斯坦在促成结束伊朗和美国之间战争的协议后，成为了关键的调解人，但它未来能否在中东维持这一角色，将取决于一系列地区和地缘政治因素。

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

People from Tehran province gather in support and allegiance to Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, while holding Iranian flags and images of both the new and former leaders of Iran, on June 12, 2026, at Palestine Square in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

与美国的协议考验伊朗后哈梅内伊时代的权力平衡

将反对这项协议的强硬派视为边缘群体是一个错误。

Jamshid Jamshidi

由 Jamshid Jamshidi

This photograph shows a Turkish national flag at the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing with Iran next to a black flag on the Iranian side, following the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in eastern Turkey on March 2, 2026.

Analysis

土耳其着眼于从美伊协议中获益，安卡拉试图在德黑兰和华盛顿之间寻求平衡。

土耳其将美伊谅解备忘录视为降低地区溢出风险、重振与德黑兰的贸易以及获得外交喘息之机的机会。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

An Iranian woman walks past a mural depicting late Iranian supreme leaders Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (L) and Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini (R) in Tehran on June 18, 2026.

Analysis

黎巴嫩、霍尔木兹海峡和核紧张局势如何考验脆弱的美伊协议

德黑兰的激烈辩论围绕着这样一个问题展开：该协议能否在不陷入新一轮对抗的情况下抵御外部冲击，或者它在结构上是否更接近于在持续升级的循环中实现可控的暂停。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics