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United States

十月 9, 2026

District of Columbia 2:08 上午

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U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks at the Pnyx hill, where ancient Athenians held democratic assemblies, with the ancient Parthenon temple atop the Acropolis seen in the background, in Athens on October 7, 2026. (Photo by Mark Schiefelbein / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

Explainer

鲁比奥说伊朗“失去了”霍尔木兹岛。真是这样吗？

美国国务卿马可·卢比奥周三表示，伊朗已经“完全失去了对该水道的控制权”，并指出海湾石油出口在9月份出现复苏。

US President Donald Trump and China's President Xi Jinping hold a bilateral meeting in the Oval Office

Analysis

为什么特朗普-习近平峰会未能使中国疏远伊朗

随着战争的持续，北京疏远伊朗的动机已经减弱。

Yun Sun

In Washington, DC, reporting on China-Middle East ties

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Analysis

墨西哥湾石油出口已经恢复，但这种复苏能持续多久？

随着德黑兰对霍尔木兹海峡的控制力减弱，中东石油出口在9月份出现反弹，但市场并未对这种可能只是昙花一现的原油复苏表示欢迎。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

Turkish Air Force F-16 fighter aircraft

Analysis

在以色列和希腊的威慑担忧下，土耳其重启与美国的F-16战机谈判。

安卡拉与华盛顿重启谈判之际，老旧飞机即将退役，而欧洲战斗机和卡安战斗机距离满足土耳其未来的空中力量需求还有数年时间。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

Latest News

特朗普的一体化政策建立在与海湾国家、土耳其的关系以及在叙利亚的成功之上。

US President Donald Trump meets Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) on the sidelines of the NATO Summit at Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, on July 8, 2026.

Explainer

随着古特雷斯卸任，以下是联合国秘书长候选人及其对中东的看法。

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres speaks at the UNGA

伊拉克宣布恢复飞往伊朗的航班：你需要了解哪些信息

An Airbus A321 airliner arrives at the Mehrabad international airport during the delivery of the first batch of planes to the Iranian state airline Iran Air in the capital Tehran on Jan. 12, 2017.

美国新型航空母舰驶往中东，伊朗战争持续进行

In this handout released by the US Navy on July 15, 2010, the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN 71) transits the Pacific Ocean.

A view of the B1 bridge is pictured, a day after it was destroyed by a strike in Karaj, around 20miles (35kms) southwest of Tehran, April 3, 2026. US President Donald Trump said on April 2 the tallest bridge in Iran had been destroyed, hours after threatening to bomb the country "back to the Stone Ages." (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP via Getty Images) /

Analysis

特朗普以基础设施为重点的打击行动为何可能加剧伊朗的战争姿态

以基础设施为目标开启了美以伊战争的新阶段，加剧了德黑兰的强硬立场，并将冲突推向消耗战，减少了双方的退路。

A correspondent in Tehran

由 A correspondent in Tehran

In Tehran, reporting on politics

B1 bridge

美国袭击伊朗悬索桥暗示战争策略即将发生转变

唐纳德·特朗普总统多次威胁称，如果德黑兰领导人继续拒绝他提出的在4月6日之前投降的要求，美国将扩大美军轰炸民用基础设施的范围。

People inspect destruction at a business building that housed the offices of the Doha-headquartered news network Al Araby TV following a missile strike earlier in the day, Tehran, Iran, March 29, 2026.

Analysis

以色列敦促美国升级对伊朗的军事行动，甚至可能发动地面入侵。

以色列已明确表示不会向伊朗部署地面部队，但如果特朗普政府选择采取行动，以色列将坚决支持美国的军事行动。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) is joined by Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer and other officials for a meeting with US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (not pictured) at the Pentagon, July 9, 2025.

