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Iran

八月 16, 2026

Tehran 7:17 下午

38°C

A Baluch Iranian man rides a bicycle

Analysis

伊朗为何在动荡不安的俾路支斯坦加强战时镇压？

伊朗东南部的一系列安全行动凸显了德黑兰长期以来的担忧，即战争时期的不稳定可能会加剧长期存在的种族、教派和经济矛盾。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

Motorists drive vehicles past a billboard depicting Iran's late supreme leader Ali Khamenei along a street in central Tehran on August 8, 2026. Hopes for an imminent US-Iran deal to end the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz added to optimism that oil and gas, along with other key products, would again start flowing freely after more than five months of war. But oil prices turned higher ahead of the weekend in the absence of any confirmation of an accord, amid reports that Iran was planning to block US and Is

Explainer

加入金砖国家银行对伊朗摇摇欲坠的经济意味着什么？

伊朗中央银行行长本周前往印度参加新开发银行财长会议时表示，伊朗将很快加入该银行。

A photograph obtained from the Iranian Students’ News Agency shows an oil slick along the southern coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, August 13, 2026.

阿曼和伊朗格什姆岛附近海域的石油泄漏在战争中造成环境破坏。

据估计，阿曼海岸附近的一次漏油事件覆盖面积超过 772 平方英里，对当地栖息地造成了毁灭性破坏。

Children swimming in the Strait of Hormuz

伊朗霍尔木兹海峡管理局否认美国对该海峡的控制权主张：你需要了解什么

特朗普政府官员表示，经由霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输量正在上升，但海上交通量仍然减少。

Latest News

霍尔木兹海峡船只遇袭，谈判陷入僵局，交通量降至一周以来最低点

port attack

Analysis

卡尼访问巴格达揭示了伊朗战后困境的哪些方面？

The commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Esmail Qaani, speaks during a commemoration ceremony marking the anniversary of the 2020 killing of Guards general Qasem Soleimani (on screen) in the capital Tehran on Jan. 3, 2024.

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

据报道，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队指挥官卡尼在民兵最后期限前已抵达伊拉克。

Qaani

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊任命六名军事指挥官：你需要了解什么

image of Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

A missile launches from IRIS Sabalan, an Alvand-class frigate of the Iranian Navy, during the Velayat 91 drill in the Gulf of Oman on Jan. 1, 2013.

五角大楼：伊朗导弹而非水雷才是霍尔木兹海峡航运的主要威胁。

美国最高国防官员表示，美国本周的空袭摧毁了伊朗制造新型弹道导弹的能力。

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Dmytro Chubenko, spokesperson of the Kharkiv prosecutor, and his assistant look at a Russian Shahed drone shot down by Ukraine's air defense forces in a field used for the storage of Russian missiles in Kharkiv, on April 30, 2025.

乌克兰派遣团队协助海湾国家对抗伊朗无人机：你需要了解什么

乌克兰在击落伊朗的“沙赫德”无人机方面拥有丰富的经验，这使得海湾国家对乌克兰的专业知识和硬件表现出了浓厚的兴趣。

A security forces member with a picture of Iran's new supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, watches over demonstrators as they gather for a rally in support of the new supreme leader at Enghelab Square on March 9, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.

Analysis

特朗普对伊朗可能在国内发动袭击不以为然，但专家认为风险正在增加。

这场战争加剧了人们的担忧，即伊朗特工或以伊朗名义行事的人可能会以美国为目标。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights

Retired Israeli general and executive director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：以色列发动战争的目标是削弱伊朗，而非立即推翻伊朗政权。

亚德林告诉《中东观察报》，以色列领导人意识到，战争结束后，华盛顿将决定以色列是否实现了其战争目标。

A man looks at the site of overnight Israeli airstrikes in the southern suburbs of Beirut on March 12, 2026.

黎巴嫩召见伊朗特使，就真主党-伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队袭击事件进行磋商：你需要了解哪些信息

此前，真主党向以色列发射了 200 多枚火箭弹，与此同时，伊朗也发射了一连串导弹，引发了以色列在黎巴嫩的暴力冲突升级。

Commercial vessels are pictured offshore in Dubai on March 11, 2026. AFP via Getty Images

随着油价飙升至100美元以上，墨西哥湾油轮再次遭到袭击：你需要了解什么

这是油价一周内第二次突破每桶100美元大关。

This photo taken in Tehran shows a statement by Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei being televised on March 12, 2026. Iran's new supreme leader ordered the vital Strait of Hormuz oil shipping lane to remain closed on March 12, while US President Donald Trump said stopping the Islamic republic's "evil empire" was more important than crude prices. Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who was reportedly injured in an air strike, has yet to appear publicly since his nomination as supreme leader, and his defiant

哈梅内伊在开场白中誓言“复仇”，并坚持关闭霍尔木兹海峡。

伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊没有出现在镜头前，他的讲话由国家媒体的播音员代为宣读。

People sit in a cafe outside the Apple Store in Dubai on May 8, 2025. (Photo by Giuseppe CACACE / AFP) (Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images)

伊朗威胁美国科技和银行业后，花旗银行和汇丰银行下令从海湾地区撤离人员。

阿联酋拥有迪拜互联网城，这里聚集了超过4000家企业，其中包括谷歌、微软、甲骨文、戴尔、亚马逊、万事达卡和维萨等美国科技巨头。其中一些公司在阿布扎比也设有办事处。

A navy vessel is seen sailing in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway through which much of the world's oil and gas passes, on March 1, 2026.

特朗普就霍尔木兹海峡地雷问题警告伊朗，与此同时，一位参议员提醒美国可能正接近地面战争。

据最新报道，在美国总统威胁称如果石油运输受到干扰，将对伊朗采取更严厉的打击之后，伊朗已开始在霍尔木兹海峡布雷。

US President Donald Trump speaks with the media as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (R) and special envoy Steve Witkoff (C) look on aboard Air Force One during a flight from Dover, Delaware, to Miami, Florida, on March 7, 2026.

Analysis

特朗普称战争可能很快结束，但伊朗却暗示战争将持续更久。

尽管美国总统唐纳德·特朗普声称伊朗准备进行对话，但伊朗领导人却没有表现出任何让步的迹象。

Elizabeth Hagedorn

由 Elizabeth Hagedorn

In Washington, DC, reporting on diplomacy, regional politics, human rights