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Israel

八月 24, 2026

Tel Aviv 9:38 上午

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ilia YEFIMOVICH / AFP via Getty Images

以色列加强选举保障措施，公众不信任感加剧：你需要了解什么

以色列民众已经对政府及其举行自由公正选举的能力或意愿失去了信任。

A Turkish soldier from the 1st Border Regiment Command looks out over the border wall to Syria during alert drills at a military outpost on the Turkey/Syria border on March 2, 2017 in Kilis, Turkey.

Analysis

土耳其为何将以色列对叙利亚的空袭视为对其军事角色的警告，以及《麦加条约》

安卡拉认为以色列最近对叙利亚的空袭是遏制土耳其在叙利亚的军事影响力的更广泛努力的一部分，也是对其地区防务伙伴关系的挑战。

Barin Kayaoglu

由 Barin Kayaoglu

In Ankara, reporting on geopolitics and national security

Turkey/Syria border

Analysis

土耳其押注美国避免冲突，而以色列则扩大了对叙利亚的红线。

专家表示，随着华盛顿推动土耳其和以色列之间建立新的冲突降级机制，以色列几乎没有动力接受对其在叙利亚行动自由的更严格限制。

Ezgi Akin

Rina Bassist

由 Ezgi Akin , Rina Bassist

ANKARA, TURKEY - JULY 7: U.S. President Donald Trump (L)shakes hands with with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) during a formal arrival at the Bestepe Presidential Palace during the NATO summit on July 7, 2026 in Ankara, Turkey. Leaders from NATO's 32 countries, plus NATO allies like Ukraine, gathered in the Turkish capital to discuss a range of issues involving spending targets, defense industrial production, and support for Ukraine, among other topics. (Photo by Emrah Gurel - Pool/Getty Images)

Analysis

以色列担忧土耳其在叙利亚的野心，并怀疑特朗普能否阻止土耳其的行动。

以色列官员对土耳其和叙利亚否认安卡拉在叙利亚的军事野心仍持怀疑态度，并警告说，土耳其在叙利亚站稳脚跟的进一步扩大可能会威胁以色列的安全，并使其与华盛顿的关系紧张。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Latest News

土耳其寻求国际刑警组织对内塔尼亚胡发出红色通缉令，以调查加沙船队事件

Murat Kocabas / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images

土耳其在与以色列就叙利亚问题爆发口水战之际释放出克制信号。

Burhaanettin Duran

澳大利亚召见以色列大使，就世界中央厨房罢工事件做出裁决：你需要了解什么

Zomi Frankcom

Analysis

内塔尼亚胡在加沙问题上向特朗普让步，押注哈马斯不会解除武装。

Ohad Zwigenberg / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Excess gas is burned at the oil refinery in Israel's northern city of Haifa late on March 19, 2026.

Analysis

随着红海和东地中海地区也加入竞争，伊朗将能源目标扩大到海湾以外。

为了报复对其能源部门的袭击，德黑兰加强并扩大了对地区石油和天然气基础设施的打击力度，目标是沙特阿拉伯的延布港和以色列海法的炼油厂。

Samuel Wendel

由 Samuel Wendel

In Washington, DC, reporting on regional business and tech

An Iranian security force officer stands guard next to a huge billboard of Iran's newly nominated supreme leader Ayatollah Mojataba Khamenei (pointing) during Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day rally, a commemoration in support of the Palestinian people on the last Friday of the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, in Tehran on March 13, 2026. On February 28, Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, killing its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (photo bottom L) and triggering a war that spread across the M

Analysis

随着伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队加强控制，以色列认为伊朗政权更迭之路漫长。

以色列官员告诉《中东观察报》，虽然大量伊朗领导人被杀显然正在破坏该政权的稳定，但推翻该政权可能还需要很长时间。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

An Israeli self-propelled howitzer artillery gun fires rounds toward southern Lebanon from a position in the upper Galilee in northern Israel near the border on March 15, 2026.