德默尔的回归使内塔尼亚胡的“大脑”成为美以博弈的核心。

德默尔曾任以色列战略事务部长，被认为是内塔尼亚胡最亲密的伙伴之一，两人共事超过二十年。

Israeli settler violence graffiti

定居者暴力事件激增暴露了以色列政府与军方之间的分歧。

以色列议会中间派政党“未来党”成员拉姆·本-巴拉克告诉《中东观察报》，政府必须允许对极端主义定居者实施行政拘留，以遏制暴力。

TEHRAN, IRAN - OCTOBER 4: (EDITOR’S NOTE: This Handout image/clip was provided by a third-party organization and may not adhere to Getty Images’ editorial policy.) In this handout image provided by the Iranian Leader's Press Office, Iranian Supreme leader Ali Khamenei (C) with Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf (L) and Judiciary Chief Mohsen Ejeie (R), reading the Koran during the Friday prayer ceremony on October 04, 2024 in Tehran, Iran. Protesters supporting Iran's military position against Isra

Exclusive

以色列怀疑特朗普寄希望于包括加利巴夫在内的三名伊朗官员来结束战争。

随着战争进展缓慢，白宫致电以色列总理的次数减少，伊朗的关键基础设施也未出现在打击目标名单上。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

An Iraqi police officer stands guard as a man walks beneath a billboard bearing a portrait of Iran's slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Baghdad on March 25, 2026. Iraq will submit a formal complaint to the United Nations Security Council over strikes in its territory, the office of the prime minister said on March 25, following an attack in the country's west that killed seven security personnel. Iraq has been drawn into the Middle East war triggered by the US-Israel attack on its neighbour Iran

伊朗拒绝特朗普的停火提议，美国派遣部队

此前，特朗普政府一直在推动谈判，希望结束这场持续三周多的战争。

Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif (C) speaks as US President Donald Trump (L) and Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer (R) watch during the Sharm El-Sheikh Peace Summit on Oct. 13, 2025 in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.

Analysis

巴基斯坦扮演调解人角色，但在伊朗与特朗普的对峙中面临局限性

巴基斯坦凭借其与美伊双方的关系，已成为美伊会谈的潜在中立场所，但分析人士警告说，在持续的军事升级中，早期秘密渠道外交面临重大障碍。

Sabena Siddiqui

由 Sabena Siddiqui

In Karachi, reporting on South Asia, Middle East, Iran

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the eastern outskirts of the southern Lebanese coastal city of Tyre on March 24, 2026. Lebanon was pulled into the Middle East war when Iran-backed Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on March 2 to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Israel has since launched strikes across Lebanon, killing at least 1,039 people and displacing more than a million others, and sent ground troops into the country's south. (Ph

Analysis

以色列采取观望态度，在与特朗普会谈前加强对伊朗和黎巴嫩的打击。

以色列认为美国总统特朗普可能很快会选择结束战争，这可能导致以色列在潜在的停火之前加大空袭力度。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

(L-R) Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Of Staff Gen. Dan Caine, U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, U.S. Vice President JD Vance and U.S. President Donald Trump arrive for a dignified transfer event at Dover Air Force Base March 7, 2026 in Dover, Delaware.

美国释放新一轮外交攻势，伊朗驳斥特朗普“强硬谈判”的说法。

即使双方举行会谈，伊朗也为结束战争提出了苛刻的条件。

A general view of Navigator Terminals, an oil storage depot along the River Thames, London, March 10, 2026.

特朗普延长对伊朗的最后通牒后，油价暴跌9%。

美国总统特朗普在 Truth Social 上发帖称，华盛顿和德黑兰“在过去两天里就全面彻底解决我们在中东的敌对行动进行了非常好的、富有成效的对话”。

US President Donald Trump walks through the Cross Hall as he arrives for a ceremony to present the Commander-in-Chief Trophy to the Navy Midshipmen football team of the United States Naval Academy in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on March 20, 2026. (Photo by Brendan SMIALOWSKI / AFP via Getty Images)

特朗普宣布，在与伊朗进行“富有成效”的会谈后，暂停对伊朗的能源袭击五天。

在进行了“富有成效的”会谈后，唐纳德·特朗普暂停了美国对伊朗能源基础设施的袭击计划，为期五天，从而缓解了霍尔木兹海峡对峙造成的紧张局势，这场对峙曾震动了石油市场。