Five years after the suspension of US-Palestinian talks on economic issues, Washington appears to be open for the resumption of economic talks. Under-Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland recently met with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, inaugurating the way for talks that were suspended during the Trump administration and for the most part of the first year of Joe Biden's presidency.
During the meeting with Nuland, Abbas said Israel must stop unilateral measures that undermine the two-state solution. Nuland wrote on Twitter that she held a “productive discussion” with Abbas on Monday “on the renewed US relationship with Palestinians, respect for human rights and democracy, and support for a two-state solution.”
Unable or unwilling to even pursue their own election commitment to reopen the US Consulate in Jerusalem, Washington appears to have accepted the ground rules set by Israel’s government. Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett adopted the former Khartoum Arab formula of the three no’s by telling the US president in their August summit link that in his two-year rotating term he will not meet with the Palestinian leadership, will not negotiate with Palestinians, and will certainly not support the two-state solution for peace with Palestinians.
What is left is the economic track.
The economic meeting took place Dec. 14 virtually with a large number of officials from both the Palestinian and US side. The virtual meeting, the first economic dialogue in five years, was headed by Economic Affairs Minister Khaled Osaily from the Palestinian side and Acting Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs Yael Lambert from the US side.
Speaking to Al-Monitor after the meeting, Osaily said that he is pleased with the results of the meeting itself, but the real issue will depend on whether the Israeli side will remove the obstacles that prevent development. “The meeting was certainly successful, the important thing now is the follow-up and whether the US side will be able to remove the obstacles that prevent the development of the Palestinian economy.”
Al-Monitor has learned that most of the discussions were focused on mending the damages caused by the previous US government and working together to help build the Palestinian economy.
Al-Monitor received the transcript of the Palestinian’s opening statement during the meeting. Osaily started with a quote from Winston Churchill, saying it is “easy to destroy [and] difficult to build.” He said that in order to restore the relationship to its natural course, “We must make a substantial and huge effort, that we are aware of and ready to find ways and figure out mechanisms to build together.” Lamenting on the destruction that occurred, he said, “Measures taken by the previous US administration have impacted the course of our relationship, and the impact of these measures are, regrettably, still valid to date. “
Osaily reminded his counterparts of the public US and international commitment to the two-state solution and specifically reminded the American team of Biden’s commitment to “reopen the US Consulate in East Jerusalem, resuming viable funding to the Palestinian government and encouraging the reinstating regional support to strengthen the materialization of statehood in Palestine."
One of the obstacles in restarting talks has been the conditionality of the US economic support on such critical issues as stopping the support to the families of prisoners and martyrs, which Osaily said “undermines the sociopolitical stance of the Palestinian leadership and government impacting the foundations of our authority.”
Osaily outlined the Palestinian plans for the future: “Our vision and strategy to build back better are a clear and realistic one: greening the Palestinian industry, digitizing our economy, and opening our markets for impact investment and foreign direct investment, especially in area C, East Jerusalem and the Gaza Strip.”
He also noted that the Palestinian government is “committed to empowering our private sector for a meaningful partnership and to be engaged in activities that will promote mutual interest together with our regional partners. On this occasion, I would like to thank the USAID for the support provided to the private sector, and I look forward to being engaged with the Palestinian government.”
A joint statement after the meeting stated that the US-Palestinian Economic Dialogue (USPED) discussed “current and future areas of economic cooperation. Participants recognized the importance of restored political and economic relations between the US government and the Palestinian Authority and pledged to expand and deepen cooperation and coordination across a range of sectors.”
“During the USPED, senior US and Palestinian officials discussed key topics, including infrastructure development, access to US markets, US regulations, free trade, financial issues, renewable energy and environmental initiatives; connecting Palestinian and American businesses; and addressing obstacles to Palestinian economic development. The dialogue also included a discussion of international trade relations.”
Khaled Elgindy, senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, told Al-Monitor he doubts that the US administration genuinely wants to improve Palestinian economic conditions. He said, “As the World Bank and others consistently remind us, the single greatest impediments to the Palestinian economy are from Israeli-imposed restrictions." Elgindy doesn’t expect “any serious pressure from the US on anything except the most extreme actions like expulsions in Jerusalem or new 'doomsday' settlements like Atarot or E1. Even then it will be communicated privately.”
Aaron David Miller, senior fellow at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told Al-Monitor that while he sees little value in pursuing the economic track without a political perspective, he understands that Palestinians have little choice in the matter. “The economic piece is important — necessary to be sure, but not sufficient. At this stage with almost no prospects of political negotiations, it seems by participating with the US, the Palestinian Authority realizes it makes sense to engage in the economy— if only to persuade Washington that Palestinians are serious. In short, what’s the downside?”
It is not clear whether the economic issues will make any major difference on the political front. But while it might not bring about a political breakthrough, the Palestinian leadership is hoping that it will contribute to the economic independence and the gradual delinking of the Palestinian economy from the Israeli one. Will this help in ending the occupation and bringing about an independent Palestinian state? That remains to be answered.