Surprising economic upside seen for Egypt, Morocco and Iran
Reports this month by the IMF and the US intelligence community also underscore troubling trendlines.
The latest World Economic Outlook from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community, and Global Tends by the US Office of the Director of National Intelligence Council all came out this month.
Much of the analysis and projections are familiar. The threat analysis from the intelligence community focuses on familiar adversaries, including Iran, as we report here, as well as the Islamic State, al-Qaeda and Hezbollah, and warnings of endemic conflict in Syria and Libya.
Countries facing economic and political stress pre-COVID 19 will face the same challenges post-COVID — only worse.
But there are also some surprises in the economic trend lines that caught our eye regarding Egypt, Iran and Morocco.
