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Lebanon

Lebanon

四月 23, 2026

Beirut 2:55 下午

22°C

Olmert

Interview

奥尔默特：只有以黎协议才能遏制真主党，占领“不可行”

前总理埃胡德·奥尔默特告诉《中东观察报》，以色列只有与黎巴嫩政府达成协议，才能削弱真主党的实力。

Jewel SAMAD / AFP via Getty Images

尽管与伊朗的谈判陷入僵局，黎巴嫩与以色列的谈判仍将继续。

黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩也表示，黎巴嫩将主导谈判，其他任何一方都不会参与，并强调这一进程与其他任何谈判都无关。

Joseph EID / AFP via Getty Images

黎巴嫩有哪些主要人物在影响与以色列的谈判？

在以色列和黎巴嫩之间脆弱的停火协议生效之际，人们的关注点现在集中在黎巴嫩的主要政治人物及其在促成或破坏任何协议中所扮演的角色上。

Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun delivers a speech during a meeting of Pope Leo XIV with authorities, civil society and diplomatic corps at the presidential palace in Baabda, east of the capital Beirut, on November 30, 2025. (Photo by Andreas SOLARO / AFP via Getty Images)

奥恩表示，在白宫发出邀请后，黎巴嫩寻求与以色列达成“永久性协议”。

奥恩表示，在美国斡旋下达成停火协议，以及白宫向他和以色列总理内塔尼亚胡发出邀请之后，黎巴嫩正进入与以色列谈判的“新阶段”，重点是达成“永久性协议”。

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Analysis

内塔尼亚胡为何在黎巴嫩问题上向特朗普让步，这对以色列意味着什么？

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a joint press conference with his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi in Jerusalem on February 26, 2026. (Photo by GIL COHEN-MAGEN / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

在各方敦促奥恩与内塔尼亚胡通话之际，鲁比奥与黎巴嫩总统进行了交谈。

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun (C) arrives to attend a cabinet session to discuss an army plan to disarm the Shiite Muslim group Hezbollah, at the Presidential Palace in Baabda, on September 5, 2025. In August, under heavy US pressure and fearing Israel would intensify its strikes, Lebanon's government ordered the army to draw up a plan for disarming Hezbollah by the end of the year. (Photo by ANWAR AMRO / AFP) (Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images)

Interview

部长警告称，削减对黎巴嫩的援助可能会增强真主党的力量。

Haneen Sayyed

Haneen Sayyed

Haneen Sayyed

Lebanese Minister of Social Affairs

黎巴嫩-以色列首轮会谈在华盛顿结束：你需要了解哪些信息

Oliver Contreras / AFP via Getty Images

Members of the Popular Mobilization Units stand guard along the Iraqi-Syrian border in Al-Qaim, west of Iraq, on Jan. 23, 2026.

叙利亚遭受伊拉克无人机袭击，打击黎巴嫩边境的走私隧道

叙利亚边境发生的这些事件，是在伊朗及其在伊拉克的代理人对叙利亚过渡政府发出威胁之后发生的。

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) is joined by Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer and other officials for a meeting with US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (not pictured) at the Pentagon, July 9, 2025.

德默尔的回归使内塔尼亚胡的“大脑”成为美以博弈的核心。

德默尔曾任以色列战略事务部长，被认为是内塔尼亚胡最亲密的伙伴之一，两人共事超过二十年。

A Hezbollah flag is seen in a destroyed car after an Israeli airstrike in Nabi Chit (Al-Nabi Shayth), Lebanon, on March 26, 2026. In the first week of March, the Israeli army carried out an unsuccessful nighttime commando operation there to recover the remains of Ron Arad, a pilot missing since 1986, triggering airstrikes and destruction in the area that forced residents to flee their homes. (Photo by Fabio Bucciarelli / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

