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Turkey’s foreign policy prospects for 2016 not so promising

Analysts say the AKP government has itself to blame for Turkey’s loss of prestige and influence in its region, where it has more rivals than friends today.

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Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan makes a speech during his meeting at the Presidential Palace in Ankara, Nov. 26, 2015. Erdogan said that Turkey was taking precautions to stop oil smuggling at its borders, a key source of revenue for the Islamic State. — REUTERS/Umit Bektas

A Turkish saying roughly translates to “You can tell what will happen Thursday by looking at Wednesday.” Viewed in this light, Turkey's 2015 foreign policy problems may shed light on what it will face in 2016.

The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) could have moved cautiously, given Turkey’s dangerous geostrategic place on the map. Instead, AKP's Islamist/Sunni-based ideological orientation, and its overreaching ambitions laced with an inflated sense of Turkey’s abilities, resulted in a growing crop of conflicts between Turkey and its neighbors.

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