Skip to main content

Is Hezbollah’s Syria Approach Tied To Shiite End-Times Doctrine?

Some believe that Hezbollah’s approach to the Syrian conflict is tied into Shiite doctrine concerning Judgment Day.

Supporters of Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah wave Hezbollah flags as they listen to him via a screen during a rally on the 7th anniversary of the end of Hezbollah's 2006 war with Israel, in Aita al-Shaab village in southern Lebanon, August 16, 2013. Nasrallah renewed his commitment on Friday to the battle in Syria, where the Shi'ite militant group has been fighting alongside President Bashar al-Assad's forces, saying he was ready to go himself if needed. REUTERS/Ali Hashisho    (LEBANON
Supporters of Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah wave Hezbollah flags as they listen to him via a screen during a rally on the 7th anniversary of the end of Hezbollah's 2006 war with Israel, in Aita al-Shaab village in southern Lebanon, Aug. 16, 2013. — REUTERS/Ali Hashisho

Knowing how Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah thinks regarding the predicted military strike by Washington against the regime of his ally, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, is a matter of concern and confusion for numerous observers in Lebanon, in the region and beyond.

There are a number of important questions that arise when considering how Nasrallah thinks. Moreover, there is an urgent need to get an idea of what Nasrallah’s answers might be.

These questions include: How will Nasrallah react to a US strike on Syria? What strategy will he retain? And according to what political, ideological and strategic approach? Will he bow down, hoping to withhold his power and save it for an upcoming round, which may target him directly? Or will he join the front to run one battle with his ally?

Nasrallah deliberately left these questions unanswered. This falls within the scope of a psychological war against Israel and the West — according to a policy of deliberate ambiguity. This time, Nasrallah did not address his popular base to declare his position regarding Washington's intention to strike Syria. He made sure not to leak — through the party’s channels and officials — any sign as to how Hezbollah will react on the military level if President Barack Obama were to carry out a strike on the Syrian regime.

SUBSCRIBER EXCLUSIVE

Continue reading this exclusive analysis

Original reporting and analysis unavailable elsewhere. Subscribe to AL-MONITOR to read this story and access everything we publish