流离失所与异议：真主党与以色列的战争导致黎巴嫩什叶派分裂

以色列对黎巴嫩真主党的战争再次爆发，导致什叶派社群分裂，一些人仍然支持真主党，将其视为抵抗以色列扩张主义的抵抗力量，而另一些人则拒绝为外国冲突付出代价。

Karim Safieddine

由 Karim Safieddine

In Beirut, reporting on politics

FADEL itani / AFP via Getty Images

在黎巴嫩，驱逐伊朗大使的最后期限临近，真主党对此强烈反对

黎巴嫩外交部决定驱逐伊朗驻贝鲁特大使，这暴露了黎巴嫩政治阶层的深刻分歧，因为伊朗支持的真主党仍在与以色列交战。

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted the eastern outskirts of the southern Lebanese coastal city of Tyre on March 24, 2026. Lebanon was pulled into the Middle East war when Iran-backed Hezbollah began firing rockets into Israel on March 2 to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Israel has since launched strikes across Lebanon, killing at least 1,039 people and displacing more than a million others, and sent ground troops into the country's south. (Ph

Analysis

以色列采取观望态度，在与特朗普会谈前加强对伊朗和黎巴嫩的打击。

以色列认为美国总统特朗普可能很快会选择结束战争，这可能导致以色列在潜在的停火之前加大空袭力度。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

Iran’s ambassador to Beirut, Mohammad Reza Sheibani (L), shakes hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in an undated photo.

随着战争紧张局势加剧，黎巴嫩驱逐了伊朗大使。

周二，黎巴嫩撤销了伊朗驻贝鲁特大使的认证，并宣布其为不受欢迎的人。此前，由于真主党卷入伊朗战争，黎巴嫩与伊朗之间的紧张局势不断升级。

Displaced families set up tents along Beirut's waterfront in Beirut, Lebanon, on March 10, 2026, after fleeing recent Israel-Hezbollah hostilities.

黎巴嫩竭力控制因流离失所引发的紧张局势，以色列加大了威胁力度

由于以色列对黎巴嫩南部发动袭击和推进，预示着可能发生地面入侵，流离失所的什叶派穆斯林在黎巴嫩真主党控制区以外的地区面临着收容社区日益增长的不满。

France's President Emmanuel Macron (L) wearing sunglasses shakes hands with Lebanon's Prime Minister Nawaf Salam prior to their meeting at the Elysee presidential palace in Paris, on January 23, 2026. (Photo by Ludovic MARIN / AFP via Getty Images)

Analysis

狭路相逢：黎巴嫩推动谈判能否改变以色列的战争考量？

以色列外交部长吉迪恩·萨尔周日表示，黎巴嫩提出的直接对话提议目前尚未提上日程，但前战略事务部长、现任负责与美国联络的罗恩·德默尔暗示，总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡愿意认真考虑这一提议。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense

A flag of the Lebanese Shiite movement Hezbollah flutters above the rubble of a building that was hit in January by an Israeli strike in the southern Lebanese village of Qannarit, on Feb. 16, 2026.

科威特逮捕16人，指控他们与真主党有关联，其中包括14名科威特公民。

逮捕行动后，黎巴嫩承诺与科威特全面合作，并赞扬了这个海湾国家的行动。

An Israeli self-propelled howitzer artillery gun fires rounds toward southern Lebanon from a position in the upper Galilee in northern Israel near the border on March 15, 2026.

以色列是否计划在黎巴嫩设立缓冲区，还是会将缓冲区扩展到利塔尼以外？

据报道，以色列方面的主要担忧是，真主党的精锐部队拉德万突击队可能会渗透到边境，袭击以色列北部社区。

A man looks at the site of overnight Israeli airstrikes in the southern suburbs of Beirut on March 12, 2026.

黎巴嫩召见伊朗特使，就真主党-伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队袭击事件进行磋商：你需要了解哪些信息

此前，真主党向以色列发射了 200 多枚火箭弹，与此同时，伊朗也发射了一连串导弹，引发了以色列在黎巴嫩的暴力冲突升级。

Smoke and flames rise at the site of airstrikes on an oil depot, Tehran, Iran, March 8, 2026.

Analysis

时间紧迫：以色列升级对伊朗的袭击，特朗普考虑“优雅退出”

以色列军方正力促在机会之窗关闭之前对伊朗发动更多打击，因为美国总统特朗普一旦决定结束战争，机会之窗就会关闭。

In Tel Aviv, reporting on national security, Israeli politics, defense