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How Ankara-Abu Dhabi detente could affect Libya

Negotiations between Turkey and the UAE have focused mostly on increased trade, but several factors may lead Abu Dhabi to back away from supporting the Libyan insurgency.

Libya
A girl waves a flag during a gathering to commemorate the tenth anniversary of the Arab Spring in Martyrs Square on Feb. 17, 2021 in Tripoli, Libya. Libyans across the country gathered to mark the anniversary of the 2011 uprising that led to the ousting and killing of ruler Muammar Gadhafi. — Nada Harib/Getty Images

As the world focuses on the US retreat from Afghanistan and Iran's nuclear situation, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates have been quietly making decisions that could profoundly alter the Middle East.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Emirati Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed, often referred to by his initials MBZ, discussed bilateral cooperation and regional stability during a phone call in late August, what may be an unprecedented exchange. On Twitter, Emirati Presidential Diplomatic Advisor Anwar Gargash stated that the discussion was positive and friendly, and was part of a larger effort to build bridges. Gargash later added that the Emiratis are actively working to avoid conflicts with Turkey and Iran and that they welcome changes in Ankara’s foreign policy — especially on Egypt and the Muslim Brotherhood.

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