以色列是否计划在黎巴嫩设立缓冲区，还是会将缓冲区扩展到利塔尼以外？

据报道，以色列方面的主要担忧是，真主党的精锐部队拉德万突击队可能会渗透到边境，袭击以色列北部社区。

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) listens to a speech by his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi at the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, Jerusalem, Feb. 25, 2026.

以色列和美国对伊朗的战争能否挽救内塔尼亚胡的政治前途？

在2023年10月发生安全危机和哈马斯袭击事件后，以色列总理能否获得一张“胜利照片”来挽回形象，目前仍不明朗。

AFP via Getty Images

石油火灾、有毒空气和水风险：伊朗战争的环境代价扩大到其他地区

轰炸伊朗的石油设施和海湾地区的关键水利基础设施，如同以往冲突中采用的类似策略一样，对中东地区构成了长期的环境破坏威胁。

Displaced Palestinians gather for a fast-breaking Iftar meal amid the rubble of destroyed buildings at the Jabalia refugee camp, in the northern Gaza Strip, during the Muslim holy fasting month of Ramadan, Feb. 23, 2026.

Analysis

哈马斯不参与伊朗战争，加沙和海湾地区的利益优先于伊朗。

尽管哈马斯与德黑兰有着长期的联盟关系，但迄今为止，它一直置身于不断升级的伊朗战争之外，这反映出其谨慎的战略考量。

Abeer Ayyoub

由 Abeer Ayyoub

In Istanbul, reporting on Palestine

A banner depicting Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new supreme leader and son of slain leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is displayed on Enghelab (Revolution) Square, Tehran, as people gather for the funerals of commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the army and others killed in US and Israeli strikes on Iran, March 11, 2026.

Analysis

以色列和海湾国家担心，随着伊朗考虑突破核武器计划，特朗普可能会对战争失去兴趣。

如果目前的战争以伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队胆子更大而告终，许多人担心伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊会像朝鲜一样，加大力度寻求核武器以阻止未来的袭击。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iranian nationals arrive in Turkey after passing through the Razi-Kapikoy border crossing in Van, northeastern Turkey, on March 3, 2026.

Feature

伊朗人进入土耳其后，心中萦绕的更多是政权镇压而非战争的阴影。

尽管伊朗经历了近两周的战争和猛烈的空袭，但许多前往土耳其的伊朗人表示，让他们难以摆脱的创伤是伊朗政权对近期抗议活动的残酷镇压，而不是轰炸。

Ezgi Akin

In Ankara, reporting on diplomacy, EU-Turkey ties, NATO

Retired Israeli general and executive director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies Amos Yadlin attends a session at the Manama Dialogue security conference in the Bahraini capital, on Dec. 5, 2020.

Interview

亚德林：以色列发动战争的目标是削弱伊朗，而非立即推翻伊朗政权。

亚德林告诉《中东观察报》，以色列领导人意识到，战争结束后，华盛顿将决定以色列是否实现了其战争目标。

Smoke and flames rise at the site of airstrikes on an oil depot, Tehran, Iran, March 8, 2026.

Analysis

时间紧迫：以色列升级对伊朗的袭击，特朗普考虑“优雅退出”

以色列军方正力促在机会之窗关闭之前对伊朗发动更多打击，因为美国总统特朗普一旦决定结束战争，机会之窗就会关闭。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited the Palmachim Air Base on March 3, 2026, accompanied by Minister of Defense Israel Katz and IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir.

Analysis

尽管内塔尼亚胡发表了种种言论，以色列仍对伊朗政权更迭的可能性表示怀疑。

以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡周六表示，“我们有一个系统性的计划来铲除伊朗政权”，但以色列专家表示，他很清楚引发政权更迭的困难。

Rina Bassist

由 Rina Bassist

In Paris, reporting on Israeli politics and European affairs

Kurdish Peshmerga fighters affiliated with PAK train on Jan. 18, 2026, near Erbil, Iraq.

为什么以色列寻求库尔德人的支持以对抗伊朗政权

以色列与库尔德人的关系根植于共同打击伊斯兰极端主义的斗争，以及库尔德人在土耳其、叙利亚和伊朗的战略存在。