Skip to main content

Will Turkey’s Central Bank governor survive purge?

Fears grow over a looming purge at Turkey’s Central Bank, but the bank’s governor is expected to retain his post.

Turkey's Central Bank Governor Erdem Basci arrives at a news conference in Ankara January 28, 2014. Turkey's central bank will use all instruments at its disposal at an extraordinary policy meeting later on Tuesday in a bid to prevent a deterioration in inflation, Basci said on Tuesday. REUTERS/Umit Bektas (TURKEY - Tags: POLITICS BUSINESS) - RTX17XXE
Turkey's Central Bank Governor Erdem Basci arrives at a news conference in Ankara, Jan. 28, 2014. — REUTERS/Umit Bektas

Rumors have been rife recently over the possible dismissal of Turkish Central Bank Governor Erdem Basci, who has resisted Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s calls for an interest rate cut and stuck to a cautious approach based on market conditions.

Despite the rumors, which could be well seen as a veiled threat, the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (PPK) kept the interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting on April 24. The one-week repo rate — the so-called “policy rate” — remained at 10%, the level to which the PPK had hiked it from 4.5% at its landmark meeting on Jan. 28.

The Central Bank statement read: “Inflation expectations and pricing behavior will be closely monitored and the tight monetary policy stance will be maintained until there is a significant improvement in the inflation outlook.” In other words, the Central Bank dismissed the political pressure and said it would continue to decide interest rates according to market conditions and inflation data.

This was probably the Central Bank’s hardest decision this year. In the coming months, market indicators are expected to improve, opening the door to an interest rate cut and easing political pressure on the bank.

SUBSCRIBER EXCLUSIVE

Continue reading this exclusive analysis

Original reporting and analysis unavailable elsewhere. Subscribe to AL-MONITOR to read this story and access everything we publish