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White House, Washington DC, United States of America

United States

四月 23, 2026

Washington D.C. 2:47 下午

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与伊朗有关的油轮为何还能突破霍尔木兹海峡的封锁？

据货物追踪组织 Vortexa 称，至少有 19 艘与伊朗有关的油轮突破了美国对海峡的封锁，驶出海湾，另有至少 15 艘油轮驶入海湾。

ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images

Analysis

以色列认为美伊达成协议的可能性几乎“不存在”，并已做好战争准备。

美国总统特朗普就其对伊朗的意图和正在进行的谈判发表了自相矛盾的声明，以色列正在为可能恢复军事行动做准备。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA - JULY 14: A US Navy Seahawk helicopter takes off from the deck of the USS Ronald Reagan on July 14, 2017 in Townsville, Australia. USS Ronald Reagan is a 1,092- foot aircraft carrier which carries a crew of 4,539 around 60 aircraft. Exercise Talisman Sabre is the largest combined military exercise undertaken in Australia. The biennial exercise is the principal Australian and U.S. military training activity. (Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)

美国在印度洋登上与伊朗有关联的油轮，誓言追击“幽灵舰队”。

五角大楼表示，“国际水域不是”受美国经济制裁船只的避难所。

Olmert

Interview

奥尔默特：只有以黎协议才能遏制真主党，占领“不可行”

前总理埃胡德·奥尔默特告诉《中东观察报》，以色列只有与黎巴嫩政府达成协议，才能削弱真主党的实力。

Latest News

特朗普称伊朗核协议可能“迅速”达成，巴基斯坦也已做好谈判准备：你需要了解什么

US Vice President JD Vance (C) walks with Pakistan's Chief of Defense Forces and Chief of Army Staff Field Marshall Asim Munir (L), and Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar after arriving for talks with Iranian officials on April 11, 2026, in Islamabad, Pakistan.

伊朗战争令海湾国家经济承压，阿联酋能否动用美元货币互换额度？

Haruna Furuhashi /Getty Images

United Arab Emirates

伊朗扣押船只事件令停火前景蒙上阴影，油价上涨，海湾股市下跌。

A man walks past a screen displaying stock indices at the Dubai Financial Market stock exchange in Dubai, March 4, 2026.

“影响范围遍及全球”：五角大楼誓言追查与伊朗贸易有关的船只

STRAIT OF HORMUZ - NOVEMBER 19: In this handout photo provided by the US Navy, The aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) transits the Strait of Hormuz as an MH-60S Sea Hawk helicopter from the Nightdippers of Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron (HSC) 5 lifts off from the flight deck November 19, 2019. The Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group is deployed to the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations in support of naval operations to ensure maritime stability and security in the Central Region, connecting the M

A general view of Navigator Terminals, an oil storage depot along the River Thames, London, March 10, 2026.

特朗普延长对伊朗的最后通牒后，油价暴跌9%。

美国总统特朗普在 Truth Social 上发帖称，华盛顿和德黑兰“在过去两天里就全面彻底解决我们在中东的敌对行动进行了非常好的、富有成效的对话”。

US President Donald Trump walks through the Cross Hall as he arrives for a ceremony to present the Commander-in-Chief Trophy to the Navy Midshipmen football team of the United States Naval Academy in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on March 20, 2026. (Photo by Brendan SMIALOWSKI / AFP via Getty Images)

特朗普宣布，在与伊朗进行“富有成效”的会谈后，暂停对伊朗的能源袭击五天。

在进行了“富有成效的”会谈后，唐纳德·特朗普暂停了美国对伊朗能源基础设施的袭击计划，为期五天，从而缓解了霍尔木兹海峡对峙造成的紧张局势，这场对峙曾震动了石油市场。

An undated image of Eran Etzion.

Interview

以色列前安全官员：内塔尼亚胡在没有迫在眉睫的威胁的情况下，将美国和以色列推入了伊朗战争。

以色列前副国家安全顾问、反对派政治家埃兰·埃齐翁表示，即使美国选择退出，内塔尼亚胡也可能决定延长对真主党和伊朗的战争。

Soldiers board a US Marines CH-53 Super Stallion during an airfield seizure exercise as part of the US-Philippines Balikatan joint military exercise at San Vicente Airport in Palawan on May 1, 2024.

部署4000多名美国海军陆战队员将如何改变伊朗战争？

两支载有数千名美国海军陆战队员的舰队将为特朗普提供更多打通霍尔木兹海峡的选择，但将他们部署到海湾地区将需要扩大一场在国内已经非常不受欢迎的战争。

A picture taken on March 12, 2017, shows an Iranian tanker docking at the platform of the oil facility in the Khark Island, on the shore of the Gulf.

为何封锁哈尔克岛可能成为伊朗面临的最大经济威胁

该岛是伊朗的能源中心，占伊朗石油出口的 90%，也是伊朗重要军事设施的所在地。

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives to attend an event in the East Room of the White House, Washington, DC, March 5, 2026.

美国考虑在霍尔木兹海峡危机期间放松对伊朗的石油制裁：你需要了解什么

美国财政部可能采取的措施将减轻伊朗原油的压力，因为华盛顿正寻求抵消伊朗实际上关闭霍尔木兹海峡造成的供应损失。

An Iranian security force officer stands guard next to a huge billboard of Iran's newly nominated supreme leader Ayatollah Mojataba Khamenei (pointing) during Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026. On February 28, Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, killing its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (photo bottom L) and triggering a war that spread across the M

Analysis

随着伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队加强控制，以色列认为伊朗政权更迭之路漫长。

以色列官员告诉《中东观察报》，虽然大量伊朗领导人被杀显然正在破坏该政权的稳定，但推翻该政权可能还需要很长时间。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Lin Jian

特朗普推迟北京峰会之际，中国将向伊朗、黎巴嫩、伊拉克和约旦提供援助。

就在特朗普总统周二宣布推迟原定于3月下旬对中国的访问之际，这项援助计划也随之公布。

Black smoke rises following an airstrike, as Iranians take part in the Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026.

尽管特朗普声称伊朗希望达成协议，但停火仍遥遥无期。

唐纳德·特朗普总统对于这场已经持续三周的战争可能会持续多久，仍然发出模棱两可的信息。

An Israeli self-propelled howitzer artillery gun fires rounds toward southern Lebanon from a position in the upper Galilee in northern Israel near the border on March 15, 2026.

以色列是否计划在黎巴嫩设立缓冲区，还是会将缓冲区扩展到利塔尼以外？

据报道，以色列方面的主要担忧是，真主党的精锐部队拉德万突击队可能会渗透到边境，袭击以色列北部社区。

A missile launches from IRIS Sabalan, an Alvand-class frigate of the Iranian Navy, during the Velayat 91 drill in the Gulf of Oman on Jan. 1, 2013.

五角大楼：伊朗导弹而非水雷才是霍尔木兹海峡航运的主要威胁。

美国最高国防官员表示，美国本周的空袭摧毁了伊朗制造新型弹道导弹的能力。

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense